Bull Case
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Bull Case
๐Ÿšจ2026 IS THE YEAR OF THE BULL (exclusive analysis by @bullcase) Yes, we were wrong on Q4 2025, but for a good reason. There was no way to know Xi would launch a purge of top generals not aligned with the 2027 readiness deadline. That move materially alteredโ€ฆ
๐ŸšจWSJ: OIL EXECUTIVES WARN TRUMP ADMIN ENERGY CRISIS WILL PROBABLY WORSEN

Oh no!

Higher oil prices = higher inflation expectations = lower real rates = risk assets go fugazi

[BTFD!]
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Bull Case
๐ŸšจWSJ: OIL EXECUTIVES WARN TRUMP ADMIN ENERGY CRISIS WILL PROBABLY WORSEN Oh no! Higher oil prices = higher inflation expectations = lower real rates = risk assets go fugazi [BTFD!]
*CEOS OF EXXON, CHEVRON, CONOCOPHILLIPS REASSURE TRUMP OFFICIALS THAT IRAN WAR'S DISRUPTION OF STRAIT OF HORMUZ WILL WORSEN ENERGY CRISIS /s

*OIL EXECUTIVES ADD FURTHER BOMBINGS OF KHARG ISLAND ARE 'NOT ADVISED OR NECESSARY' FOR NOW /s

Trump won't stop until inflation expectations are up for good. Then he will defuse the situation.

[BTFD before everything rips!]
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Bull Case
๐Ÿšจ2026 IS THE YEAR OF THE BULL (exclusive analysis by @bullcase) Yes, we were wrong on Q4 2025, but for a good reason. There was no way to know Xi would launch a purge of top generals not aligned with the 2027 readiness deadline. That move materially alteredโ€ฆ
๐ŸšจTRUMP TOLD THE FINANCIAL TIMES HE COULD DELAY HIS TRIP TO CHINA LATER THIS MONTH IF BEIJING DOESNโ€™T HELP IN UNBLOCKING THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ.

Soon the closing of Hormuz is going to be China's fault lmao

[Trump couldn't care less about opening Hormuz right now. BTFD before everything rips!]
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Bull Case
๐Ÿšจ2026 IS THE YEAR OF THE BULL (exclusive analysis by @bullcase) Yes, we were wrong on Q4 2025, but for a good reason. There was no way to know Xi would launch a purge of top generals not aligned with the 2027 readiness deadline. That move materially alteredโ€ฆ
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๐ŸšจTRUMP: MAYBE WE SHOULDN'T BE THERE AT ALL. WE DON'T NEED HORMUZ, WE'VE A LOT OF OIL.

*Trump: I demanded that these countries come and protect their territory, because it's the place from which they take their energy.

Trump knows the closing of Hormuz is an asymmetric inflationary shock. In US it tilts inflation expectations just high enough to lower real rates and send markets risk on.

In the rest of the world it sparks huge inflationary flares and a flight into the safehaven USD.

[Chaos is jet fuel for the 2026 reflation trade, BTFD before everything rips!]
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Bull Case
๐ŸšจTRUMP: MAYBE WE SHOULDN'T BE THERE AT ALL. WE DON'T NEED HORMUZ, WE'VE A LOT OF OIL. *Trump: I demanded that these countries come and protect their territory, because it's the place from which they take their energy. Trump knows the closing of Hormuz isโ€ฆ
๐ŸšจCHINA RESPONDS TO TRUMP REQUEST TO JOIN HIS MILITARY COALITION TO REOPEN HORMUZ: CHINA ONCE AGAIN CALLS ON ALL PARTIES TO IMMEDIATELY CEASE MILITARY OPERATIONS.

Thank God they said no. Crisis must continue.

[The 2026 reflation trade is on. BTFD before everything rips and retails comes flooding back in!]
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Bull Case
๐ŸšจTRUMP: MAYBE WE SHOULDN'T BE THERE AT ALL. WE DON'T NEED HORMUZ, WE'VE A LOT OF OIL. *Trump: I demanded that these countries come and protect their territory, because it's the place from which they take their energy. Trump knows the closing of Hormuz isโ€ฆ
๐ŸšจGOLDMAN FINALLY SAYS THE QUIET PART OUT LOUD: US NOT VERY MUCH EXPOSED TO TRADE CHOKEPOINTS IN THE MIDDLE EAST

In the meantime the French 10-year yields are the highest since the 2011 EU sovereign debt crisis with UK and German bond yields also approaching 2011 levels.

The DXY will rip. Risk assets will also rip because the Fed won't hike this year for 2 reasons:

1) Powell has been bullied into submission

2) Warsh will ignore it because his thesis of AI led productivity puts the US in a position to absorb an asymmetric inflationary shock like this.

The rest of the world will be engulfed by the flames of hyperinflation.

[BTFD before everything rips!]
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Bull Case
๐ŸšจGOLDMAN FINALLY SAYS THE QUIET PART OUT LOUD: US NOT VERY MUCH EXPOSED TO TRADE CHOKEPOINTS IN THE MIDDLE EAST In the meantime the French 10-year yields are the highest since the 2011 EU sovereign debt crisis with UK and German bond yields also approachingโ€ฆ
ICYMI: NOBODY IS TAKING UP TRUMP'S OFFER FOR A COALITION TO KEEP THE HORMUZ STRAIT OPEN

โœ– ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ทGreece has no plan to engage in operations at Hormuz Strait

โœ– ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ชGerman government spokesperson: Germany will not take part in any effort to keep the strait of Hormuz open by military means

โœ– ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡นItaly's foreign minister: diplomacy is the right approach to Hormuz Strait situation

โœ– ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡งUk pm starmer: we will not be drawn into the wider Iran war

โœ–๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณIndia foreign ministry spokesperson: no bilateral conversation with the US on India helping ships pass Strait of Hormuz

Guess it's staying closed then.

[We're still in the beginning of the reflation trade. BTFD before everything rips!]
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Bull Case
๐ŸšจGOLDMAN FINALLY SAYS THE QUIET PART OUT LOUD: US NOT VERY MUCH EXPOSED TO TRADE CHOKEPOINTS IN THE MIDDLE EAST In the meantime the French 10-year yields are the highest since the 2011 EU sovereign debt crisis with UK and German bond yields also approachingโ€ฆ
๐ŸšจTREASURY SECRETARY BESSENT ON WHETHER COULD INTERVENE IN OIL MARKETS: NOT SURE UNDER WHAT AUTHORITY THAT WOULD BE; INFLATION EXPECTATIONS WELL ANCHORED

He won't do anything about it. The real macro objective this year is to run it hot.

Everything is going according to plan.

[BTFD before everything rips!]
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๐ŸšจBTC RECLAIMS $74K

Everyone is starting to catch up with the 2026 reflation trade.

[We're still early, BTFD!]
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Bull Case
*CEOS OF EXXON, CHEVRON, CONOCOPHILLIPS REASSURE TRUMP OFFICIALS THAT IRAN WAR'S DISRUPTION OF STRAIT OF HORMUZ WILL WORSEN ENERGY CRISIS /s *OIL EXECUTIVES ADD FURTHER BOMBINGS OF KHARG ISLAND ARE 'NOT ADVISED OR NECESSARY' FOR NOW /s Trump won't stop untilโ€ฆ
๐ŸšจTRUMP SAYS WAR WILL END SOON; OIL PRICES WILL DROP LIKE A ROCK AS SOON AS IT'S OVER

He started a war because the 2026 reflation trade needed a little push.

[BTFD before everything rips!]
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Bull Case
๐Ÿšจ2026 IS THE YEAR OF THE BULL (exclusive analysis by @bullcase) Yes, we were wrong on Q4 2025, but for a good reason. There was no way to know Xi would launch a purge of top generals not aligned with the 2027 readiness deadline. That move materially alteredโ€ฆ
๐ŸšจFRENCH INTELLECTUAL EMMANUEL TODD: IF IRAN HOLDS OUT, IF IRAN ACHIEVES ITS OBJECTIVES, WELL, IT'S IN EFFECT THE END OF THE AMERICAN EMPIRE.

Dedollarization bros are back, send it ๐Ÿš€
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๐ŸšจIRANโ€™S FOREIGN MINISTER ARAGHCHI AND US ENVOY WITKOFF HAVE BEEN IN CONTACT VIA TEXT MESSAGES THESE DAYS - CHANNEL 12, CITING A WELL-INFORMED SOURCE
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Bull Case
๐ŸšจIRANโ€™S FOREIGN MINISTER ARAGHCHI AND US ENVOY WITKOFF HAVE BEEN IN CONTACT VIA TEXT MESSAGES THESE DAYS - CHANNEL 12, CITING A WELL-INFORMED SOURCE
๐ŸšจDETAILS COMING IN: ARAGHCHI SENT TEXTS FOCUSED ON ENDING THE CONFLICT, BUT US OFFICIALS ARE SKEPTICAL ABOUT HIS AUTHORITY

Trump is biding his time. He needs to give markets more time to go risk on before making a deal.

[BTFD before everything rips!]
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Bull Case
๐Ÿšจ2026 IS THE YEAR OF THE BULL (exclusive analysis by @bullcase) Yes, we were wrong on Q4 2025, but for a good reason. There was no way to know Xi would launch a purge of top generals not aligned with the 2027 readiness deadline. That move materially alteredโ€ฆ
๐ŸšจRESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA RAISES INTEREST RATE BY 25 BASIS POINTS; ON MARCH 2, MARKETS WERE PRICING IN A 0% CHANCE OF A HIKE TODAY.

RBA's move is the opening bell for the global reflation trade.

๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง Bank of England: On March 2 markets were pricing 80% to 90% chance of a 25bps cut on March 18 meeting. Markets are now pricing in a hike by June.

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ European Central Bank: On March 2 markets were pricing in 2 to 3 cuts for this year. The market is now pricing in 25โ€“50 bps of hikes for the year.

In the US, Trump has been publicly pushing for immediate, aggressive rate cuts. Meanwhile, incoming Fed Chair Kevin Warsh argues that AI acts as a "structural deflationary shield."

[They will run it hot, BTFD before everything rips!]
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Bull Case
๐Ÿšจ2026 IS THE YEAR OF THE BULL (exclusive analysis by @bullcase) Yes, we were wrong on Q4 2025, but for a good reason. There was no way to know Xi would launch a purge of top generals not aligned with the 2027 readiness deadline. That move materially alteredโ€ฆ
๐ŸšจMACQUARIE EXPECTS US FED TO HIKE INTEREST RATES IN H1 2027 VS PRIOR FORECAST OF HIKE IN Q4 2026

Analysts are finally saying the quiet part out loud about Kevin Warsh's run it hot agenda.

Warsh will ignore inflation and let the economy overheat in 2026.

[Regime change incoming at the Fed, BTFD before everything rips!]
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Bull Case
๐Ÿšจ2026 IS THE YEAR OF THE BULL (exclusive analysis by @bullcase) Yes, we were wrong on Q4 2025, but for a good reason. There was no way to know Xi would launch a purge of top generals not aligned with the 2027 readiness deadline. That move materially alteredโ€ฆ
๐ŸšจTHE BULLCASE VISION FOR 2026: STAY LONG, STAY LOUD

The mid-curve hides their edge because theyโ€™re playing for crumbs. We broadcast ours because we're building a religion.

We don't whisper to the whales, we hunt them.

All market makers worth their salt know 2026 is the year of blow off tops.

Everyone reading this deserves to know too. By dumping the Reflation Thesis on our community, we erode the ability of insiders to accumulate in the dark and manipulate prices.

We are ending the boring phase of every coin we hold. We're here to ensure manipulators' low-ball buy orders never get filled. If they wait any longer, they will be the ones buying at the top from us.

Resistance is already fading quickly because whales are rational. When they see a religious community coordinating a long position that is actually moving the needle, they don't fight it, they will join it.

Keep sharing the BullCase reflation thesis until everyone around you gets it. Capitulators must go extinct.

Upward and onward! ๐Ÿš€
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Bull Case
๐Ÿšจ2026 IS THE YEAR OF THE BULL (exclusive analysis by @bullcase) Yes, we were wrong on Q4 2025, but for a good reason. There was no way to know Xi would launch a purge of top generals not aligned with the 2027 readiness deadline. That move materially alteredโ€ฆ
๐ŸšจUS TREASURY HAS JUST BOUGHT BACK $15 BILLION OF ITS OWN DEBT, THE LARGEST BUYBACK EVER IN ITS HISTORY

Bessent is greasing the plumbing before he floods the market with new short term treasuries.

Strap in because Treasury QE is about to start.

[We're moving forward with the Bessent-Warsh plan to run it hot this year, BTFD before everything rips!]
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Bull Case
๐Ÿšจ2026 IS THE YEAR OF THE BULL (exclusive analysis by @bullcase) Yes, we were wrong on Q4 2025, but for a good reason. There was no way to know Xi would launch a purge of top generals not aligned with the 2027 readiness deadline. That move materially alteredโ€ฆ
๐ŸšจNVIDIA CEO JENSEN HUANG: REVENUE OPPORTUNITY FOR BLACKWELL AND RUBIN CHIPS IS 'LIKELY TO BE LARGER THAN $1 TRILLION' BY END OF 2027

Both Blackwell and Rubin are tethered to TSMC. This is not organic demand.

His revenue is driven by Big Tech and nation states building up "just in case" inventories in anticipation of a Taiwan crisis.

NVDA will probably face a massive demand cliff in 2027.

[Taiwan is the atomic clock of this bull market, BTFD before everything rips this year. Don't be left holding the bag in 2027!]
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Bull Case
๐Ÿšจ2026 IS THE YEAR OF THE BULL (exclusive analysis by @bullcase) Yes, we were wrong on Q4 2025, but for a good reason. There was no way to know Xi would launch a purge of top generals not aligned with the 2027 readiness deadline. That move materially alteredโ€ฆ
๐ŸšจHOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES FOREIGN AFFAIRS COMMITTEE HEARING: IRAN WAR IS NOT DELAYING US WEAPONS SHIPMENTS TO TAIWAN

*Several members of the House committee raised concerns about the island during the hearing

*US officials concerned that the US defense industry would be unable to keep up with demand and could be forced to slow shipments to buyers such as Taiwan, which faces steadily rising military pressure from China.

*Taiwan is one of the issues expected to be discussed in Trump's postponed trip to China.

Taiwan is the only thing that matters this bull. Everything else is a distraction.

[BTFD and wait for the blow off top later this year to sell!]
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Bull Case
๐Ÿšจ2026 IS THE YEAR OF THE BULL (exclusive analysis by @bullcase) Yes, we were wrong on Q4 2025, but for a good reason. There was no way to know Xi would launch a purge of top generals not aligned with the 2027 readiness deadline. That move materially alteredโ€ฆ
๐ŸšจOPENAI GEARS UP TO GO PUBLIC, POTENTIALLY BY THE END OF THE YEAR -CNBC

Anthropic ($350B), SpaceX ($800B), Stripe ($140) also plan to go public this year.

Everyone knows 2026 is the last exit. 2027 is too late.
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