Bull Case
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Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Content here is for informational purposes only, always DYOR before making decisions.
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EU warns it may accelerate retaliatory measures if President Donald Trump follows through on his 50% tariff threats on steel and aluminum [TACO, BTFD!]
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Manufacturing PMI -0.3pt from expectations but still rose +1.8pts from April moving further into expansion which it entered at the start of the year.
*New orders: rose to the strongest degree in three months, demand from within the United States was noted as the primary driver of growth
*Production: Despite the uplift in order books, production volumes were trimmed marginally for a third month in a row.
*Backlogs: fell again, albeit modestly
*Sentiment: growing expectations among the panel that disruption to markets caused by tariffs will dissipate in the months ahead
*Employment: An increase in labor capacity was registered in May, with a net increase in employment signaled for the first time in three months.
*Delivery Times: Supplier delivery delays (due to tariffs) were also noted, linked to growing stock shortages at vendors
*Prices: Latest data showed that raw material price inflation remained high, despite dropping to a three-month low
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🚨184 million logins and passwords stolen for Google, Microsoft, online banking, social media, etc.
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🚨🚨Trump and Xi are likely to speak this week -CNBC [TACO, BTFD]
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Why the trade war was always a fake war
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Flows since Liberation day low: crypto and short duration bonds on top. [$20bn from short duration bonds will fuel the parabolic phase of this bull]
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🚨Silver just broke a 12 year high [smelling a rate cut, BTFD]
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Hiring dipped in May [smelling a rate cut, BTFD]
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ActivTrades Senior Analyst Ricardo Evangelista: I think that a weakening in the US labor market will increase bets on a dovish Fed, so on the Fed cutting interest rates, (which) would be positive for gold.
GS's Robert Quinn: Silver rally driven by contraction in services sector activity and the slowest private payrolls growth since March 2023 in May. Bad US data increased expectations that the Federal Reserve will likely deliver at least two rate cuts by year-end.
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BTC bulls in control: 4 straight closes above the previous highest close and not a single close below the 5 EMA since $84K
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Prime Minister Ishiba of Japan: country is entering phase of increasing interest ratesas a trend
*Ishiba: if interest rates increase, government debt financing costs will rise, potentially impacting spending [debase or die]
China's rare earth exports jump 23% in May despite export curbs -RTRS [after falling by half in April]
China's new loans triple in May: Banks issued Β₯850B ($118bn) in new loans as US tariff pause and rate cuts lift sentiment. [we're so back]
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🚨CPI coming on Wednesday, obviously rigged but worth noting that prices paid survey for 6M ahead just touched covid highs. [crypto is an inflation hedge]
🚨Citigroup now expects Fed to deliver 75bps of rate cuts this year, 25bps in September, October, and December, after NFP data.
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🚨🚨The bull thesis is intact, ignore macro FUD and BTFD. We are in the final parabolic phase of this cycle's bull run which is going to last until October-November. A few things we were proven right about so far:

1) Liberation Day bottom: BTC has gone up only ever since while many alts, including ETH, bottomed in April
2) The stablecoin put: Circle IPOed, total stablecoin market cap keeps making ATHs
3) Gold's top

We have been posting less here because the guys maintaining this channel (Archer & C) are on vacation. However, if you want to hang out with us you should know all @bullcase insiders hang out in @monerouncensoredchat. The group is called Monero because it was originally created to discuss some issues about Monero, but today we discuss everything market related. Anyone who is not a spammer is welcome.
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Bull Case pinned «🚨🚨The bull thesis is intact, ignore macro FUD and BTFD. We are in the final parabolic phase of this cycle's bull run which is going to last until October-November. A few things we were proven right about so far: 1) Liberation Day bottom: BTC has gone up only…»
Corporate BTC holdings are on the rise
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South Korea’s Ruling Party proposed the Digital Asset Basic Act on Tuesday allowing companies to issue stablecoins with at least 500 million won ($367,876) in equity capital and guaranteed refunds through reserves.
*Bank of Korea Governor Rhee Chang-yong: stablecoins issued by non-bank entities could weaken the effectiveness of monetary policy
*BoK Governor Rhee Chang-yong: the central bank should take the lead in regulating a won-pegged stablecoin [debase or die, stables are a key tool in currency debasement]