Bull Case
π¨2026 IS THE YEAR OF THE BULL (exclusive analysis by @bullcase) Yes, we were wrong on Q4 2025, but for a good reason. There was no way to know Xi would launch a purge of top generals not aligned with the 2027 readiness deadline. That move materially alteredβ¦
π¨TRUMP OFFICIALLY NOMINATES KEVIN WARSH AS FED CHAIR TO REPLACE POWELL
Thanks to Warsh's AI productivity thesis this year is going to be like 2021 but on steroids.
In 2026 everyone will love him, in 2027 everyone will hate him.
Your mission for the next 12 months is to make enough money to survive until 2030.
Thanks to Warsh's AI productivity thesis this year is going to be like 2021 but on steroids.
In 2026 everyone will love him, in 2027 everyone will hate him.
Your mission for the next 12 months is to make enough money to survive until 2030.
π4π€£2π₯1
Bull Case
π¨2026 IS THE YEAR OF THE BULL (exclusive analysis by @bullcase) Yes, we were wrong on Q4 2025, but for a good reason. There was no way to know Xi would launch a purge of top generals not aligned with the 2027 readiness deadline. That move materially alteredβ¦
π¨LARGE INFORMED PLAYERS HAVE BEEN RISK ON SINCE LIBERATION DAY AND ARE INCREASING THEIR EXPOSURE FURTHER DURING THIS GEOPOL DIP.
*March 2021: Admiral Davidson, head of US Indo-Pacific Command, testified before the Senate Armed Services Committee that a Chinese move on Taiwan will "manifest during the next six years."
*June 2021: General Mark Milley clarified that Xi Jinping had ordered the People's Liberation Army (PLA) to be capable of an invasion by 2027, even though a final decision hadn't been made.
*February 2023: CIA Director Burns went on the record stating that US intelligence "knows as a matter of intelligence" that Xi has instructed the PLA to be ready for a successful invasion by 2027.
*July 2023: CIA Director William Burns & DNI Avril Haines personally briefed top tech with classified assessments that China's military buildup was specifically synchronized to reach peak readiness by 2027.
Smart money always knew 2026 was scheduled to run hot.
[BTFD before everything rips!]
*March 2021: Admiral Davidson, head of US Indo-Pacific Command, testified before the Senate Armed Services Committee that a Chinese move on Taiwan will "manifest during the next six years."
*June 2021: General Mark Milley clarified that Xi Jinping had ordered the People's Liberation Army (PLA) to be capable of an invasion by 2027, even though a final decision hadn't been made.
*February 2023: CIA Director Burns went on the record stating that US intelligence "knows as a matter of intelligence" that Xi has instructed the PLA to be ready for a successful invasion by 2027.
*July 2023: CIA Director William Burns & DNI Avril Haines personally briefed top tech with classified assessments that China's military buildup was specifically synchronized to reach peak readiness by 2027.
Smart money always knew 2026 was scheduled to run hot.
[BTFD before everything rips!]
π€―4π2π€2π2
Bull Case
π¨LARGE INFORMED PLAYERS HAVE BEEN RISK ON SINCE LIBERATION DAY AND ARE INCREASING THEIR EXPOSURE FURTHER DURING THIS GEOPOL DIP. *March 2021: Admiral Davidson, head of US Indo-Pacific Command, testified before the Senate Armed Services Committee that a Chineseβ¦
π¨CRYPTO PRICE SUPPRESSION INDEX AT ALL TIME HIGH: 38.8%
The high correlation of VC controlled coins with centralized supply indicates smart money is working in tandem to flush out retail from their centralized VC led projects.
[Will you sell right before the parabola comes, anon? BTFD!]
The high correlation of VC controlled coins with centralized supply indicates smart money is working in tandem to flush out retail from their centralized VC led projects.
[Will you sell right before the parabola comes, anon? BTFD!]
π5π1π1
Bull Case
π¨2026 IS THE YEAR OF THE BULL (exclusive analysis by @bullcase) Yes, we were wrong on Q4 2025, but for a good reason. There was no way to know Xi would launch a purge of top generals not aligned with the 2027 readiness deadline. That move materially alteredβ¦
π¨WE'RE SEEING RECORD INFLOWS INTO US ETFS AMID WW3 FUD, +52% VS 2025 SO FAR
Smart money is deploying record amounts of dry powder here because big players know Warsh will run it hot this year.
[2026 is scheduled to be the year of the boil off top. BTFD!]
Smart money is deploying record amounts of dry powder here because big players know Warsh will run it hot this year.
[2026 is scheduled to be the year of the boil off top. BTFD!]
π2π€―1π1π€‘1π1πΎ1
Bull Case
π¨ISM SERVICES JUST CAME IN HOTTEST SINCE 2022. PRICES PAID LOWEST IN 11 MONTHS. *ISM Services 56.1, Exp. 53.5, Last 53.8 *Prices Paid 63.0, Exp. 68.3 *Employment 51.8, Exp. 50.6 *New Orders 58.6, Exp. 53.5 This is a major validation of Warsh's thesisβ¦
π¨US LABOR PRODUCTIVITY BEATS FORECAST: +2.8% IN Q4 2025 VS 1.9% PRED.
Another major validation of Warsh's narrative that the US is entering a productivity led boom.
[BTFD before everything rips!]
Another major validation of Warsh's narrative that the US is entering a productivity led boom.
[BTFD before everything rips!]
π4π₯1π
1
Bull Case
π¨2026 IS THE YEAR OF THE BULL (exclusive analysis by @bullcase) Yes, we were wrong on Q4 2025, but for a good reason. There was no way to know Xi would launch a purge of top generals not aligned with the 2027 readiness deadline. That move materially alteredβ¦
π¨BLOOMBERG'S BALCHUNAS: SINCE IRAN STRIKE AND RISE OF GEOPOLITICAL FEAR BTC IS UP 12% AND GOLD IS DOWN; SO DOES THAT MEAN GOLD HAS FAILED AS A SAFE HAVEN?
As shown by the World Uncertainty Index, geopolitical fear actually peaked in Q4 when Xi started the military purge against everyone questioning his 2027 plans.
Today BTC is rising while gold dumps because the final phase of the bull market where big money rotates out of gold has begun.
[BTFD now ASAP and sell when the boil off top comes later this year!]
As shown by the World Uncertainty Index, geopolitical fear actually peaked in Q4 when Xi started the military purge against everyone questioning his 2027 plans.
Today BTC is rising while gold dumps because the final phase of the bull market where big money rotates out of gold has begun.
[BTFD now ASAP and sell when the boil off top comes later this year!]
π3π3π1
Bull Case
π¨2026 IS THE YEAR OF THE BULL (exclusive analysis by @bullcase) Yes, we were wrong on Q4 2025, but for a good reason. There was no way to know Xi would launch a purge of top generals not aligned with the 2027 readiness deadline. That move materially alteredβ¦
π¨RECORD SURGE IN THE NUMBER OF PUBLIC COMPANIES HOLDING 1000+ BITCOIN IN THEIR BALANCE SHEET IN 2025
π2πΎ2π€―1
Bull Case
π¨2026 IS THE YEAR OF THE BULL (exclusive analysis by @bullcase) Yes, we were wrong on Q4 2025, but for a good reason. There was no way to know Xi would launch a purge of top generals not aligned with the 2027 readiness deadline. That move materially alteredβ¦
π¨2026 IS THE 2021 REFLATION TRADE BUT ON STEROIDS: SOME OF THE MOST SPECULATIVE ENERGY STOCKS ARE ABOUT TO EXPLODE
π4π€£3π€―1
π¨ICYMI: NONFARM PAYROLLS POSTED A MASSIVE MISS -92K; UNEMPLOYMENT 4.4% VS 4.3% (PRED)
This data supports Warsh's AI-led productivity boom scenario.
[Ignore stagflation FUD and BTFD!]
This data supports Warsh's AI-led productivity boom scenario.
[Ignore stagflation FUD and BTFD!]
π2π1
Bull Case
π¨2026 IS THE YEAR OF THE BULL (exclusive analysis by @bullcase) Yes, we were wrong on Q4 2025, but for a good reason. There was no way to know Xi would launch a purge of top generals not aligned with the 2027 readiness deadline. That move materially alteredβ¦
π¨MONDAY OIL GAP DOWN, BTC GAP UP: EXPLOSIONS HEARD IN KHARG ISLAND, WHICH PROCESSES 90% OF IRAN'S CRUDE EXPORTS THAT GO MOSTLY TO CHINA. (exclusive analysis by @bullcase)
Satellite thermal anomalies confirm the Eastern oil loading terminal may have been hit. The IRGC, which used to answer directly to Khamenei, has been picking its own targets the past week. Because of miscommunication among ranks, IRGC attacked Ras Tanura and broke gentleman's agreement to avoid oil infrastructure.
After the Kharg Island explosions this morning, Iran's President Masoud Pezeshkian issued a formal apology in a surprise prerecorded address.
We will probably see a buffered conflict equilibrium emerge in the next few weeks. Limited strikes from both sides but oil fields and loading terminals will be off limits from now on.
[Deescalation incoming, BTFD before everything rips next week]
Satellite thermal anomalies confirm the Eastern oil loading terminal may have been hit. The IRGC, which used to answer directly to Khamenei, has been picking its own targets the past week. Because of miscommunication among ranks, IRGC attacked Ras Tanura and broke gentleman's agreement to avoid oil infrastructure.
After the Kharg Island explosions this morning, Iran's President Masoud Pezeshkian issued a formal apology in a surprise prerecorded address.
We will probably see a buffered conflict equilibrium emerge in the next few weeks. Limited strikes from both sides but oil fields and loading terminals will be off limits from now on.
[Deescalation incoming, BTFD before everything rips next week]
π4π2πΎ1
Bull Case
π¨2026 IS THE YEAR OF THE BULL (exclusive analysis by @bullcase) Yes, we were wrong on Q4 2025, but for a good reason. There was no way to know Xi would launch a purge of top generals not aligned with the 2027 readiness deadline. That move materially alteredβ¦
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π¨UPCOMING FED CHAIR KEVIN WARSH: WE'RE IN THE EARLY INNINGS OF A STRUCTURAL DECLINE IN PRICES
In 2026 Warsh will send everything fugazi with his AI-led productivity boom thesis.
[BTFD before everything rips!]
In 2026 Warsh will send everything fugazi with his AI-led productivity boom thesis.
[BTFD before everything rips!]
πΏ4π2π€‘2π€―1π1
Bull Case
π¨MONDAY OIL GAP DOWN, BTC GAP UP: EXPLOSIONS HEARD IN KHARG ISLAND, WHICH PROCESSES 90% OF IRAN'S CRUDE EXPORTS THAT GO MOSTLY TO CHINA. (exclusive analysis by @bullcase) Satellite thermal anomalies confirm the Eastern oil loading terminal may have been hit.β¦
π¨WAPO: THE TRUMP ADMIN IS "COMING AROUND" TO THE IDEA OF CONQUERING KHARG ISLAND IN THE PERSIAN GULF
Floating this idea puts a lot of pressure on IRGC to start deescalating. Trump's madman act makes this more than just a bluff.
[BTFD before everything rips!]
Floating this idea puts a lot of pressure on IRGC to start deescalating. Trump's madman act makes this more than just a bluff.
[BTFD before everything rips!]
π1π₯1π€―1π1
π¨IRAN NAMES KHAMENEI SON MOJTABA NEW SUPREME LEADER
Despite his hardline public persona, our analysts' independent assessment indicates Mojtaba is a good target for intelligence-led recruitment. His election is likely to expedite the de-escalation process.
[This guy's private life is a goldmine of kompromat and Mossad probably owns him. BTFD before everything rips!]
Despite his hardline public persona, our analysts' independent assessment indicates Mojtaba is a good target for intelligence-led recruitment. His election is likely to expedite the de-escalation process.
[This guy's private life is a goldmine of kompromat and Mossad probably owns him. BTFD before everything rips!]
π€£7π1
Bull Case
π¨MONDAY OIL GAP DOWN, BTC GAP UP: EXPLOSIONS HEARD IN KHARG ISLAND, WHICH PROCESSES 90% OF IRAN'S CRUDE EXPORTS THAT GO MOSTLY TO CHINA. (exclusive analysis by @bullcase) Satellite thermal anomalies confirm the Eastern oil loading terminal may have been hit.β¦
π¨AXIOS: TRUMP DOES NOT SUPPORT ATTACKS ON OIL FACILITIES. HE WANTS TO PRESERVE OIL AND DOESN'T WANT IT TO BURN. THIS REMINDS PEOPLE OF RISING GASOLINE PRICES.
Buffered conflict equilibirum soon. Limited strikes from both sides but oil fields and loading terminals will be off limits.
[BTFD before stupid money floods in crypto!]
Buffered conflict equilibirum soon. Limited strikes from both sides but oil fields and loading terminals will be off limits.
[BTFD before stupid money floods in crypto!]
πΎ2π©1