ASHOK LEYLAND: UBS β ACCUMULATE | TARGET βΉ210
β’ Target raised to βΉ210 from βΉ208
β’ Q1FY27 performance was mixed, but pricing discipline remains intact
β’ Profitability beat estimates, supported by inventory benefits
β’ Q2FY27 margins may face pressure from elevated commodity costs
β’ Target raised to βΉ210 from βΉ208
β’ Q1FY27 performance was mixed, but pricing discipline remains intact
β’ Profitability beat estimates, supported by inventory benefits
β’ Q2FY27 margins may face pressure from elevated commodity costs
β€2
KALYAN JEWELLERS: CITI β ACCUMULATE | TARGET βΉ800
β’ Strong demand continues; 10%+ SSG achievable over medium-to-long term
β’ Old-gold exchange weighs on gross margins, partly offset by cash-for-gold
β’ Land sales expected to generate βΉ350β400 Cr, including ~βΉ100 Cr by Sepβ26
β’ Company remains on track to become debt-free by Sepβ26
β’ Strong demand continues; 10%+ SSG achievable over medium-to-long term
β’ Old-gold exchange weighs on gross margins, partly offset by cash-for-gold
β’ Land sales expected to generate βΉ350β400 Cr, including ~βΉ100 Cr by Sepβ26
β’ Company remains on track to become debt-free by Sepβ26
π₯1
M&M: CITI β ACCUMULATE | TARGET βΉ4,260
β’ BE6 SPORTEQ launch expands BEV portfolio with enhanced technology and BaaS offering
β’ M&M continues to gain EV market share
β’ BE6, XEV 9E & XEV 9S have received positive customer response
β’ New models and capacity expansion expected to further strengthen EV market share
β’ BE6 SPORTEQ launch expands BEV portfolio with enhanced technology and BaaS offering
β’ M&M continues to gain EV market share
β’ BE6, XEV 9E & XEV 9S have received positive customer response
β’ New models and capacity expansion expected to further strengthen EV market share
β€1
HITACHI ENERGY INDIA: CITI β ACCUMULATE | TARGET βΉ46,700
β’ Order book-to-revenue at 3.5x in Q1FY27, providing strong multi-year execution visibility
β’ Well positioned to benefit from the next wave of grid investments
β’ Expansion into Data Centers & BESS broadens addressable market
β’ 65% commodity cost pass-through supports margin resilience
β’ Order book-to-revenue at 3.5x in Q1FY27, providing strong multi-year execution visibility
β’ Well positioned to benefit from the next wave of grid investments
β’ Expansion into Data Centers & BESS broadens addressable market
β’ 65% commodity cost pass-through supports margin resilience
β€1
NMDC: GOLDMAN SACHS β SELL | TARGET βΉ84
β’ Q1 missed estimates due to lower-than-expected realisations and higher costs
β’ Recent price cuts and seasonally weak Q2 expected to weigh on near-term performance
β’ NMDC has announced two price cuts so far in Q2FY27
β’ Steel prices corrected earlier, while NMDCβs price cuts came later
β’ Receivables at NMDC Steel and RINL increased slightly QoQ
β’ FY27E/FY28E/FY29E EBITDA estimates cut by 2.9%/1.7%/1.6% respectively
β’ Q1 missed estimates due to lower-than-expected realisations and higher costs
β’ Recent price cuts and seasonally weak Q2 expected to weigh on near-term performance
β’ NMDC has announced two price cuts so far in Q2FY27
β’ Steel prices corrected earlier, while NMDCβs price cuts came later
β’ Receivables at NMDC Steel and RINL increased slightly QoQ
β’ FY27E/FY28E/FY29E EBITDA estimates cut by 2.9%/1.7%/1.6% respectively
ALKEM LABS: JPMORGAN β NEUTRAL | TARGET βΉ6,100
β’ India business grew 10% YoY; branded business +12%, while trade generics remained flat
β’ Trade generics recovery expected, but structural constraints could cap India growth at high single digits
β’ Higher opex limited margin improvement despite sharp gross-margin expansion
β’ Occlutech expected to remain margin-dilutive over the next few years; breakeven targeted in FY27
β’ Enzene US CDMO expected to take ~4β5 quarters to reach breakeven
β’ Near-term earnings momentum remains limited, with few clear rerating triggers
β’ India business grew 10% YoY; branded business +12%, while trade generics remained flat
β’ Trade generics recovery expected, but structural constraints could cap India growth at high single digits
β’ Higher opex limited margin improvement despite sharp gross-margin expansion
β’ Occlutech expected to remain margin-dilutive over the next few years; breakeven targeted in FY27
β’ Enzene US CDMO expected to take ~4β5 quarters to reach breakeven
β’ Near-term earnings momentum remains limited, with few clear rerating triggers
ALKEM LABS: INVESTEC β UPGRADE TO BUY | TARGET βΉ6,400
β’ Valuation attractive at 24x FY28E vs 38x for India-focused peers
β’ Stock underperformed Nifty Pharma by >20% over last 6 months
β’ Q1FY27 robust: Sales +11% YoY | EBITDA Margin 20.5%
β’ FY27 guidance maintained despite cost pressures
β’ India business growth guide upgraded to double-digit
β’ US business expected to grow mid-to-high single digits; ROW growth healthy double-digit
β’ CDMO business expected to break even
β’ Gross margin improved 250bps+ YoY & QoQ, providing scope for EBITDA margin beat
β’ Valuation attractive at 24x FY28E vs 38x for India-focused peers
β’ Stock underperformed Nifty Pharma by >20% over last 6 months
β’ Q1FY27 robust: Sales +11% YoY | EBITDA Margin 20.5%
β’ FY27 guidance maintained despite cost pressures
β’ India business growth guide upgraded to double-digit
β’ US business expected to grow mid-to-high single digits; ROW growth healthy double-digit
β’ CDMO business expected to break even
β’ Gross margin improved 250bps+ YoY & QoQ, providing scope for EBITDA margin beat
MAX HEALTHCARE: CLSA β OUTPERFORM | TARGET βΉ1,160
β’ Network revenue grew 15% YoY, beating estimates
β’ Growth driven by higher operational beds, partly offset by discontinuation of high-value oncology drugs
β’ Margin miss due to higher operating costs from new beds and acquisition
β’ Plans to increase bed capacity by 66% over FY27β30 in phases
β’ Entering medical education business with targeted ROCE of 25β30%
β’ Estimates cut due to phased bed additions and higher costs for new capacity
β’ Network revenue grew 15% YoY, beating estimates
β’ Growth driven by higher operational beds, partly offset by discontinuation of high-value oncology drugs
β’ Margin miss due to higher operating costs from new beds and acquisition
β’ Plans to increase bed capacity by 66% over FY27β30 in phases
β’ Entering medical education business with targeted ROCE of 25β30%
β’ Estimates cut due to phased bed additions and higher costs for new capacity
MAX HEALTHCARE: JPMORGAN β OVERWEIGHT | TARGET βΉ1,300
β’ Q1FY27 revenue & EBITDA grew 15% YoY each, 3% ahead of estimates
β’ Margins stable YoY but moderated QoQ due to brownfield commissioning and Kalinga acquisition
β’ Network occupancy at 75% despite 13% YoY increase in operational beds
β’ ARPOB grew 5% YoY/QoQ
β’ Growth and profitability expected to improve after two quarters of softer growth
β’ Balance sheet remains comfortable with net debt/EBITDA below 1x
β’ Q1FY27 revenue & EBITDA grew 15% YoY each, 3% ahead of estimates
β’ Margins stable YoY but moderated QoQ due to brownfield commissioning and Kalinga acquisition
β’ Network occupancy at 75% despite 13% YoY increase in operational beds
β’ ARPOB grew 5% YoY/QoQ
β’ Growth and profitability expected to improve after two quarters of softer growth
β’ Balance sheet remains comfortable with net debt/EBITDA below 1x
ASHOK LEYLAND: UBS β ACCUMULATE | TARGET βΉ210
β’ Target raised to βΉ210 from βΉ208
β’ Q1FY27 performance was mixed, but pricing discipline remains intact
β’ Profitability beat estimates, supported by inventory benefits
β’ Q2FY27 margins may face pressure from elevated commodity costs
β’ Target raised to βΉ210 from βΉ208
β’ Q1FY27 performance was mixed, but pricing discipline remains intact
β’ Profitability beat estimates, supported by inventory benefits
β’ Q2FY27 margins may face pressure from elevated commodity costs
β€2
ASHOK LEYLAND: CLSA β OUTPERFORM | TARGET βΉ196
β’ Target raised to βΉ196 from βΉ183
β’ Demand outlook remains steady
β’ Q1 growth better than expected despite challenging conditions
β’ Margins expected to gradually normalise from Q3
β’ Stabilising commodity prices should support margin recovery
β’ Target raised to βΉ196 from βΉ183
β’ Demand outlook remains steady
β’ Q1 growth better than expected despite challenging conditions
β’ Margins expected to gradually normalise from Q3
β’ Stabilising commodity prices should support margin recovery
β€1
PHYSICSWALLAH: JPMORGAN β OVERWEIGHT | TARGET βΉ148
β’ Q1 results beat estimates; FY27 revenue growth guidance maintained at 30%
β’ Plans to divest NBFC arm FinZ Finance to sharpen focus on core education business
β’ Stock corrected 18% over the past month amid concerns over NEET exam delays
β’ Q1 results beat estimates; FY27 revenue growth guidance maintained at 30%
β’ Plans to divest NBFC arm FinZ Finance to sharpen focus on core education business
β’ Stock corrected 18% over the past month amid concerns over NEET exam delays
INDIA STRATEGY: JPMORGAN β NIFTY 50 TARGET 27,000
β’ India earnings growth at highest level since Jun-2024
β’ Nifty 50 target reiterated at 27,000
β’ MSCI India Q1 Revenue: +19% YoY
β’ MSCI India Q1 PAT: +16% YoY
β’ Earnings beats: 58% | Misses: 24%
β’ Earnings growth showing improving sectoral breadth
β’ India earnings growth at highest level since Jun-2024
β’ Nifty 50 target reiterated at 27,000
β’ MSCI India Q1 Revenue: +19% YoY
β’ MSCI India Q1 PAT: +16% YoY
β’ Earnings beats: 58% | Misses: 24%
β’ Earnings growth showing improving sectoral breadth
β€1
KALYAN JEWELLERS: CITI β ACCUMULATE | TARGET βΉ800
β’ Strong demand continues; 10%+ SSG achievable over medium-to-long term
β’ Old-gold exchange weighs on gross margins, partly offset by cash-for-gold
β’ Land sales expected to generate βΉ350β400 Cr, including ~βΉ100 Cr by Sepβ26
β’ Company remains on track to become debt-free by Sepβ26
β’ Strong demand continues; 10%+ SSG achievable over medium-to-long term
β’ Old-gold exchange weighs on gross margins, partly offset by cash-for-gold
β’ Land sales expected to generate βΉ350β400 Cr, including ~βΉ100 Cr by Sepβ26
β’ Company remains on track to become debt-free by Sepβ26
M&M: CITI β ACCUMULATE | TARGET βΉ4,260
β’ BE6 SPORTEQ launch expands BEV portfolio with enhanced technology and BaaS offering
β’ M&M continues to gain EV market share
β’ BE6, XEV 9E & XEV 9S have received positive customer response
β’ New models and capacity expansion expected to further strengthen EV market share
β’ BE6 SPORTEQ launch expands BEV portfolio with enhanced technology and BaaS offering
β’ M&M continues to gain EV market share
β’ BE6, XEV 9E & XEV 9S have received positive customer response
β’ New models and capacity expansion expected to further strengthen EV market share
JAPAN Q2 GDP |
PRELIMINARY DATA
GDP grows 0.3% QoQ vs 0.4% estimate; annualised growth at 1.1% vs 1.9% estimate
Capital expenditure falls 1.2% QoQ vs 0.6% growth estimate
Private consumption flat QoQ vs 0.5% growth estimate
External demand rises 0.5% QoQ vs 0.2% estimate
GDP price index rises 2.6% YoY vs 2.8% estimate
PRELIMINARY DATA
GDP grows 0.3% QoQ vs 0.4% estimate; annualised growth at 1.1% vs 1.9% estimate
Capital expenditure falls 1.2% QoQ vs 0.6% growth estimate
Private consumption flat QoQ vs 0.5% growth estimate
External demand rises 0.5% QoQ vs 0.2% estimate
GDP price index rises 2.6% YoY vs 2.8% estimate
β€2
IGL: CLSA β OUTPERFORM | TARGET βΉ195
β’ Target cut to βΉ195
β’ Q1FY27 PAT missed estimates by 14%
β’ Unit margin missed estimates by 7%, despite volumes 1% ahead
β’ Unit EBITDA margin at record low; EBITDA fell to a 5-year low
β’ Long-term unit EBITDA guidance maintained at βΉ7/scm
β’ FY27/FY28 EPS estimates cut by 16%/7% respectively
β’ Target cut to βΉ195
β’ Q1FY27 PAT missed estimates by 14%
β’ Unit margin missed estimates by 7%, despite volumes 1% ahead
β’ Unit EBITDA margin at record low; EBITDA fell to a 5-year low
β’ Long-term unit EBITDA guidance maintained at βΉ7/scm
β’ FY27/FY28 EPS estimates cut by 16%/7% respectively
β€1
Kotak Securities write up:
*Rating Change*
*LG Electronics India (Downgrade to REDUCE, FV Rs1750)*
- Reported 15.5%/26% yoy topline/EBITDA growth in 1Q. The EBITDA margin print of 12.5% surprised positively, as RM headwinds were offset by higher premium mix, calibrated pricing, operating leverage and a normalization of promotional spends.
- After the strong start to the year, management remains confident of delivering FY2027E targets of mid-teen revenue growth and an early double-digit EBITDA margin.
- *We raise EPS estimates by 6-8% and raise FV to Rs1,750 (Rs1,580 earlier). Given the run-up in stock, we downgrade our rating to REDUCE (from ADD).*
*Rating Change*
*LG Electronics India (Downgrade to REDUCE, FV Rs1750)*
- Reported 15.5%/26% yoy topline/EBITDA growth in 1Q. The EBITDA margin print of 12.5% surprised positively, as RM headwinds were offset by higher premium mix, calibrated pricing, operating leverage and a normalization of promotional spends.
- After the strong start to the year, management remains confident of delivering FY2027E targets of mid-teen revenue growth and an early double-digit EBITDA margin.
- *We raise EPS estimates by 6-8% and raise FV to Rs1,750 (Rs1,580 earlier). Given the run-up in stock, we downgrade our rating to REDUCE (from ADD).*