Blueprint Log (by WealthNode)

If the top is not in, I expect a strong rally that will be aggressive and volatile. When will this happen? To begin with, I think we get a bounce from current levels. We might go down a few percentages more, but not much more than that. Then we get a rally for a few weeks. Whether this turns into a larger rally, I don’t know yet. To me, it is more likely that we rally for a few weeks, then top out and continue down. Sometime during June or late summer, we could start the bigger rally, if the larger top is not already in.

📌Anyhow, the markets have been going up for many years. You can see that almost every index has made gains of 50–100% over the past few years. I have been a strong bull since 2022 and became more cautious in 2025. Now I am definitely leaning more bearish, as almost everything from the ending phase of the 18.6 year cycle has played out.

In the end, regardless of how this last rally (if we get one) plays out, I think the market is very likely to go down over the coming years. Yes, years. I don’t expect a huge catastrophic drop any time soon. I think that will occur later, more likely 2027–2028. I think the stock market could find a bottom around 2029. There will be volatile periods, sideways periods, and bear market rallies along the way.

🎯The downside targets are based on historical drawdowns, where the average is around 50% from the top. Sometimes less, sometimes more. It is also based on areas where a lot of volume has taken place, along with Fibonacci and VPVR levels. Of course, these targets do not have to be met, and they do not need to happen exactly in January 2029 either. But it is my estimate of where things could be heading.

💰When we get closer, you can start to DCA in. But until then, I don’t see a reason to do so.

Regarding Bitcoin, and its 4 year cycle, I do think it is possible that it bottoms earlier than expected. It is supposed to bottom in October this year, but since many people expect this, I think it could happen earlier. I also think we may not see a new ATH from that low. If the short-term rally becomes extreme, it could still happen, but most likely not.

So what am I saying? I don’t think Bitcoin will see a new ATH until much later, maybe 2029–2030. Whether it will ever see a new ATH again is also a question, and only time will tell.

I am still very bullish on other blockchains like ETH, SOL, and other protocols. But these will most likely not see new ATHs for several years.

What most people have learned over the last 15 years is to DCA into the S&P 500, funds, or ETFs. This has worked for a long time and will likely continue to work over the long term. But if you expect to be in profit within 5 years by DCA’ing every dip from here, I am not sure that will be the best approach.

There will always be people saying “buy the dip” and “buy the fear”. And yes, it has worked many times. But sometimes, it’s better to wait. That’s at least how I see it.

⌛️Things almost always take longer to play out than expected.

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