🇺🇸🔮 #POLY #UMA Forbes: Prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket have proven their value for financial forecasting.
A study by the Federal Reserve showed that Kalshi accurately predicts macroeconomic indicators, often matching or outperforming traditional tools such as surveys and futures.
Kalshi's contracts, operating 24/7 and involving real money, provide the freshest information on interest rates and inflation.
Meanwhile, Polymarket research shows they effectively predict corporate earnings with less bias than analyst consensus.
These platforms signal a shift towards obtaining economic data from real-time crowdsourcing sources that could inform Fed policy and Wall Street strategies.
A study by the Federal Reserve showed that Kalshi accurately predicts macroeconomic indicators, often matching or outperforming traditional tools such as surveys and futures.
Kalshi's contracts, operating 24/7 and involving real money, provide the freshest information on interest rates and inflation.
Meanwhile, Polymarket research shows they effectively predict corporate earnings with less bias than analyst consensus.
These platforms signal a shift towards obtaining economic data from real-time crowdsourcing sources that could inform Fed policy and Wall Street strategies.
Forbes
Kalshi, Polymarket Studies Show Potential Value For Fed, Wall Street
Kalshi's prediction markets could be better than CPI surveys or tate decision forecasts, while Polymarket beats analysts on earnings, according to two new studies.
🧑💻 #FLOW Flow Foundation will burn 50,343,896.87 FLOW tokens today (3% of the total supply).
The foundation also commits to purchasing at least another 50,000,000 FLOW on the open market in the coming months, which will be held in the foundation's treasury. link
The foundation also commits to purchasing at least another 50,000,000 FLOW on the open market in the coming months, which will be held in the foundation's treasury. link
Flow
Flow Foundation: A Commitment to FLOW
Flow Foundation is taking a series of concrete actions to strengthen FLOW. This post outlines three initiatives: a token buyback & burn, continuous token acquisition with structural improvements to liquidity, and long-term inflation management.
🇺🇸🏦 Crypto.com Receives Conditional Approval to Operate as a National US Crypto Bank.
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📌 Top 5 News for 24 Hour:
1. Vitalik sells $ETH, still holding 10,676 $ETH. → Read full
👁 578 | ❤️ 1 | 🔁 11
2. Bitdeer sells 1,132 BTC due to low margins. → Read full
👁 284 | ❤️ 1 | 🔁 9
3. Machi liquidated on $ETH and $BTC longs, opens new $ETH long. → Read full
👁 427 | ❤️ 0 | 🔁 8
4. Gold price surpasses $5,200. → Read full
👁 392 | ❤️ 0 | 🔁 7
5. Large unlocks scheduled for various tokens, totaling $317M. → Read full
👁 343 | ❤️ 0 | 🔁 7
EXCAVO | Academy | News | YouTube
1. Vitalik sells $ETH, still holding 10,676 $ETH. → Read full
👁 578 | ❤️ 1 | 🔁 11
2. Bitdeer sells 1,132 BTC due to low margins. → Read full
👁 284 | ❤️ 1 | 🔁 9
3. Machi liquidated on $ETH and $BTC longs, opens new $ETH long. → Read full
👁 427 | ❤️ 0 | 🔁 8
4. Gold price surpasses $5,200. → Read full
👁 392 | ❤️ 0 | 🔁 7
5. Large unlocks scheduled for various tokens, totaling $317M. → Read full
👁 343 | ❤️ 0 | 🔁 7
EXCAVO | Academy | News | YouTube
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Crypto News Aggregator by EXCAVO
🕵️ Vitalik continues selling $ETH.
In the past 1.5 days, he has sold 1,694 $ETH for $3.31M.
Since Feb 2nd, he has sold 8,651 $ETH for $17.97M at a price of $2,077, and still has 10,676 $ETH ($20.86M) left to sell.
Address: 0xfeb016d0d14ac0fa6d69199…
In the past 1.5 days, he has sold 1,694 $ETH for $3.31M.
Since Feb 2nd, he has sold 8,651 $ETH for $17.97M at a price of $2,077, and still has 10,676 $ETH ($20.86M) left to sell.
Address: 0xfeb016d0d14ac0fa6d69199…
🇺🇸🏦 US Regulator OCC Approves Bitcoin Exchange Crypto.com to Become a National Trust Bank link
🇧🇷📊 According to Reuters, Engie is evaluating the deployment of battery storage or a bitcoin mining data center at its Assu Sol solar plant in northeastern Brazil. This initiative aims to address the impact of power curtailment on project returns, as Brazil’s solar and wind projects have faced curtailment pressures since 2023 due to grid absorption constraints, rapid renewable capacity growth, and the expansion of distributed solar generation. link
🇺🇸⚠️ The Fed moves to eliminate “reputation risk” from oversight policy, a framework that debanked and prohibited Bitcoin and crypto firms’ access to banking. #macro
🤔 Jane Street Accused of Insider Trading That Helped Collapse Terraform: WSJ
Terraform Sues Jane Street for Alleged Insider Trading.
Jane Street Used Insider Information to Withdraw Funds Ahead of Crash, Complaint Says.
Jane Street Employee Created Secret Group Chats to Funnel Information, Complaint Says.
Terraform Sues Jane Street for Alleged Insider Trading.
Jane Street Used Insider Information to Withdraw Funds Ahead of Crash, Complaint Says.
Jane Street Employee Created Secret Group Chats to Funnel Information, Complaint Says.
🕵️ No One but Machi got completely liquidated on his $ETH (25x) long position, resulting in an overall loss of approximately $29M. link
🆕 $AMZNON, $GOOGLON, $AAPLON, $CRCLON, and $METAON live on Binance alpha
🕵️ Reserve Risk Indicators are declining.
The model, which combines Reserve Risk with VOCDD/MVOCDD, is showing a clear downturn, signaling weakening alignment between price and long-term holder conviction.
Since 2024, there have been four sell signals triggered by the indicator. In every case, price moved lower afterward.
This typically occurs when:
• Reserve Risk remains elevated
• VOCDD/MVOCDD show rising economic activity from older coins
• There are signs of long-term holder distribution
Historically, this confluence has preceded corrective moves.
Indicators are not narratives. They are probabilities grounded in on-chain behavior.
Monitoring the relationship between conviction and activity is essential right now.
The model, which combines Reserve Risk with VOCDD/MVOCDD, is showing a clear downturn, signaling weakening alignment between price and long-term holder conviction.
Since 2024, there have been four sell signals triggered by the indicator. In every case, price moved lower afterward.
This typically occurs when:
• Reserve Risk remains elevated
• VOCDD/MVOCDD show rising economic activity from older coins
• There are signs of long-term holder distribution
Historically, this confluence has preceded corrective moves.
Indicators are not narratives. They are probabilities grounded in on-chain behavior.
Monitoring the relationship between conviction and activity is essential right now.