Bull Case
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Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Content here is for informational purposes only, always DYOR before making decisions.
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🚨Markets now price 68.7% chance of September rate cut after today's inflation data! April PCE Price Index rose just 0.1%, dropping annual rate to 2.1%, near Fed's 2% target. Core PCE also eased to 2.5%.
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🚨US plans wider China tech sanctions with subsidiary crackdown
*The rule would cover subsidiaries of Chinese firms under US curbs [TACO, BTFD]
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Dimon: China is a potential adversary, but what I really worry about is us. Can we get our own act together, our own values and capabilities. This time is different… we have to get our act together and quickly. [Ignore macro FUD, BTFD]
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Dimon: We're going to see a crack in the bond market [maybe he is high on crack, just ignore Dimon's FUD and BTFD]
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At 6.2%, stocks are on track for their best May since 1990.
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Barclay's: the pain trade remains to the upside.
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Gold down 0.7% on the day [the fake trade war has lost its grip on markets, nobody cares]
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US Treasury yields down [Panicans BTFO]
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June has been down only once in the past decade [higher we go]
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🚨Total stablecoin market cap: $247.48bn [new ATH, +$7bn in May]
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World/US: same dead cat bounce as in 2017 and 2021 [ignore macro FUD, BTFD]
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Tom Lee this morning:
*S&P 500 target is $6600 and now feels more reasonable to achieve than in February
*A new bull market started on April 7th because of massive deleveraging and sentiment collapse which created a new opportunity
*Housing and auto insurance was 75% of the reason for inflation, now housing is going negative and core inflation is coming down aggressively so rate cuts feel likely
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🚨If you’re scared to BTFD, do it scared, but do it regardless!
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Crypto funds post $286M net inflows in week ending May 30 despite heavy selling -Coinshares
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🚨Gold up nearly 2% [gold has topped, rotation into crypto underway]
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EU warns it may accelerate retaliatory measures if President Donald Trump follows through on his 50% tariff threats on steel and aluminum [TACO, BTFD!]
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Bull Case pinned a photo
Manufacturing PMI -0.3pt from expectations but still rose +1.8pts from April moving further into expansion which it entered at the start of the year.
*New orders: rose to the strongest degree in three months, demand from within the United States was noted as the primary driver of growth
*Production: Despite the uplift in order books, production volumes were trimmed marginally for a third month in a row.
*Backlogs: fell again, albeit modestly
*Sentiment: growing expectations among the panel that disruption to markets caused by tariffs will dissipate in the months ahead
*Employment: An increase in labor capacity was registered in May, with a net increase in employment signaled for the first time in three months.
*Delivery Times: Supplier delivery delays (due to tariffs) were also noted, linked to growing stock shortages at vendors
*Prices: Latest data showed that raw material price inflation remained high, despite dropping to a three-month low
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🚨184 million logins and passwords stolen for Google, Microsoft, online banking, social media, etc.
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🚨🚨Trump and Xi are likely to speak this week -CNBC [TACO, BTFD]
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Why the trade war was always a fake war
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