Bull Case
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Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Content here is for informational purposes only, always DYOR before making decisions.
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๐ŸšจAltseason is intensifying: the gap between open interest between BTC and altcoins has just reached a new record high.

When institutions or whales buy spot, they hedge with futures pushing up the OI.

[This is evidence that institutions have been buying alts. Load up before everything goes ballistic!]
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๐ŸšจThe IRS reportedly moving toward near-real-time crypto monitoring by combining 1099-DA exchange reports, John Doe summons results, and blockchain analytics to create continuous financial profiles.

*In the last parabolic bull year, 2021, the IRS reported $3.5B in crypto related seizures driven largely by John Doe summonses alone.

-sauce

[For this year they're going to confiscate 100x times that. Load up spot before big money floods crypto!]
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Bull Case
๐ŸšจYOU ARE NOT BULLISH ENOUGH: DXY down, gold ATH, uncertainty index higher than during Covid, trade war escalating, short term inflation expectations UP, EMs imploding, China easing and dumping USTs to keep the Yuan afloat, EU easing, the Fed about to easeโ€ฆ
๐ŸšจIn 2016โ€“2017, Ethereum formed a classic bear trap before soaring to new ATHs. Now in 2024โ€“2025, the chart shows a very similar setup. [We told you at the pico bottom and we're telling you again now, BTFD!]
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Bull Case
๐ŸšจThe MOVE index hasnโ€™t set a new low since August 15, closing yesterday at 85.28. With money also flowing out of the long end, it looks increasingly likely that Jackson Hole marked the peak of the Fedโ€™s dovish rhetoric. [At least 3 months of bull left fromโ€ฆ
๐ŸšจThe MOVE index has resumed making new lows closing Friday at 73.3, the lowest since January 2022.

Fed rhetoric is about to get even more dovish than at Jackson Hole.

[There is no end in sight for this bull, load up spot before everything explodes!]
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๐ŸšจIn FT interview, SEC Chair Paul Atkins signals shift to warning over fines.

*Atkins FT interview: No more surprise crackdowns for technical violations. Companies will get warnings for technical slip-ups before any action.

[This will send risk appetite through the roof. Load up spot before everything moons!]
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Bull Case
๐ŸšจBULL BASE CASE UPDATE (exclusive analysis by @bullcase) Bitcoin has closed 100 days above $100K, supported by $16bn inflows into spot ETFs since May. Saturday the 200DMA reached $100K for the first time. Strategic ETH reserves by corporate entities haveโ€ฆ
๐ŸšจBULL BASE CASE UPDATE (exclusive analysis by @bullcase) Following the latest batch of US data (NFP, CPI, jobless claims), the 2Y Treasury yield (red curve on the chart) has been falling sharply, increasing the gap with the rates set by the Fed (black curve).

Every time 2Y yields diverged from Fed's rates (red bars), the Fed triggered a rate-cutting cycle that further lowered actual market rates as well. These cycles trigger bull markets that end when the Fed starts hiking again.

The MOVE index also keeps making new lows, confirming the Fed is only going to get more dovish soon. Therefore there are no hikes in sight for now.

In August we updated our base case from a top for Oct-Nov 2025, to Q2 2026. Inflation denial and recessionary signals across bankruptcies, housing, and labor markets indicated the Fed was likely going to get more dovish.

One month later, our base case has been confirmed again by 2Y bond yields. We're expecting 9 months of bull left from here.

Load up spot before it's too late!
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๐Ÿšจ3-month correlation indicator, a measure of profit taking activity that shot up in March-April, seems set to break to new lows despite September's negative seasonality.

[Nobody is selling. Load up or you gonna miss the biggest bull market in the history of humanity!]
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๐ŸšจLast week, flows into Bitcoin ETFs surpassed new supply by 8.93x times.

[Big money is only starting to flood crypto, you're still on time to BTFD!]
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Bull Case pinned a photo
๐ŸšจCrypto ETP inflows rebounded to $3.3B last week, led by Bitcoin ETPs' $2.4B

[Big money is starting to flood crypto, BTFD!]
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๐Ÿšจ$39.9T corporate treasury assets are starting to spill over into altcoins.

BTC & ETH DATs are already massive. Alt DATs is where the opportunity is at.

We're expecting a lot of new alt DAT announcements in the coming months.

[There will be a DAT for every alt coin, BTFD before Wall Street starts aping!]
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๐ŸšจJD Power survey: only 29% of respondents used AI to research crypto topics in the last 3 months

[BTFD now while we're still in the pre-retail phase if you want asymmetric returns!
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Bitcoin/Ethereum Spot ETF Flows: 15 September 2025

๐ŸŸข Bitcoin ETFs: $259.9M net inflows

๐ŸŸข Ethereum ETFs: $359.7M net inflows
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Bull Case
๐Ÿšจ$39.9T corporate treasury assets are starting to spill over into altcoins. BTC & ETH DATs are already massive. Alt DATs is where the opportunity is at. We're expecting a lot of new alt DAT announcements in the coming months. [There will be a DAT forโ€ฆ
๐ŸšจStandard Chartered report says many DATs are now falling below the critical mNAV level, making it difficult for them to acquire more assets. Only major players with cheap capital and solid strategies can survive. The rest are at risk of being crushed by consolidation.

[Foundation backed alt DATs for most coins in the top 50 are coming. Ignore the mNAV compression FUD and BTFD before Wall St starts aping!]
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๐ŸšจMoodyโ€™s puts the 12-month US recession probability at 48%, just below the 50% threshold. Historically, the probability never got this high without a recession following up.

[Still many months of bull left. Ignore recession FUD, BTFD!]
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Bull Case
๐ŸšจBULL BASE CASE UPDATE (exclusive analysis by @bullcase) Following the latest batch of US data (NFP, CPI, jobless claims), the 2Y Treasury yield (red curve on the chart) has been falling sharply, increasing the gap with the rates set by the Fed (black curve).โ€ฆ
๐ŸšจBlackrock: We stay risk on as the Federal Reserve likely resumes cutting policy rates this week. A softening labor market gives the Fed space to cut, helping ease brewing political tensions from higher interest rates.

Blackrock knows the September FOMC meeting is not just about a rate cut, but marks the beginning of a new rate cutting cycle.

[$3tn are about to flood markets, BTFD before everything moons!]
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๐ŸšจFund manager sentiment (per Bank of America) rose to the highest level since Feb '25 in September.
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๐ŸšจBitwise expects an imminent โ€˜ETPaloozaโ€™ similar to the ETF boom following the 2019 ETF rule once the SEC signs off on the Generic Listing Standards for ETPs proposed by major exchanges.

Expected impact on the Crypto ETP Space:

*reduced time-to-market
*Increased number and variety of products beyond BTC and ETH
*increased accessibility for retail and institutions

[BTFD before Wall St starts aping!]
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๐ŸšจAmerican Bitcoin now trading on Nasdaq. Ticker: $ABTC

American Bitcoin mines and accumulates BTC. It holds >2,400 BTC and recently raised $2.1B planned capital for expansion.

[Big money is about to flood crpto, BTFD before everything moons!]
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๐ŸšจCrypto app rankings show retail still on the sidelines.

[We're still early, BTFD!]
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๐ŸšจBofA Survey: 2/3 of fund managers have 0 allocation to crypto

[We're still early, BTFD!]
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