Bitcoin's price fall below the $60,000 mark could be the start of further pain to come, according to Standard Chartered Bank. "BTC's proper break below $60K has now reopened a route to the $50-52K range," Geoffrey Kendrick, head of Standard Chartered Bank's forex and digital assets research, said Wednesday in a statement to The Block. "The driver seems to be a combination of crypto-specific and broader macro."
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🇭🇰 Hong Kong 💰 Bitcoin ETF Issuer ChinaAMC believes in-kind creation will attract not just institutional and retail investors but Bitcoin miners and large holders 🚀
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Standard Chartered Bank has warned that bitcoin’s price could potentially decline to $50,000. The head of digital asset research at the bank attributed this forecast to a mix of crypto-specific factors and broader macroeconomic influences. Additionally, he warned about the risk of liquidation for some spot exchange-traded fund (ETF) positions, emphasizing that over half of them are currently underwater.
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The three spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds in Hong Kong saw inflows of 174.73 BTC ($10.3 million) on the second trading day yesterday, compared to an inflow of 3,910 BTC ($240 million) on the first trading day. The trading volume stood at over $9.7 million on both days, according to SoSoValue data. The caveat with the inflow data is that ETF shares bought via in-kind subscriptions of physical Bitcoin do not generate cash inflows denominated in dollar terms, so they are not included in daily net inflow statistics, SoSoValue clarified.
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Grayscale’s GBTC spot bitcoin exchange-traded fund witnessed its first-ever (since it was converted) daily net inflows on Friday, ending a 78-day run of consecutive outflows. GBTC’s cumulative outflows since the U.S. spot bitcoin ETFs began trading on Jan. 11 totaled more than $17.5 billion by May 2, but the higher-fee fund suddenly generated $63 million worth of inflows on Friday, according to data from Farside Investors and CoinGlass.
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Former Bitmex CEO Arthur Hayes predicts bitcoin will range-bound trade between $60,000 and $70,000 until August. “The slow addition of billions of dollars of liquidity each month will dampen negative price movement from here on out,” Hayes said, adding that he expects “prices to bottom, chop, and begin a slow grind higher.”
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Block, formerly known as Square, Inc, detailed a months-long plan during its earnings call Thursday to buy Bitcoin with 10% of its gross profits from Bitcoin-related products and services. “In April, Block implemented a Bitcoin dollar cost average (DCA) purchase program that will run through 2024,” the company said in a blog post. “Under the program, Block will be investing 10% of its gross profit from Bitcoin products into Bitcoin purchases.”.
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Analysts at investment research firm Bernstein have reaffirmed their prediction that bitcoin (BTC) would hit $150,000 in this bull cycle despite the asset’s retracement in recent weeks. According to a recent report, Bernstein analysts Gautam Chhugani and Mahika Sapra said Bitcoin metrics show the network is in a healthy cycle still in its early stages. Notwithstanding the latest dip, the leading cryptocurrency is far from done.
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- Michael Saylor
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🇺🇸 US 💰 Bitcoin ETFs see record outflows as 🇭🇰 Hong Kong counterparts thrive
According to the report, the market saw an outflow totaling $251 million, with the Newborn Nine spot Bitcoin ETFs accounting for over 60%, or $156 million, of these flows. A breakdown of the flows showed that Fidelity’s FBTC saw the highest outflow amount, with $131 million exiting the fund, followed by Ark 21 Shares’ ARKB, which saw outflows amounting to $84 million.
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According to the report, the market saw an outflow totaling $251 million, with the Newborn Nine spot Bitcoin ETFs accounting for over 60%, or $156 million, of these flows. A breakdown of the flows showed that Fidelity’s FBTC saw the highest outflow amount, with $131 million exiting the fund, followed by Ark 21 Shares’ ARKB, which saw outflows amounting to $84 million.
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Standard Chartered has revised its short-term forecast for Bitcoin, predicting a rebound from a recent low of $56,500, a shift from last week's prediction that the cryptocurrency would dip into the $50,000-$52,000 range. "Things are improving and we have likely seen the low at $56,500 on 1 May," Standard Chartered Bank Head of FX Research and Digital Assets Research Geoff Kendrick said.
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Since bottoming out around $15,500 in November 2022, Bitcoin’s performance has been on a consistently upward trajectory. This growth culminated in new all-time highs in March 2024, marking a staggering 280% surge from its cycle low. However, the market has experienced several healthy corrections during this bullish trend. In March 2023, Bitcoin saw a 22% drawdown, followed by a 20% correction that lasted from April to June 2023.
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🇺🇸 Former President Donald Trump says he'll stop the hostility towards crypto in the US and embrace it.
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The last time Bitcoin witnessed a negative adjustment similar to the one it recorded today was 18 months ago when BTC was worth $17,000. The Bitcoin network’s mining difficulty has experienced its largest negative adjustment since December 2022, when the bear market was in full gear. According to data from the real-time Bitcoin dashboard Bitbo, the mining difficulty fell 5.7% to 83.1 trillion on Thursday at block height 842,688.
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🇺🇸 US Bancorp, Rothschild firm disclose spot 💰 Bitcoin ETF purchases of roughly $20 million in Q1
US Bancorp disclosed spot Bitcoin ETF investments worth over $15 million on May 8. The company revealed it purchased roughly 87,744 shares of Fidelity’s FBTC worth $5.4 million, 46,011 shares of Grayscale’s GBTC worth $2.9 million, and 178,567 shares of BlackRock’s IBIT worth $7.2 million. The company’s total investments stood at $71.8 billion, based on its latest 13F filing. US Bancorp is among the largest bank holding companies in the US, with over $663 billion in AUM at the end of 2023.
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US Bancorp disclosed spot Bitcoin ETF investments worth over $15 million on May 8. The company revealed it purchased roughly 87,744 shares of Fidelity’s FBTC worth $5.4 million, 46,011 shares of Grayscale’s GBTC worth $2.9 million, and 178,567 shares of BlackRock’s IBIT worth $7.2 million. The company’s total investments stood at $71.8 billion, based on its latest 13F filing. US Bancorp is among the largest bank holding companies in the US, with over $663 billion in AUM at the end of 2023.
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Based on recent options data from Binance, bitcoin open interest is concentrated at a strike price of $75,000 for the end-of-June expiry, an analyst said. According to Ruslan Lienkha, the chief of markets at Cyprus-based exchange YouHodler, the open interest concentration focuses on bitcoin's all-time high. Bitcoin reached its all-time high of over $73,000 in the middle of March, according to The Block's Price Page.
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