Goldman Sachs: Expects 3 rate cuts in 2025. One 25bp rate cut in July, one in September, and one October, citing recession risks from tariffs and trade uncertainty.
π¨A massive transfer of purchase power from the West into Asia is underway short term. What happens next? The trade war means they either boost domestic consumption to generate ROI at home as the US consumer is much harder to reach, or that money flows into gold, stablecoins and crypto. We're betting on the latter. BTFD, ignore macro FUD. @bullcase
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π¨US April PMI Final at 50.8 vs estimate of 51.4. Trending lower close to the 50 mark, but still above it (above 50 is expansionary, under 50 contraction). China's Manufactuing PMI went down from 50.5 to 49 in April. US ISM Services PMI Prices Paid soars to 65.1, highest since 2023.
India offers zero-for-zero tariffs on auto parts, steel, and pharmaceuticals up to a certain quantity of imports from US. -sources
Trump administration says it will pay immigrants in the United States illegally $1,000 to go home - AP
π¨US Treasury Sec Bessent: US will solidify position as home of global capital. US market are anti-fragile, over a long-term horizon it's never a bad time to invest in America.
Bessent: Trump's tariffs, tax cuts and deregulation agendas are interlocking parts to drive long-term investment to US economy
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Citi CEO: most companies are a bit in limbo land, there's a wait-and-see going on. Most can absorb 10% tariffs.
Bessent: 100% expensing for equipment, factories, along with tax certainty and lower energy costs, will accelerate U.S. economic growth
π¨Bessent: We could see substantial progress on trade with China in coming weeks