Bitcoin/Ethereum Spot ETF Flows July 23
๐ด Bitcoin ETFs: $85.8M net outflows
๐ข Ethereum ETFs: $332.2M net inflows
[Let the slow rotation from BTC into alts continue]
๐ด Bitcoin ETFs: $85.8M net outflows
๐ข Ethereum ETFs: $332.2M net inflows
[Let the slow rotation from BTC into alts continue]
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Bull Case
๐จFinancial conditions are back to as loose as they were prior to the Fed tightening cycle [They're about to get looser too. BTFD!]
๐จJapanese AI company Quantum Solutions announced a plan to hold up to 3000 BTC over the next 12 months to hedge against currency and inflation risks amid a weakening yen and global financial instability
[This is the classic inflation hedge trade that sends markets risk-on. Tariff induced hyperinflation abroad, tariff inflation with inflation denial in US. Send everything ๐]
[This is the classic inflation hedge trade that sends markets risk-on. Tariff induced hyperinflation abroad, tariff inflation with inflation denial in US. Send everything ๐]
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For even more context and content, anyone reading is welcome to join @monerouncensoredchat. That's where all the bulls hang out and discuss in even more depth all the different scenarios presented here.
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Bull Case
๐จMeme stocks going crazy because we broke the shorting rules. Short interest is over 100%, that shouldn't even be possible! [The short squeeze narrative is entering the scene just like in 2021]
๐จTotal funds borrowed for leveraged trades in retail margin accounts hit $1 trillion in June, breaking past the 2021 ATH.
[Even higher in July since the short squeeze narrative started going turbo. With risk appetite through the roof, buy the crypto dip!]
[Even higher in July since the short squeeze narrative started going turbo. With risk appetite through the roof, buy the crypto dip!]
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๐จThe BTC.D top in 2 Glassnode charts (exclusive analysis by @bullcase)
1) The first chart shows Bitcoin's price jump from June has triggered a wave of profit taking that has pushed realized market cap above $1 trillion for the first time in history.
2) The second chart reveals where some of that profit went: straight into altcoins. Over the past two weeks, we've seen one of the 12 biggest altcoin inflows in the last five years: $216BN.
[Let the slow rotation from BTC into altcoins continue]
1) The first chart shows Bitcoin's price jump from June has triggered a wave of profit taking that has pushed realized market cap above $1 trillion for the first time in history.
2) The second chart reveals where some of that profit went: straight into altcoins. Over the past two weeks, we've seen one of the 12 biggest altcoin inflows in the last five years: $216BN.
[Let the slow rotation from BTC into altcoins continue]
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Trump during Fed visit with Powell: I'd love them to lower interest rates
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Forwarded from Techleaks24 ๐ต๐ธ
Are you ready for crypto's Snowden moment? In early 2013 the consensus was that encryption was pointless for the average Joe and mostly something for activists, journalists and criminals.
Nobody cares about your messages, Billy. They do those things only to criminals and terrorists, not people like you
But then when Snowden happened and his NSA leaks were dropped, everyone realised that global mass surveillance was real.
That single event created, overnight, the multi-billion dollar encrypted messaging app market. The shift was lightning fast and that's when Signal started gaining momentum and when Telegram was created.
If when Snowden informed the world of PRISM and xKeyscore someone came to you offering an encrypted but compliant messaging app where encryption can be revoked only by law enforcement, would that have qualmed your surveillance worries? I don't think so.
In 2013, "only law enforcement with a warrant can access your messages" stopped working for messaging apps, everyone realized that was code for mass surveillance. As result people started flocking into encrypted messaging apps like Signal and Telegram. The momentum was so strong that even established messaging apps, like Whatsapp, had to eventually give up and offer end to end encryption to be able to compete and survive.
I think we will see the same in crypto although the whistleblower here will most likely involve something like Palantir's Foundery of Crypto and will reveal how everyone that ever completed KYC in a CEX has their entire financially history recorded in a Palantir (or competitor) database.
Everyone will find out that the KYC documentation, such as a photo of the user holding their driving license, and their entire transaction history from chain to chain and even passing through so called "non KYC exchanges", is contained and updated in a Palantir database.
The whistleblower may also reveal how Foundry of Crypto can reverse dox social media users from addresses they shared on social media (to participate in an airdrop or to receive a tip). This allows profiling based on political views or other information shared on social media. Said information is then used to determine police response time in case of emergency at their address, or to profile them for employment, scholarships, visas etc.
When that Snowden moment comes, which I think is going to be soon, a trillion dollar market for a private-through-encryption cryptocurrency will be created overnight. That's why you should not sleep on privacy and on trying to hunt down the strongest privacy tech out there today (spoiler: it's not XMR, ARRR, or ZEC, or any of the VC-funded compliant L2s).
Contrary to what they tell you on MSM, people care a lot about privacy. Privacy is an instinct that no amount of money, psychological manipulation or delusional billionaires shouting I-don't-think-so can take away from human nature.
P.S.: Kryptoid has released a pre-compiled beta of the DERO CLI wallet with fixed randomness reuse. It is a pre-release but much more accessible for anyone wanting to test the beta since it's pre-compiled. This also means we're getting really close to a beta release that would allow anyone to leverage the full capabilities of the most advanced privacy protocol out there today.
Nobody cares about your messages, Billy. They do those things only to criminals and terrorists, not people like you
But then when Snowden happened and his NSA leaks were dropped, everyone realised that global mass surveillance was real.
That single event created, overnight, the multi-billion dollar encrypted messaging app market. The shift was lightning fast and that's when Signal started gaining momentum and when Telegram was created.
If when Snowden informed the world of PRISM and xKeyscore someone came to you offering an encrypted but compliant messaging app where encryption can be revoked only by law enforcement, would that have qualmed your surveillance worries? I don't think so.
In 2013, "only law enforcement with a warrant can access your messages" stopped working for messaging apps, everyone realized that was code for mass surveillance. As result people started flocking into encrypted messaging apps like Signal and Telegram. The momentum was so strong that even established messaging apps, like Whatsapp, had to eventually give up and offer end to end encryption to be able to compete and survive.
I think we will see the same in crypto although the whistleblower here will most likely involve something like Palantir's Foundery of Crypto and will reveal how everyone that ever completed KYC in a CEX has their entire financially history recorded in a Palantir (or competitor) database.
Everyone will find out that the KYC documentation, such as a photo of the user holding their driving license, and their entire transaction history from chain to chain and even passing through so called "non KYC exchanges", is contained and updated in a Palantir database.
The whistleblower may also reveal how Foundry of Crypto can reverse dox social media users from addresses they shared on social media (to participate in an airdrop or to receive a tip). This allows profiling based on political views or other information shared on social media. Said information is then used to determine police response time in case of emergency at their address, or to profile them for employment, scholarships, visas etc.
When that Snowden moment comes, which I think is going to be soon, a trillion dollar market for a private-through-encryption cryptocurrency will be created overnight. That's why you should not sleep on privacy and on trying to hunt down the strongest privacy tech out there today (spoiler: it's not XMR, ARRR, or ZEC, or any of the VC-funded compliant L2s).
Contrary to what they tell you on MSM, people care a lot about privacy. Privacy is an instinct that no amount of money, psychological manipulation or delusional billionaires shouting I-don't-think-so can take away from human nature.
P.S.: Kryptoid has released a pre-compiled beta of the DERO CLI wallet with fixed randomness reuse. It is a pre-release but much more accessible for anyone wanting to test the beta since it's pre-compiled. This also means we're getting really close to a beta release that would allow anyone to leverage the full capabilities of the most advanced privacy protocol out there today.
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๐จUS bankruptcies hit decade high recession levels in 2025, driven by poor corporate liquidity, inflation and tariffs. Industrials and Consumer Discretionary (non-essential goods and services) led filings through June. -S&P Market intelligence
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Bitcoin/Ethereum Spot ETF Flows: 24 July 2025
๐ขBitcoin ETFs: $226.7M net inflows
๐ขEthereum ETFs: $231.2M net inflows
This is ETH's 15th consecutive day of net inflows. Of the total $8.8bn net inflows since Eth's ETF listing, $4.1bn came in over the last 15 days. [Buy the crypto dip!]
๐ขBitcoin ETFs: $226.7M net inflows
๐ขEthereum ETFs: $231.2M net inflows
This is ETH's 15th consecutive day of net inflows. Of the total $8.8bn net inflows since Eth's ETF listing, $4.1bn came in over the last 15 days. [Buy the crypto dip!]
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๐จWHY AUGUST IS SHAPING UP TO BE THE CRYPTO MELT-UP MONTH (exclusive analysis by @bullcase) The strong ETF flows are just a small taste of what's coming. The rotation from stocks into crypto is about to get more decisive.
1๏ธโฃGoldman's high-vs-low short interest pair (shown above) just had its best 1-month performance since the 2021 meme craze. This measures the relative performance of high short interest stocks vs low short interest stocks.
2๏ธโฃGS most shorted stocks index reached its highest level since June 2022
3๏ธโฃNAAIM exposure: 81.07
Forced liquidations in meme stocks (1๏ธโฃ, 2๏ธโฃ) and extreme positioning (3๏ธโฃ) suggest a local top in equities.
Once the top is confirmed and becomes obvious to everyone, a tsunami of liquidity will begin rotating into crypto in search of more returns, following the early wave of $4bn added to the ETH spot ETF.
BUY THE CRYPTO DIP!
1๏ธโฃGoldman's high-vs-low short interest pair (shown above) just had its best 1-month performance since the 2021 meme craze. This measures the relative performance of high short interest stocks vs low short interest stocks.
2๏ธโฃGS most shorted stocks index reached its highest level since June 2022
3๏ธโฃNAAIM exposure: 81.07
Forced liquidations in meme stocks (1๏ธโฃ, 2๏ธโฃ) and extreme positioning (3๏ธโฃ) suggest a local top in equities.
Once the top is confirmed and becomes obvious to everyone, a tsunami of liquidity will begin rotating into crypto in search of more returns, following the early wave of $4bn added to the ETH spot ETF.
BUY THE CRYPTO DIP!
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Bull Case
Total stablecoin market cap: $255.39bn [new ATH]
Total stablecoin market cap: $265bn [+10bn in 2 weeks]
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๐จWHY STABLECOIN ISSUERS HAVE EFFECTIVELY BECOME SIFIs (exclusive analysis by @bullcase) The GENIUS act makes holding a regulated stablecoin safer than keeping dollars in a bank through the following provisions:
1) Requires stablecoin issuers to hold an official license from the US government
2) Imposes monthly audits
3) Mandates strict 1:1 backing for every token, either in cash or US Treasury securities
4) Requires issuers to redeem stablecoins at par value upon request
Unlike traditional banks, stablecoin issuers are not authorized to lend out the money deposited by investors. As a result, their reserves are not fractional.
Stablecoin issuers provide critical infrastructure in the US Treasury market and GENIUS now defines them as even less risky than some systemically important financial institutions (SIFIs).
The GENIUS Act not only confirms our bull thesis that stablecoins will act as an unprecedented liquidity flywheel, but expands it by establishing a systemic incentive for liquidity to be displaced from banks into stables (and therefore crypto) by effectively redefining them as an emergent regulatory class of SIFIs.
1) Requires stablecoin issuers to hold an official license from the US government
2) Imposes monthly audits
3) Mandates strict 1:1 backing for every token, either in cash or US Treasury securities
4) Requires issuers to redeem stablecoins at par value upon request
Unlike traditional banks, stablecoin issuers are not authorized to lend out the money deposited by investors. As a result, their reserves are not fractional.
Stablecoin issuers provide critical infrastructure in the US Treasury market and GENIUS now defines them as even less risky than some systemically important financial institutions (SIFIs).
The GENIUS Act not only confirms our bull thesis that stablecoins will act as an unprecedented liquidity flywheel, but expands it by establishing a systemic incentive for liquidity to be displaced from banks into stables (and therefore crypto) by effectively redefining them as an emergent regulatory class of SIFIs.
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Bull Case
๐จWHY AUGUST IS SHAPING UP TO BE THE CRYPTO MELT-UP MONTH (exclusive analysis by @bullcase) The strong ETF flows are just a small taste of what's coming. The rotation from stocks into crypto is about to get more decisive. 1๏ธโฃGoldman's high-vs-low short interestโฆ
๐จGlobal equities SELL SIGNAL: In July institutional investors' cash level as a share of assets fell to 3.9% from 4.8% in April. Cash allocations under 4% are a sell signal.
โก๏ธSPX500 median 4 week loss (since 2011) after sell signal is 2% [A lot of profits are about to rotate into crypto from stocks, BTFD!]
โก๏ธSPX500 median 4 week loss (since 2011) after sell signal is 2% [A lot of profits are about to rotate into crypto from stocks, BTFD!]
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Bull Case
๐จWHY AUGUST IS SHAPING UP TO BE THE CRYPTO MELT-UP MONTH (exclusive analysis by @bullcase) The strong ETF flows are just a small taste of what's coming. The rotation from stocks into crypto is about to get more decisive. 1๏ธโฃGoldman's high-vs-low short interestโฆ
Goldman's speculative trading indicator has seen one of the sharpest increases on record.
โก๏ธSignal: short term consolidation followed by a longer term rally [Based on this indicator there is around one year of bull left from here]
โก๏ธSignal: short term consolidation followed by a longer term rally [Based on this indicator there is around one year of bull left from here]
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Bull Case
๐จFinancial conditions are back to as loose as they were prior to the Fed tightening cycle [They're about to get looser too. BTFD!]
The inflation hedge signal (pictured in our post from 23 July) should trigger next week when June's core PCE officially crosses over the Financial Conditions Index (assuming projections are correct).
Because Trump has successfully cornered the Fed, supported by recessionary signals in bankruptcy and labor market data, our base case has shifted from expecting a bullish outlook over the next 3 months (driven by dovish patience) to a bullish outlook over the next 12 months (in anticipation of a dovish pivot).
This puts us on the same trajectory as the '99 Dot Com bull market, with which there has already been a strong correlation since early 2023.
Because Trump has successfully cornered the Fed, supported by recessionary signals in bankruptcy and labor market data, our base case has shifted from expecting a bullish outlook over the next 3 months (driven by dovish patience) to a bullish outlook over the next 12 months (in anticipation of a dovish pivot).
This puts us on the same trajectory as the '99 Dot Com bull market, with which there has already been a strong correlation since early 2023.
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