Bull Case
π¨The TAM model shows #bitcoin is trading near the floor of its fair value range, with current price reflecting just 1% market penetration. Coinshares has released a report to calculate Bitcoin fair value should it capture the maximum market value available.β¦
π¨Public companies added over $2.5bn in Bitcoin to their treasuries last week. [BTFD!]
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Bull Case
ICYMI: π’π’July 29 - Mill City Ventures III, Ltd. (MCVT) announced the sale of 83,025,830 shares of common stock at $5.42 per share to acquire $450M worth of SUI π’π’July 28 - CEA Industries Inc. announced it's selling $500M worth of stock to buy BNB, with anβ¦
π’ Verb Technology ($VERB) announces $558M private placament to build its TON treasury [Let the rotation from stocks into crypto continue, BTFD!]
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Bitcoin/Ethereum Spot ETF Flows: 5 August 2025
π΄Bitcoin ETFs: $196M net outflows
π’Ethereum ETFs: $73.22M net inflows
[Let the rotation from BTC into alts continue. BTFD!]
π΄Bitcoin ETFs: $196M net outflows
π’Ethereum ETFs: $73.22M net inflows
[Let the rotation from BTC into alts continue. BTFD!]
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Bull Case
π¨The ISM report today highlights a slowing services sector, with growth momentum weakening amid strong inflationary pressures as the Prices Paid index hit 69. [The Fed can't hike any time soon, the inflation hedge trade has never been stronger. BTFD!]
π¨The stagflation narrative is now hitting the mainstream media. Stagflation (low growth, high inflation) is the textbook environment where liquidity flows info inflation hedges. Crypto is an inflation hedge. [BTFD before it's too late, alts will fly]
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Bull Case
π¨Bloomberg's Apollo: US economy is currently facing headwinds from higher oil prices, increased tariffs, the resumption of student loan payments, and higher long-term interest rates associated with the fiscal situation. When we quantify these four drags onβ¦
π¨Bloomberg's Apollo: ISM Services Prices Paid for July shows that inflation pressures in the service sector are intensifying, pointing to upside risks to CPI inflation over the coming months. [We're still at the beggining of the inflation hedge trade, Buy The Crypto Dip before it's too late!]
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Bull Case
In a trade war, most countries are caught between a rock and a hard place because they have to cut rates in a hyperinflationary environment, which leads to more inflation. The US currently has a 3rd option no other country has, thanks to USD's global reserveβ¦
π¨China instructs local brokers and other organizations to stop publishing research or hosting seminars promoting stablecoins, in a bid to rein in the asset class and prevent instability. [Looks like China found out about the stablecoin put. BTFD!]
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Bull Case
BofA Forex survey: π’ LONG USD the highest conviction trade for 0% for a fourth month. π’ SHORT USD the highest conviction trade has risen to 37% (its highest level this year) from 26%. This is the kind of forex risk on extreme that triggers parabolic bullβ¦
π¨BofA August Forex survey:
π’ LONG USD the highest conviction trade for 0%
π’ SHORT USD the highest conviction trade for 48% of partecipants
You know a parabolic bull is ahead of us when nobody wants to hold world's safe haven currency. This extreme USD positioning is the definition of a late cycle risk on market. [BTFD, we're still early!]
π’ LONG USD the highest conviction trade for 0%
π’ SHORT USD the highest conviction trade for 48% of partecipants
You know a parabolic bull is ahead of us when nobody wants to hold world's safe haven currency. This extreme USD positioning is the definition of a late cycle risk on market. [BTFD, we're still early!]
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Ethereum & Bitcoin Spot ETF Flows Week Ending 8 Aug 2025
βͺοΈBitcoin ETFs: $246.75M net inflows
π’Ethereum ETFs: $326.83M net inflows
[BTC.d has topped, let the rotation into alts continue!]
βͺοΈBitcoin ETFs: $246.75M net inflows
π’Ethereum ETFs: $326.83M net inflows
[BTC.d has topped, let the rotation into alts continue!]
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π¨Morgan Stanley: We're bullish on a 6-12 month horizon.
*Tariff induced inflation should subside later this year paving the way to more cuts.
*Should CPI come in soft this week it should trigger a more durable rotation into small caps
[This late cycle bull will last for as long as the Fed doesn't hike, BTFD before it's too late!]
*Tariff induced inflation should subside later this year paving the way to more cuts.
*Should CPI come in soft this week it should trigger a more durable rotation into small caps
[This late cycle bull will last for as long as the Fed doesn't hike, BTFD before it's too late!]
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π¨JPM: We are tactically bullish.
*The key bull case risk is CPI printing hawkishly.
*While inflation is moving higher we have not yet seen evidence of an inflation shock.
*The market is likely to remain unbothered until we get to a level that would make a rate hike a credible threat. That levels may be closer to 4.0% for Core YoY (vs 3-3.1% forecast for July) unless the Fed views that as transitory as well.
[The Fed will only get more dovish from here and won't hike even with 4% core, which will probably get dismissed as transitory tariff inflation. BTFD before it's too late!]
*The key bull case risk is CPI printing hawkishly.
*While inflation is moving higher we have not yet seen evidence of an inflation shock.
*The market is likely to remain unbothered until we get to a level that would make a rate hike a credible threat. That levels may be closer to 4.0% for Core YoY (vs 3-3.1% forecast for July) unless the Fed views that as transitory as well.
[The Fed will only get more dovish from here and won't hike even with 4% core, which will probably get dismissed as transitory tariff inflation. BTFD before it's too late!]
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Bitcoin/Ethereum Spot ETF Flows: 11 August 2025
π’Bitcoin ETFs: $178.1M net outflows
π’π’Ethereum ETFs: $1.01B net inflows
[Btc.d has topped and the rotation is not even that slow anymore]
π’Bitcoin ETFs: $178.1M net outflows
π’π’Ethereum ETFs: $1.01B net inflows
[Btc.d has topped and the rotation is not even that slow anymore]
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π¨ETH/BTC (0.038) is trading at a deep discount compared to the ETHMVRV/BTCMVRV ratio. Given their historical correlation, this divergence shows ETH is still cheap and has room to run until at least the 0.07 mark. [Alt season is just getting started, BTFD before it's too late!]
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