The AI boom continues, but massive infrastructure costs and mounting debt pressure could trigger a major shakeout in the AI computing industry.
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π€ Oil prices fall: Easing concerns over energy-driven inflation helped gold regain recovery momentum.π€ Middle East: Qatar continues efforts to mediate between the U.S. and Iran, but no formal agreement has been reached.π€ Fed in focus: Markets await the rate decision at the October 27β28 meeting, amid expectations that the Fed will maintain tight monetary policy.
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π³ Strive is making headlines again after spending $511.4 million to acquire another 6,182 BTC, bringing its total Bitcoin holdings to exactly 43,000 BTC.
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π€ Anthropic, the company behind Claude AI, officially filed for an IPO with the SEC on October 26, planning to list on Nasdaq under the ticker ANT, drawing further attention to AI stocks.
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π³ Tom Leeβs Bitmine has purchased another 10,452 ETH (~$24.6 million), bringing its total holdings to 6,051,933 ETH, equivalent to 4.95% of Ethereumβs total supply.
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π‘ U.S. stocks: The Nasdaq rose 1.18% and the S&P 500 gained 0.60%, led by technology and AI stocks.π‘ Gold: Recovered modestly after a sharp sell-off, continuing to hover around $4,000 per ounce.π‘ Bitcoin: Climbed toward $81,000 before pulling back, failing to sustain its gains.π‘ Altcoins: Many rebounded alongside BTC, but buying pressure remains too weak to confirm a trend reversal.
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π€ Probability of a hold: Approximately 91%, based on market expectations reflected in federal funds futures.π€ Current interest rate range: 3.75β4.00%, with markets strongly favoring no change.π€ 18:30 UTC: The Fed Chair will hold a press conference, offering signals on the outlook for interest rates and monetary policy.
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π’ Oil prices fell during the October 27 session after Iran said it could reopen the Strait of Hormuz in just 4β5 days, rather than the previous seven-day timeline, if Tehranβs conditions are met.
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π£ 10β2 vote: Lisa Cook and Beth Hammack dissented, favoring another 0.25 percentage point hike. Notably, Septemberβs decision was unanimous at 12β0.π£ U.S. economy: The Fed upgraded its assessment of growth from βsolidβ to βstrong,β noting continued strength in consumption and investment.π£ Inflation: Remains elevated, with the Fed seeking more data before deciding its next move.π£ Geopolitical risks: Continue to create uncertainty for the U.S. economic outlook.π£ Notable message: The Fed removed language suggesting the rate adjustment would help inflation return to target soon, while reaffirming its commitment to bringing inflation back to 2%.
The Fed has paused rate hikes, but two dissenting votes and its cautious inflation message suggest that further tightening remains on the table.
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π€ Chair Kevin Warsh: Maintained a cautious message, stressing that inflation remains above the 2% target, without committing to a hike or a hold at the next meeting.π€ 2027 meeting schedule: The Fed will still hold eight meetings, but only seven are expected to include rate decisions, with one dedicated to long-term strategy.π€ Bitcoin: Continues to trade within $79,000β$81,000, with no clear catalyst for a breakout.
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