π¨WHATβS THE SAFEST & MOST PROFITABLE WAY TO MAXIMIZE RETURNS ON 1 ETH ON THE WAY UP? (exclusive bull alpha by @bullcase)
Starting capital 1 ETH, entry ETH price $4k, planned exit $10k (only a matter of time):
1. Spot: +$6k profit, no liquidation risk
2. Open 2x long with perps: +$16k return, liquidation risk: -50% price dump
3. SIR defi 2x ETH long: +$19.5k profit, no liquidation risk
The best part? It gives exponential returns if price pumps higher.
Letβs calculate profit for exit at $15k (starting capital 1 ETH, entry ETH price $4k, planned exit $15k):
1. Spot: +$11k (no liquidation risk)
2. Perps 2x: +$26k (with liquidation risk)
3. SIR defi 2x ETH long: $34.5k, no liquidation risk
There is one way to do this right & thatβs SIR. Max profit with no liquidation risk and no volatility decay. Profit/loss depends exclusively on entry & exit price.
SIR is a new defi primitive on ETH that we @bullcase approve of π€
https://app.sir.trading/
https://app.sir.trading/leverage-calculator
Starting capital 1 ETH, entry ETH price $4k, planned exit $10k (only a matter of time):
1. Spot: +$6k profit, no liquidation risk
2. Open 2x long with perps: +$16k return, liquidation risk: -50% price dump
3. SIR defi 2x ETH long: +$19.5k profit, no liquidation risk
The best part? It gives exponential returns if price pumps higher.
Letβs calculate profit for exit at $15k (starting capital 1 ETH, entry ETH price $4k, planned exit $15k):
1. Spot: +$11k (no liquidation risk)
2. Perps 2x: +$26k (with liquidation risk)
3. SIR defi 2x ETH long: $34.5k, no liquidation risk
There is one way to do this right & thatβs SIR. Max profit with no liquidation risk and no volatility decay. Profit/loss depends exclusively on entry & exit price.
SIR is a new defi primitive on ETH that we @bullcase approve of π€
https://app.sir.trading/
https://app.sir.trading/leverage-calculator
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Bull Case
π¨GOLDMAN EXPECTS INFLATION TO KEEP RISING IN Q4 UNTIL JAN 2026 A 1% rise in PCE equals four 25 bps cuts, pushing real rates lower and accelerating WRESBAL outflows. With $3T still parked in WRESBAL this bull market has a lot of jet fuel in the tank. [BTFDβ¦
π¨BofA: Tariff-driven inflation and Fed cuts could push real rates below 0, making policy accommodative and signaling higher tolerance for inflation.
[BTFD before real rates go to zero and $3T from WRESBAL flood into markets!]
[BTFD before real rates go to zero and $3T from WRESBAL flood into markets!]
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Bull Case
π¨GOLDMAN EXPECTS INFLATION TO KEEP RISING IN Q4 UNTIL JAN 2026 A 1% rise in PCE equals four 25 bps cuts, pushing real rates lower and accelerating WRESBAL outflows. With $3T still parked in WRESBAL this bull market has a lot of jet fuel in the tank. [BTFDβ¦
π¨BTC back above $112k
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Bull Case
ALMOST 1/5 OF WHAT LEAVES WRESBAL ENDS UP IN ALTCOINS (exclusive analysis by @bullcase) With CPI at around 3.1%, the real return on WRESBAL is 1% and the real return on US 2Y Treasuries is less than 0.5%. Obviously, when real interest rates fall, comingβ¦
π¨Gold above $3800/oz
[It's going to be a long exhausting bull for crypto. Load up spot at these prices while you can before everything rips!]
[It's going to be a long exhausting bull for crypto. Load up spot at these prices while you can before everything rips!]
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Bull Case
π¨BULL BASE CASE UPDATE (exclusive analysis by @bullcase) Following the latest batch of US data (NFP, CPI, jobless claims), the 2Y Treasury yield (red curve on the chart) has been falling sharply, increasing the gap with the rates set by the Fed (black curve).β¦
π¨NOMURA: CHINESE M2 FLIPPED TSF IN AUGUST FOR THE FIRST TIME SINCE 2023
TSF (Total Social Financing) is the amount of new credit flowing into the real Chinese economy. M2 > TSF means there is excess liquidity to be deployed into risk assets.
The Chinese Central Bank has injected almost one trillion dollars into the economy this year, which has also coincided with a bottoming out of the Yuan. This suggests the US and China must have quietly reached a deal to allow the yuan to strengthen against the dollar.
Taken together, these dynamics create powerful tailwinds for the ongoing crypto bull run that align perfectly with our base case scenario of 9 more months of bull left. (exclusive analysis added by @bullcase)
TSF (Total Social Financing) is the amount of new credit flowing into the real Chinese economy. M2 > TSF means there is excess liquidity to be deployed into risk assets.
The Chinese Central Bank has injected almost one trillion dollars into the economy this year, which has also coincided with a bottoming out of the Yuan. This suggests the US and China must have quietly reached a deal to allow the yuan to strengthen against the dollar.
Taken together, these dynamics create powerful tailwinds for the ongoing crypto bull run that align perfectly with our base case scenario of 9 more months of bull left. (exclusive analysis added by @bullcase)
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1π1
π¨Coinshares FUD: Digital asset investment products recorded US$812m in outflows last week, as expectations for two US interest rate cuts this year moderated following stronger than anticipated macroeconomic data, particularly the revised GDP and durable goods figures.
The "outflows" in the CoinShares report refer specifically to digital asset investment products, which are mainly ETFs and ETPs.
These outflows are happening because big money is moving out of BTC in favor of alts and out of ETH ETFs into ETH Treasuries (where Eth can be staked).
-Bitcoin ETPs: β$719M outflows
-Ethereum ETPs: β$409M outflows
-Solana ETPs: +$291M inflows
-XRP ETPs: +$93.1M inflows
[BTFD before everything rips, don't listen to institutional FUD!]
The "outflows" in the CoinShares report refer specifically to digital asset investment products, which are mainly ETFs and ETPs.
These outflows are happening because big money is moving out of BTC in favor of alts and out of ETH ETFs into ETH Treasuries (where Eth can be staked).
-Bitcoin ETPs: β$719M outflows
-Ethereum ETPs: β$409M outflows
-Solana ETPs: +$291M inflows
-XRP ETPs: +$93.1M inflows
[BTFD before everything rips, don't listen to institutional FUD!]
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Bull Case
π¨Coinshares FUD: Digital asset investment products recorded US$812m in outflows last week, as expectations for two US interest rate cuts this year moderated following stronger than anticipated macroeconomic data, particularly the revised GDP and durable goodsβ¦
π¨BINANCE ALTCOIN MARKET BREADTH 25%
= number of altcoins whose price is above the 200DMA
[We're still early, load up spot before the most hated rally crypto has ever seen begins!]
= number of altcoins whose price is above the 200DMA
[We're still early, load up spot before the most hated rally crypto has ever seen begins!]
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Bull Case
π¨Tricolor Holdings files for bankruptcy in Texas. Tricolorβs bonds were rated AAA 2 months ago by Kroll Bond Rating Agency (July β25). Today they plunged par to 78Β’, with lower tranches to 12Β’. [The Fed will have to cut more than you think, BTFD before cryptoβ¦
π¨US AUTO BANKRUPTCIES ON A TEAR: First Brands Group, a leading auto supplier with $4B in 2024 revenue, filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy today with more than $10bn in liabilities.
Credit markets are in serious trouble, Fed's higher rates for longer policy has been a disaster.
It's only a matter of time before Powell realizes the damage he has done, panics, and resumes QE.
[BTFD before the Fed starts bidding shitcoins!]
Credit markets are in serious trouble, Fed's higher rates for longer policy has been a disaster.
It's only a matter of time before Powell realizes the damage he has done, panics, and resumes QE.
[BTFD before the Fed starts bidding shitcoins!]
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Bull Case
π¨US AUTO BANKRUPTCIES ON A TEAR: First Brands Group, a leading auto supplier with $4B in 2024 revenue, filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy today with more than $10bn in liabilities. Credit markets are in serious trouble, Fed's higher rates for longer policy hasβ¦
π¨QE NOT QE: FED'S BALANCE SHEET HAS EXPANDED BY $6BN IN SEPTEMBER SO FAR.
Despite officially being in QT, the numbers tell another story. This Fed is already in full panic mode.
[Load up spot before everything goes fullgazi!]
Despite officially being in QT, the numbers tell another story. This Fed is already in full panic mode.
[Load up spot before everything goes fullgazi!]
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Bull Case
π¨QE NOT QE: FED'S BALANCE SHEET HAS EXPANDED BY $6BN IN SEPTEMBER SO FAR. Despite officially being in QT, the numbers tell another story. This Fed is already in full panic mode. [Load up spot before everything goes fullgazi!]
π¨ 81% of world central banks have cut rates the past 6 months, despite out of control inflation.
More recently: Ukraine has been blowing up Russian oil refineries and tariffs have been disrupting supply chains, both are inflationary.
Collateral risk spreading in US and EU begs for more easing.
We're in the era of monetary easing on top of inflation. You're not bullish enough!
More recently: Ukraine has been blowing up Russian oil refineries and tariffs have been disrupting supply chains, both are inflationary.
Collateral risk spreading in US and EU begs for more easing.
We're in the era of monetary easing on top of inflation. You're not bullish enough!
π5π3
Don't forget to join our group for more in depth market discussions. @monerouncensoredchat
Many OG traders, researchers and degens hang out there. Spam = instant ban.
Many OG traders, researchers and degens hang out there. Spam = instant ban.
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Bull Case
π¨QE NOT QE: FED'S BALANCE SHEET HAS EXPANDED BY $6BN IN SEPTEMBER SO FAR. Despite officially being in QT, the numbers tell another story. This Fed is already in full panic mode. [Load up spot before everything goes fullgazi!]
π¨OCTOBER RATE CUT PROBABILITY NOW 96%
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