Bull Case
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Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Content here is for informational purposes only, always DYOR before making decisions.
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Spot gold down 1% on report Bessent to meet with China
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S&P 500 futures surge over +1% on report Bessent to meet with China
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๐ŸšจChinaโ€™s Central Bank Unveils Major Monetary Policy Easing Measures
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Bloomberg's Eric Zhu: The Peopleโ€™s Bank of China is spearheading efforts to shield the economy from the trade-war shock with a rate cut and other monetary support. The move echoes a strategy used last September, when the PBOC took the lead in delivering stimulus and fiscal support followed
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PBOC: Starting from May 7, 2025, the relending rate will be reduced by 0.25 percentage points.
Pinpoint chief economist Zhiwei Zhang: China's timing of monetary stimulus is likely tied to developments in the foreign exchange market, the current USD/CNH level indicates there is no longer significant pressure for the yuan to depreciate against the dollar, especially after several Asian currencies have appreciated recently.
Deutsche: US companies are set to repurchase a record $500 billion of their own shares. Stronger-than-expected earnings have left companies flush with cash, while trade tensions and depressed stock prices have made buybacks an appealing option.
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ING: China's recent monetary stimulus package is likely timed to coincide with the upcoming US-China trade talks
Citi: Beijing's latest 10-measure stimulus package is a timely and strategic move that could provide leverage ahead of potential trade negotiations with the US
Capital Economics Zichun Huang: "Todayโ€™s easing measures are no substitute for an expansion in fiscal support, the economic impact of the announced policies is likely to be positive but modest."
ANZ Research: China's recent stimulus package indicates that the government is concerned about achieving its 5% economic growth target for the year
Maybank's Erica Tay: China's latest stimulus package is substantial and could strengthen Beijing's position in talks with the US. The pledge by China's securities regulator to stabilize the stock market through a stabilization fund represents a significant shift towards full-throttled support for Chinese equities. The message to stock investors is clear: the state has your back.
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Macro turning bullish fast: China-US trade talks resuming, PBOC easing, $560bn in US stock buybacks about to happen. Don't fomo into gold, buy crypto (we're still early).

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๐ŸšจChina Foreign Ministry: US should stop threatening if it wants a deal.
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China adds to state gold reserves for sixth straight month. China gold reserves $243.59 billion at end-April vs $229.59 billion at end March -PBOC
The US dollar could face a $2.5 trillion sell-off as Asian exporters and investors unwind their dollar reserves -Stephen Jen of Eurizon SLJ Capital
๐ŸšจStablecoin total market cap up 3% ($7bn) in the last month [direct measure of new cash entering crypto markets]
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The Indonesia Chief Economic Minister says there have been no discussions with the U.S. on the rupiah exchange rate as part of tariff negotiations.
๐ŸšจEU eyes tariffs on Boeing jets in retaliation plan
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