Bull Case
π¨Coinshares FUD: Digital asset investment products recorded US$812m in outflows last week, as expectations for two US interest rate cuts this year moderated following stronger than anticipated macroeconomic data, particularly the revised GDP and durable goodsβ¦
π¨BINANCE ALTCOIN MARKET BREADTH 25%
= number of altcoins whose price is above the 200DMA
[We're still early, load up spot before the most hated rally crypto has ever seen begins!]
= number of altcoins whose price is above the 200DMA
[We're still early, load up spot before the most hated rally crypto has ever seen begins!]
π₯6π€£4β€1
Bull Case
π¨Tricolor Holdings files for bankruptcy in Texas. Tricolorβs bonds were rated AAA 2 months ago by Kroll Bond Rating Agency (July β25). Today they plunged par to 78Β’, with lower tranches to 12Β’. [The Fed will have to cut more than you think, BTFD before cryptoβ¦
π¨US AUTO BANKRUPTCIES ON A TEAR: First Brands Group, a leading auto supplier with $4B in 2024 revenue, filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy today with more than $10bn in liabilities.
Credit markets are in serious trouble, Fed's higher rates for longer policy has been a disaster.
It's only a matter of time before Powell realizes the damage he has done, panics, and resumes QE.
[BTFD before the Fed starts bidding shitcoins!]
Credit markets are in serious trouble, Fed's higher rates for longer policy has been a disaster.
It's only a matter of time before Powell realizes the damage he has done, panics, and resumes QE.
[BTFD before the Fed starts bidding shitcoins!]
π€£7π₯2
Bull Case
π¨US AUTO BANKRUPTCIES ON A TEAR: First Brands Group, a leading auto supplier with $4B in 2024 revenue, filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy today with more than $10bn in liabilities. Credit markets are in serious trouble, Fed's higher rates for longer policy hasβ¦
π¨QE NOT QE: FED'S BALANCE SHEET HAS EXPANDED BY $6BN IN SEPTEMBER SO FAR.
Despite officially being in QT, the numbers tell another story. This Fed is already in full panic mode.
[Load up spot before everything goes fullgazi!]
Despite officially being in QT, the numbers tell another story. This Fed is already in full panic mode.
[Load up spot before everything goes fullgazi!]
π©6πΎ2π1
Bull Case
π¨QE NOT QE: FED'S BALANCE SHEET HAS EXPANDED BY $6BN IN SEPTEMBER SO FAR. Despite officially being in QT, the numbers tell another story. This Fed is already in full panic mode. [Load up spot before everything goes fullgazi!]
π¨ 81% of world central banks have cut rates the past 6 months, despite out of control inflation.
More recently: Ukraine has been blowing up Russian oil refineries and tariffs have been disrupting supply chains, both are inflationary.
Collateral risk spreading in US and EU begs for more easing.
We're in the era of monetary easing on top of inflation. You're not bullish enough!
More recently: Ukraine has been blowing up Russian oil refineries and tariffs have been disrupting supply chains, both are inflationary.
Collateral risk spreading in US and EU begs for more easing.
We're in the era of monetary easing on top of inflation. You're not bullish enough!
π5π3
Don't forget to join our group for more in depth market discussions. @monerouncensoredchat
Many OG traders, researchers and degens hang out there. Spam = instant ban.
Many OG traders, researchers and degens hang out there. Spam = instant ban.
π₯3π2
Bull Case
π¨QE NOT QE: FED'S BALANCE SHEET HAS EXPANDED BY $6BN IN SEPTEMBER SO FAR. Despite officially being in QT, the numbers tell another story. This Fed is already in full panic mode. [Load up spot before everything goes fullgazi!]
π¨OCTOBER RATE CUT PROBABILITY NOW 96%
π5πΎ4π₯2π1
Forwarded from Techleaks24 π΅πΈ
What would you say to a new defi primitive that gives you leveraged long convexity exposure for a one time upfront fee, 0 liquidation risk, 0 volatility decay, 0 funding fees.
In other words, only you can close your position, and your profit loss depends exclusively on entry/exit price. The path price took doesn't affect your profit/loss.
What does convexity mean? That position size follows a convex curve, not a straight line like an ordinary leveraged long.
Profit auto-compounds as price moves in your direction.
Because of convexity you also never get liquidated if price moves against you.
And finally, you donβt pay funding fees but only a one time upfront fee (no fee when you close).
Entirely onchain, on ETH.
If you didnβt get a word of what I just explained, best to move on because it means this is too complex for you. But if you got it then Iβm sure you understand this is a big deal. SIR is a new defi primitive that doesnβt exist anywhere else.
I'm in, feel free to join the movement!
In other words, only you can close your position, and your profit loss depends exclusively on entry/exit price. The path price took doesn't affect your profit/loss.
What does convexity mean? That position size follows a convex curve, not a straight line like an ordinary leveraged long.
Profit auto-compounds as price moves in your direction.
Because of convexity you also never get liquidated if price moves against you.
And finally, you donβt pay funding fees but only a one time upfront fee (no fee when you close).
Entirely onchain, on ETH.
If you didnβt get a word of what I just explained, best to move on because it means this is too complex for you. But if you got it then Iβm sure you understand this is a big deal. SIR is a new defi primitive that doesnβt exist anywhere else.
I'm in, feel free to join the movement!
πΏ5π₯1
π¨Bullish vibes at Token 2049. Projects are posturing for distribution (translation: pumps), smart money is looking for rotations, and regulators are finally adding clarity.
Seasonality and macro favor it: October-November are the strongest months for crypto, real rates are headed even lower as central banks keep cutting despite high inflation.
[Load up spot before everything rips!]
Seasonality and macro favor it: October-November are the strongest months for crypto, real rates are headed even lower as central banks keep cutting despite high inflation.
[Load up spot before everything rips!]
π€£3π2πΏ2
Bull Case
π¨US AUTO BANKRUPTCIES ON A TEAR: First Brands Group, a leading auto supplier with $4B in 2024 revenue, filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy today with more than $10bn in liabilities. Credit markets are in serious trouble, Fed's higher rates for longer policy hasβ¦
π¨Private credit default rates on the rise since 2024.
[The Fed will panic and markets will pump.]
[The Fed will panic and markets will pump.]
π©3π1π€―1
π¨SOFT DATA GALORE: CONSUMERS CONTINUE TO POINT TO A COOLING OF LABOR MARKET CONDITIONS.
The Conference Boardβs labor differential, % of consumers who say jobs are "plentiful" minus % who say jobs are "hard to get", made a new cycle low in September.
With the BLS off the grid, soft data like this becomes critical for the Fed.
[The Fed is about to scramble in panic, BTFD before money printer goes brrr!]
The Conference Boardβs labor differential, % of consumers who say jobs are "plentiful" minus % who say jobs are "hard to get", made a new cycle low in September.
With the BLS off the grid, soft data like this becomes critical for the Fed.
[The Fed is about to scramble in panic, BTFD before money printer goes brrr!]
π€£5π₯1π1
π¨BULLISH POSITIONS IN TREASURIES AIMING FOR THE US 10-YEAR TREASURY YIELD TO FALL BELOW 4% ARE SURGING
Who is going to buy all the Treasuries that nobody wants? The buyer of last resort, the Fed!
This is big money betting on (or hedging against) QE.
[Money printer season confirmed, BTFD!]
Who is going to buy all the Treasuries that nobody wants? The buyer of last resort, the Fed!
This is big money betting on (or hedging against) QE.
[Money printer season confirmed, BTFD!]
πΎ7π€―3π₯2
Bull Case
π¨Discretionary (independent) investor equity exposure ticked up this week but they are still stuck at neutral with plenty of room to catch up. Systematic strategy positioning ("Big Money") flipped discretionary investors in summer and has been rising everβ¦
π¨DB: WHILE THERE MAY BE A BUBBLE, THE MOMENT EVERYONE SPOTS IT IS THE MOMENT IT IS LEAST LIKELY TO BURST.
Crypto, AI bubble Google searches peaked in July when discretionary investors sold. Now we know why, they sold because they realized we're in a bubble.
[Hated rally incoming, innit? BTFD!]
Crypto, AI bubble Google searches peaked in July when discretionary investors sold. Now we know why, they sold because they realized we're in a bubble.
[Hated rally incoming, innit? BTFD!]
π€£8β€2π€1