Bull Case
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Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Content here is for informational purposes only, always DYOR before making decisions.
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Year ahead median inflation expectations continue to soar, at 6% in April
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Amazon denies tariff label plans
Pfizer CEO cautiously optimistic pharma will avoid tariffs.
Wells Fargo CEO: We see concerns playing out in the market and the economic uncertainty related to tariffs.
Bessent: I believe that it's up to China to de-escalate, because they sell five times more to us than we sell to them, and so these 120%, 145% tariffs are unsustainable
🇵🇰🇮🇳An all-out war is not likely. But a limited conflict at LoC and/or int'l boundary is likely. A lot depends on what the Indian response is and how it is executed. -FJ [Pakistan has got nukes. A little skirmish could make good FUD]
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GS: bullish Gold, bearish confidence in US
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🚨LUTNICK: TARIFF WILL APPLY TO FOREIGN CAR MAKERS BUILDING CARS IN US [when yields go down, Lutnick comes up]
1inch launches on Solana, aims to enable cross-chain swaps and enhance liquidity -announcement
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China's foreign ministry has released a video on the trade war: China will not kneel. [Please don't]
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Martin Wolf: US is undermining its own global standing in its economic confrontation with China. Under Trump, trade policies have become erratic and isolationist, alienating allies and weakening trust.
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Fitch Ratings: Mass deportations will likely increase labor costs for several US sectors.
🚨SEC delays Franklin Templeton spot XRP ETF until June 17.
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Deutsche: Investors have priced in more rate cuts from the Fed, alongside much higher inflation [Something has got to give. We believe focus will shift on rising unemployment, inflation concerns will be discarded as short term & tariff induced, the Fed will cut]
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🚨UPS will cut 20,000 jobs and close 73 buildings in 2025 to reduce costs as Amazon, its biggest but least profitable customer, halves its shipping volume.
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Rick Rieder from BlackRock says US stock market 5–10% overvalued based on earnings and economy
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USTR Jamieson Greer told Senate Republicans today the administration will be announcing trade deals over the next few weeks that could settle down Trump’s trade war, per attendee -Semafor
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🚨Trump has said he would veto the bipartisan Senate resolution that would end the April 2nd Trump tariffs measure if it passes Congress.
*Trump: China and the EU ripped the US off
*Trump: China will probably eat those tariffs
*U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent: No trade deal is done until Trump announces it.
*Bessent: Trump needs to sign off on 18 key trade deals, he is involved in talks.
*Bessent: Factories in China are having to shut down, have seen substantial estimates of layoffs in China
WH Economic Adviser Miran: We don't see higher consumer prices over extended time.
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At least one big option trader has dialed up an $18 million bet that the Federal Reserve will avoid cutting interest rates any time this year. -sources
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