Bernstein analysts: We expect a long, exhausting crypto bull market, continuing the surge into 2026 and potentially peaking in 2027. [BTFD!]
π€£8π₯1
Bull Case
The inflation hedge signal (pictured in our post from 23 July) should trigger next week when June's core PCE officially crosses over the Financial Conditions Index (assuming projections are correct). Because Trump has successfully cornered the Fed, supportedβ¦
Apollo SlΓΈk: The situation today is surprisingly similar to the IT bubble in the 1990s. [We're nowhere close the end of this bull, BTFD!]
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Bull Case
π¨Important divergence between 1Y inflation swap and headline CPI YoY. If tomorrow's CPI print comes in soft, that's jet fuel for the bulls. [Crypto will pump regardless, BTFD!]
π¨One month later, the divergence between 1Y inflation swaps (3.31%) and CPI (2.7%) remains. [The inflation hedge trade isn't going away any time soon, BTFD!]
π3π3
Bull Case
ICYMI: π’π’July 29 - Mill City Ventures III, Ltd. (MCVT) announced the sale of 83,025,830 shares of common stock at $5.42 per share to acquire $450M worth of SUI π’π’July 28 - CEA Industries Inc. announced it's selling $500M worth of stock to buy BNB, with anβ¦
π¨Stocks are confirming a local top and rotation into crypto is about to get more forceful. Many alts are already starting to lead against BTC as liquidity moves down the risk curve. BTFD!
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Bull Case
ICYMI: π’π’July 29 - Mill City Ventures III, Ltd. (MCVT) announced the sale of 83,025,830 shares of common stock at $5.42 per share to acquire $450M worth of SUI π’π’July 28 - CEA Industries Inc. announced it's selling $500M worth of stock to buy BNB, with anβ¦
π¨Since Liberation Day, Momentum has outperformed Value. The gap is closing in August, which confirms that hot liquidity is leaving equities. [Risk-on capital is rotating into crypto, buy the crypto dip before it's too late!]
πΏ5π1
Bull Case
WHY NO CUT IN SEPTEMBER IS BULLISH THANKS TO FED INDEPENDENCE RISK (exclusive analysis by @bullcase) Truflation, TIPS, Core CPI have been ticking higher which means we don't have to wait for September, the rate cut is happening as we speak (real rates areβ¦
π¨Trump calls for Dem appointed Fed Governor Lisa Cook to resign after Pulte officially refers her for mortgage fraud. [Bullish crypto, BTFD!]
π€£4
Bull Case
π¨Today's job report looks like we're in a recession. *May Nonfarm Payrolls revised from 144.0K to 19.0K (-86% correction) *June revised from 147K to 14K (-85% correction) *July numbers missed estimates by 30% (70K from 106K). *The 6m change in the unemploymentβ¦
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π¨Fed minutes: a majority of participants judged the upside risk to inflation as the greater of these two risks, while several participants viewed the two risks as roughly balanced, and a couple of participants considered downside risk to employment the more salient risk.
These Fed minutes were a couple of days before the huge deterioration in the labor market report and major revisions downward for the prior two months.
[Whatever you do, DO NOT capitulate into bull market dips. BTFD!]
These Fed minutes were a couple of days before the huge deterioration in the labor market report and major revisions downward for the prior two months.
[Whatever you do, DO NOT capitulate into bull market dips. BTFD!]
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Bull Case
π¨BULL BASE CASE UPDATE (exclusive analysis by @bullcase) Bitcoin has closed 100 days above $100K, supported by $16bn inflows into spot ETFs since May. Saturday the 200DMA reached $100K for the first time. Strategic ETH reserves by corporate entities haveβ¦
π¨Wealthy Asian family offices are increasing crypto exposure, citing diversification benefits and favourable regulation after the US GENIUS Act.
*Last year, they started to dip their feet into bitcoin ETFs⦠now they have begun to learn the difference of holding a token directly -Zann Kwan of Revo Digital Family Office
*Investors are increasingly treating bitcoin as a "portfolio diversifier" to hedge macro uncertainties -Giselle Lai of Fidelity international
*Many second- and third-generation individuals of family offices are starting to learn about and participate in virtual currencies -Zu Jie of UBS China
*Last year, they started to dip their feet into bitcoin ETFs⦠now they have begun to learn the difference of holding a token directly -Zann Kwan of Revo Digital Family Office
*Investors are increasingly treating bitcoin as a "portfolio diversifier" to hedge macro uncertainties -Giselle Lai of Fidelity international
*Many second- and third-generation individuals of family offices are starting to learn about and participate in virtual currencies -Zu Jie of UBS China
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π¨US PMI showed the fastest activity growth this year, with the index rising to 55.4 in August (Jul: 55.1). It also printed stronger output prices, which are costs that will passed to consumers (a leading indicator for CPI).
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Bitcoin/Ethereum Spot ETF Flows: 21 August 2025
π΄ Bitcoin ETFs: $194.4M net outflows
π’ Ethereum ETFs: $287.6M net inflows
[Let the rotation into altcoins continue, BTFD!]
π΄ Bitcoin ETFs: $194.4M net outflows
π’ Ethereum ETFs: $287.6M net inflows
[Let the rotation into altcoins continue, BTFD!]
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π¨Goldman Sachs: We do not expect Powell to decisively signal a September cut, but the speech should make it clear to markets that he is likely to support one.
We expect Powell to modify his statement from the July FOMC press conference that the FOMC is "well positioned" to wait for more information. Instead, he might note that the FOMC is well positioned to address risks to both sides of its mandate but emphasize that downside risks to the labor market have grown following the July employment report, while reiterating that tariffs are likely to have only a one-time effect on the price level.
We expect Powell to modify his statement from the July FOMC press conference that the FOMC is "well positioned" to wait for more information. Instead, he might note that the FOMC is well positioned to address risks to both sides of its mandate but emphasize that downside risks to the labor market have grown following the July employment report, while reiterating that tariffs are likely to have only a one-time effect on the price level.
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π¨For more context and in-depth market discussions about everything you see on this page come join @monerouncensoredchat. Spammers/scammers will be kicked
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Bull Case
Google Trends shows ATH search interest in "gold" and "GLD", a classic signal of FOMO and top. Now capital starts rotating into BTC and crypto. - Bull Case insider
π¨GOLD IS ABOUT TO BREAK DOWN AND THAT'S BULLISH FOR CRYPTO (exclusive analysis by @bullcase) We called the gold top in April 2025 and we are not backing down.
However, today markets are still uncertain. For example, according to John Doody of Stansberry Research gold hasn't topped and is forming an ascending triangle that is about to break out.
A gold continuation higher would be bearish for crypto short term, because it would draw capital back into gold. A break down that finally confirms the top would be immensely bullish as it would accelerate big money's rotation into crypto.
There is still a lot of big money in gold waiting for a confirmation signal.
Our view is that Powell's speech last week officially put a cap on Gold's upside. The Fed has abandoned the 2020 framework, which means any offshoots in inflation won't be tolerated as temporary.
An imminent gold top confirmation is also supported by CTA flows and easing geopolitical risks.
BTFD and chill. Crypto is about to explode!
However, today markets are still uncertain. For example, according to John Doody of Stansberry Research gold hasn't topped and is forming an ascending triangle that is about to break out.
A gold continuation higher would be bearish for crypto short term, because it would draw capital back into gold. A break down that finally confirms the top would be immensely bullish as it would accelerate big money's rotation into crypto.
There is still a lot of big money in gold waiting for a confirmation signal.
Our view is that Powell's speech last week officially put a cap on Gold's upside. The Fed has abandoned the 2020 framework, which means any offshoots in inflation won't be tolerated as temporary.
An imminent gold top confirmation is also supported by CTA flows and easing geopolitical risks.
BTFD and chill. Crypto is about to explode!
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