Bull Case
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Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Content here is for informational purposes only, always DYOR before making decisions.
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Dow drops 200 points, VIX jumps as stocks fall to start the week amid renewed tariff uncertainty [Asia sells, US buys. Expecting a green daily close. BTFD]
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🚨US April PMI Final at 50.8 vs estimate of 51.4. Trending lower close to the 50 mark, but still above it (above 50 is expansionary, under 50 contraction). China's Manufactuing PMI went down from 50.5 to 49 in April. US ISM Services PMI Prices Paid soars to 65.1, highest since 2023.
Just 9 days to move 10% down and then 10% up. Haven't seen that kind of price action often, and it always ended one way.

@bullcase
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India offers zero-for-zero tariffs on auto parts, steel, and pharmaceuticals up to a certain quantity of imports from US. -sources
🚨Ackman says next step on tariffs should be a 180-day pause [Bears are dead]

@bullcase
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🚨Bill Ackman CNBC interview: "The right thing to do, in my view, is we pause on China. Let’s give it a little more time. Maybe it's 180 days because we're going to be busy here"

@bullcase
Trump administration says it will pay immigrants in the United States illegally $1,000 to go home - AP
🚨US Treasury Sec Bessent: US will solidify position as home of global capital. US market are anti-fragile, over a long-term horizon it's never a bad time to invest in America.
Bessent: Trump's tariffs, tax cuts and deregulation agendas are interlocking parts to drive long-term investment to US economy
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Kyodo: US rejects Japan full exemption from 'reciprocal' tariffs
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Kyodo: US would consider lowering 14% Japan-specific tariff
Trump: Just had a good call with Turkey's Erdogan. Erdogan invited me to Turkey, he is coming to DC.
Citi CEO says clients are prepping for headwinds
Citi CEO: most companies are a bit in limbo land, there's a wait-and-see going on. Most can absorb 10% tariffs.
Bessent: 100% expensing for equipment, factories, along with tax certainty and lower energy costs, will accelerate U.S. economic growth
🚨Bessent: We could see substantial progress on trade with China in coming weeks
Bessent: I am highly confident that 17 trading partners excluding China have presented very good trade proposals
Bessent: Fed's favorite inflation measure is down, market isn't pricing in inflation
🚨DOW TURNS POSITIVE, LAST UP 0.2%
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