Bull Case
π¨CRYPTO SENTIMENT NOW LOWEST SINCE APRIL 2025 [Institutions have been loading up all summer while retail has been FUD out. Show some conviction and BTFD before the most hated rally in the history of crypto begins!]
π¨Public companies and ETFs have accumulated over 12M ETH (~$51B), equal to about 10% of the total supply.
[Load up spot before the most hated rally in the history of crypto begins!]
[Load up spot before the most hated rally in the history of crypto begins!]
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Bull Case
π¨The SEC has approved new generic listing standards for commodity based trust shares, paving the way for digital asset products to be listed without requiring case-by-case approval. [ETPalooza imminent, BTFD before big money floods in!]
π¨Hashdexβs Nasdaq ETF has been approved by the SEC under generic listing standards, to include altcoins beyond BTC and ETH such as XRP, SOL and XLM.
With the approval of generic listing standards the SEC rolled out the red carpet for big money to enter crypto. ETF approvals are now on autopilot.
[BTFD before everything rips!]
With the approval of generic listing standards the SEC rolled out the red carpet for big money to enter crypto. ETF approvals are now on autopilot.
[BTFD before everything rips!]
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π¨New ATH in the number of large crypto open interest holders on CME
LOIHs are institutions hedging huge spot positions. CME data confirms institutions have been buying huge amounts of spot crypto since summer.
[Show some conviction and BTFD before whales start pumping their bags!]
LOIHs are institutions hedging huge spot positions. CME data confirms institutions have been buying huge amounts of spot crypto since summer.
[Show some conviction and BTFD before whales start pumping their bags!]
π6π1π1π€‘1
Bull Case
Total stablecoin market cap: $265bn [+10bn in 2 weeks]
π¨ TOTAL STABLECOIN MARKET CAP ATH: $295BN
[+30bn in 2 months, BTFD!]
[+30bn in 2 months, BTFD!]
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Bull Case
π¨WHY WE DIPPED AND WHY YOU SHOULD BTFD (exclusive analysis by @bullcase) Like we noted this weekend, institutions have been hedging their surging altcoin spot positions with shorts in the futures market. When an institution opens a short, someone else takesβ¦
π©ΈLIQUIDATIONS IN THE LAST 24H PAINT AN INTERESTING PICTURE:
Β·ETH: 50.4% ($133M)
Β·OTHER ALTCOINS: 33.39% ($81M)
Β·BTC: 16.21% ($39M)
This dump is driven almost exclusively by the deleveraging of altcoin longs that took Big Money's short hedges with leverage.
[Buy spot and chill, don't touch leverage. We're going much higher!]
Β·ETH: 50.4% ($133M)
Β·OTHER ALTCOINS: 33.39% ($81M)
Β·BTC: 16.21% ($39M)
This dump is driven almost exclusively by the deleveraging of altcoin longs that took Big Money's short hedges with leverage.
[Buy spot and chill, don't touch leverage. We're going much higher!]
π5π―2β€1π1π€‘1
Bull Case
π¨WRESBAL (the reserve balances of commercial banks held at the Fed) dropped another $21B this week, to $3,160B. WRESBAL outflows will accelerate when the Fed starts cutting rates next week. [$3tn are about to flood markets and go risk on, BTFD!]
π¨QE NOT QE: WRESBAL (the reserve balances of commercial banks held at the Fed) dropped another $71B this week, to $3,002B.
Since August 20, a total $300B has been injected into the market from WRESBAL. ($400B since July 16!)
Stablecoin supply change since July 16: +$40B
10% of whatever leaves WRESBAL seems to spill over into stablecoins. This trend is only going to accelerate as the Fed ramps up rate cuts.
[Don't let leveraged long liquidations shake you out, BTFD before everything moons!]
Since August 20, a total $300B has been injected into the market from WRESBAL. ($400B since July 16!)
Stablecoin supply change since July 16: +$40B
10% of whatever leaves WRESBAL seems to spill over into stablecoins. This trend is only going to accelerate as the Fed ramps up rate cuts.
[Don't let leveraged long liquidations shake you out, BTFD before everything moons!]
πΎ4β€2π€―2π€‘1
ALMOST 1/5 OF WHAT LEAVES WRESBAL ENDS UP IN ALTCOINS (exclusive analysis by @bullcase) With CPI at around 3.1%, the real return on WRESBAL is 1% and the real return on US 2Y Treasuries is less than 0.5%.
Obviously, when real interest rates fall, coming close to 0, gold, crypto, and even stocks become more attractive.
Since mid July, when we saw the first signs of tariff inflation coming to surface, banks have pulled $400B from WRESBAL. During the same time, we have seen a reported $80bn inflow into crypto. Of these, $74.5B has gone into alt coins through ETFs, treasuries, stablecoins and RWAs.
Therefore whether directly or indirectly, 18,6% of whatever banks pull from the Fed ends up in altcoins.
This is a spot bull market driven by cheap liquidity. With inflation trending higher and the Fed projected to cut more, banks will pull even more money out of WRESBAL.
Ignore noise and BTFD because there is no top in sight.
Obviously, when real interest rates fall, coming close to 0, gold, crypto, and even stocks become more attractive.
Since mid July, when we saw the first signs of tariff inflation coming to surface, banks have pulled $400B from WRESBAL. During the same time, we have seen a reported $80bn inflow into crypto. Of these, $74.5B has gone into alt coins through ETFs, treasuries, stablecoins and RWAs.
Therefore whether directly or indirectly, 18,6% of whatever banks pull from the Fed ends up in altcoins.
This is a spot bull market driven by cheap liquidity. With inflation trending higher and the Fed projected to cut more, banks will pull even more money out of WRESBAL.
Ignore noise and BTFD because there is no top in sight.
π₯3π€―3π1π€‘1πΎ1π1
Bull Case
π¨Chamath SPAC filed. It will invest in Defi, AI, energy, warfare. [We're officially back in 2021, BTFD!]
Chamath Palihapitiya's and Tom Lee's SPACs IPO'd today:
π’ American Exceptionalism closed at $10.61 (+6.1%)
π’ FutureCrest closed at $10.36 (+3.6%)
[Operating on levels of we're so back that havenβt been seen in a long time, BTFD!]
π’ American Exceptionalism closed at $10.61 (+6.1%)
π’ FutureCrest closed at $10.36 (+3.6%)
[Operating on levels of we're so back that havenβt been seen in a long time, BTFD!]
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Bull Case
π¨MIND THE ROTATION FROM ETH ETFS TO ETH TREASURIES (exclusive analysis by @bullcase) ETH is a yield bearing asset and at some point companies realize that contrary to BTC, itβs much better to hold Eth directly and stake it instead of holding it through anβ¦
π¨LAST WEEK INSTITUTIONS BOUGHT $356M SPOT ETH WHILE HUNTING DOWN LEVERAGED LONGS WITH FUD (exclusive analysis by @bullcase)
Week ending Sep 26:
ETH ETFs sold 177,280 ETH
ETH Treasuries bought 266,000 ETH
π’ Net: 88,720 ETH, worth $356M at $4k, were accumulated by institutions.
As noted on September 8, ETH is a yield bearing asset. Since late August, institutions have been waking up to the fact that by holding ETH in an ETF they miss out on staking revenue.
Firms like Sharplink openly advertise their staking revenue, accelerating this realization.
To capitalize on the rotation, MSM stays focused mainly on ETF outflows while glossing over ETH Treasury inflows while KOLs call for lower prices on social media.
The past week this FUD strategy netted Treasuries an extra $356M in spot sell pressure and over $10B in futures liquidations.
The lesson here? Ignore the noise and BTFD spot before big money pumps its bags!
Week ending Sep 26:
ETH ETFs sold 177,280 ETH
ETH Treasuries bought 266,000 ETH
π’ Net: 88,720 ETH, worth $356M at $4k, were accumulated by institutions.
As noted on September 8, ETH is a yield bearing asset. Since late August, institutions have been waking up to the fact that by holding ETH in an ETF they miss out on staking revenue.
Firms like Sharplink openly advertise their staking revenue, accelerating this realization.
To capitalize on the rotation, MSM stays focused mainly on ETF outflows while glossing over ETH Treasury inflows while KOLs call for lower prices on social media.
The past week this FUD strategy netted Treasuries an extra $356M in spot sell pressure and over $10B in futures liquidations.
The lesson here? Ignore the noise and BTFD spot before big money pumps its bags!
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Bull Case
π¨Core & Headline PCE both as expected but bouncing off Fed's 2% target. Inflation remains stealth, still not high enough to trigger a hawkish response from the Fed. Stealth inflation cuts real rates and pushes more money out of WRESBAL into crypto. [QEβ¦
π¨GOLDMAN EXPECTS INFLATION TO KEEP RISING IN Q4 UNTIL JAN 2026
A 1% rise in PCE equals four 25 bps cuts, pushing real rates lower and accelerating WRESBAL outflows.
With $3T still parked in WRESBAL this bull market has a lot of jet fuel in the tank.
[BTFD before big money sends everything ballistic in Q4!]
A 1% rise in PCE equals four 25 bps cuts, pushing real rates lower and accelerating WRESBAL outflows.
With $3T still parked in WRESBAL this bull market has a lot of jet fuel in the tank.
[BTFD before big money sends everything ballistic in Q4!]
π4π2
π¨WHATβS THE SAFEST & MOST PROFITABLE WAY TO MAXIMIZE RETURNS ON 1 ETH ON THE WAY UP? (exclusive bull alpha by @bullcase)
Starting capital 1 ETH, entry ETH price $4k, planned exit $10k (only a matter of time):
1. Spot: +$6k profit, no liquidation risk
2. Open 2x long with perps: +$16k return, liquidation risk: -50% price dump
3. SIR defi 2x ETH long: +$19.5k profit, no liquidation risk
The best part? It gives exponential returns if price pumps higher.
Letβs calculate profit for exit at $15k (starting capital 1 ETH, entry ETH price $4k, planned exit $15k):
1. Spot: +$11k (no liquidation risk)
2. Perps 2x: +$26k (with liquidation risk)
3. SIR defi 2x ETH long: $34.5k, no liquidation risk
There is one way to do this right & thatβs SIR. Max profit with no liquidation risk and no volatility decay. Profit/loss depends exclusively on entry & exit price.
SIR is a new defi primitive on ETH that we @bullcase approve of π€
https://app.sir.trading/
https://app.sir.trading/leverage-calculator
Starting capital 1 ETH, entry ETH price $4k, planned exit $10k (only a matter of time):
1. Spot: +$6k profit, no liquidation risk
2. Open 2x long with perps: +$16k return, liquidation risk: -50% price dump
3. SIR defi 2x ETH long: +$19.5k profit, no liquidation risk
The best part? It gives exponential returns if price pumps higher.
Letβs calculate profit for exit at $15k (starting capital 1 ETH, entry ETH price $4k, planned exit $15k):
1. Spot: +$11k (no liquidation risk)
2. Perps 2x: +$26k (with liquidation risk)
3. SIR defi 2x ETH long: $34.5k, no liquidation risk
There is one way to do this right & thatβs SIR. Max profit with no liquidation risk and no volatility decay. Profit/loss depends exclusively on entry & exit price.
SIR is a new defi primitive on ETH that we @bullcase approve of π€
https://app.sir.trading/
https://app.sir.trading/leverage-calculator
π€―4π2β€1π₯1π1π1
Bull Case
π¨GOLDMAN EXPECTS INFLATION TO KEEP RISING IN Q4 UNTIL JAN 2026 A 1% rise in PCE equals four 25 bps cuts, pushing real rates lower and accelerating WRESBAL outflows. With $3T still parked in WRESBAL this bull market has a lot of jet fuel in the tank. [BTFDβ¦
π¨BofA: Tariff-driven inflation and Fed cuts could push real rates below 0, making policy accommodative and signaling higher tolerance for inflation.
[BTFD before real rates go to zero and $3T from WRESBAL flood into markets!]
[BTFD before real rates go to zero and $3T from WRESBAL flood into markets!]
π3π2π€‘1
Bull Case
π¨GOLDMAN EXPECTS INFLATION TO KEEP RISING IN Q4 UNTIL JAN 2026 A 1% rise in PCE equals four 25 bps cuts, pushing real rates lower and accelerating WRESBAL outflows. With $3T still parked in WRESBAL this bull market has a lot of jet fuel in the tank. [BTFDβ¦
π¨BTC back above $112k
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