π¨US Supreme Court signals Trump can't fire Powell
*US Supreme Court on whether Trump can fire members of Federal Reserve's Board of Governors: We disagree. The Federal Reserve is a uniquely structured, quasi-private entity that follows in the distinct historical tradition of the First and Second Banksof the United States. -ruling
*US Supreme Court on whether Trump can fire members of Federal Reserve's Board of Governors: We disagree. The Federal Reserve is a uniquely structured, quasi-private entity that follows in the distinct historical tradition of the First and Second Banksof the United States. -ruling
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EB Research's Jussi Hiljanen: Eroding trust in U.S. policy, unattractive valuations after accounting for FX hedging costs, and a shift towards European bonds are putting structural upward pressure on long U.S. yields. [ignore macro FUD]
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US Treasury Sec. Bessent: There is an equilibrium rate for tariffs and I think we will reach that rate.
*Bessent: Tariff barriers or nontariff trade barriers are coming down, so friction is decreasing.
*Bessent: This will lead to several hundred billion dollars a year of revenue, which will correlate to several hundred billion less bonds that
US Treasury has to issue.
*Bessent: Tariff barriers or nontariff trade barriers are coming down, so friction is decreasing.
*Bessent: This will lead to several hundred billion dollars a year of revenue, which will correlate to several hundred billion less bonds that
US Treasury has to issue.
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Trump at the negotiation table
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Goldman Sachs: We surveyed nearly 800 institutional investors on the biggest risks they are watching in the next three months, 37% consider trade policy to be the biggest risk throughout summer, followed by US growth (26%) and US deficit (23%). [Institutional investors are in full panic mode, remember to BTFD]
Bloomberg, Deutsche, Tier1ALpha all show that CTAs (trend following funds) are starting to chase the sotck market rally. Allocations have gone up sharply over the past week [with plenty of room to go still]
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