Bull Case
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Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Content here is for informational purposes only, always DYOR before making decisions.
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Goldman Sachs: We surveyed nearly 800 institutional investors on the biggest risks they are watching in the next three months, 37% consider trade policy to be the biggest risk throughout summer, followed by US growth (26%) and US deficit (23%). [Institutional investors are in full panic mode, remember to BTFD]
Bloomberg, Deutsche, Tier1ALpha all show that CTAs (trend following funds) are starting to chase the sotck market rally. Allocations have gone up sharply over the past week [with plenty of room to go still]
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🚨Circle has filed for an IPO on the NYSE under the ticker "CRCL." [bullish bonds]
CB Consumer Confidence Index, after falling in April to the least in almost five years, rebounded in May with the biggest gain in four years from 85.7 to 98, above all Bloomberg estimates. [we are going to see a lot of these rebounds as the market prices in the fact that the trade war was fake. Ignore macro FUD, BTFD]
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🚨US court blocks most Trump tariffs deeming them illegal
*US court: President exceeded his authority and misused emergency powers to impose them.
*Trump administration has filed an appeal, the case could ultimately be decided by the Supreme Court [the trade war was always fake, BTFD]
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TACO Trade: ignore macro FUD, BTFD.
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Markets are buying the news so far. SPX futures up 1,66% [send everything]
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According to Goldman, Trump has other tools to enforce tariffs despite US court ruling [TACO, BTFD]
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Bessent: US-China trade talks a bit stalled, may require Trump-Xi to weigh in [even the Chinese are ordering TACOs for lunch]
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The next leg up of this market will not be BTC led: Ethereum compressing under resistance. The longer it coils, the bigger the breakout. BTFD!
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BlackRock's onchain money market fund BUIDL reaches $2.92bn in AUM
BofA Hartnett: Markets whispering big breakout or breakdown for risk assets coming soon; best "tells" will be XBD index ($900), IXG ($105), Bitcoin ($110k)...double tops in risk leaders = very bearish, clean upside breaks = very bullish. [BTFD]
BofA: Crypto biggest weekly inflow since Jan 2025 ($2.6bn)
🚨US spot Bitcoin ETFs saw a $359M outflow on May 29, while ETH ETFs saw $91.93M in inflows, extending their 9-day streak. [Eth about to rip]
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🚨Trump: China has totally violated its agreement with us [ignore this clown, BTFD]
*Greer: China behavior 'completely unacceptable'
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US stocks in free fall [BTFD]
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Stripe in early talks with banks to integrate stablecoins for global payments. -source
🚨Markets now price 68.7% chance of September rate cut after today's inflation data! April PCE Price Index rose just 0.1%, dropping annual rate to 2.1%, near Fed's 2% target. Core PCE also eased to 2.5%.
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