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πŸ”₯ CHINA’S AUGUST CPI RISES TO 0.8%

πŸ–€ China’s CPI inflation rose to 0.8% year-on-year in August.
πŸ–€ The reading matched expectations and was higher than July’s 0.5%.
πŸ–€ August PPI also increased 3.8%, reflecting price pressures from energy and commodities.
πŸ–€ Food prices continued to decline, while non-food prices rose more strongly.


πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ China’s inflation is gradually picking up from very low levels, but it is still far from being as β€œhot” as in the U.S.

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πŸ”₯πŸ”₯πŸ”₯ TODAY AT 12:30 UTC: U.S. AUGUST PPI TAKES CENTER STAGE

🟣 PPI Y/Y: forecast 5.3% (previous = 4.7%)
πŸ–€ Core PPI Y/Y: forecast 4.6% (previous = 4.2%)


⚑️ This is the key producer inflation report ahead of tomorrow’s CPI release and will directly influence expectations for the Fed’s September policy decision.

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ The hotter the PPI, the harder it will be for the Fed to β€œpause” β€” markets are likely to react immediately after the data.

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πŸ“ˆ OIL BREAKS ABOVE $100, BITCOIN SLIDES BELOW $78K

πŸ–€ Oil prices surged above $100 following renewed attacks between the U.S. and Iran.
πŸ–€ Risk-off sentiment spread across the market.
πŸ–€ Bitcoin was pushed below the $78,000 level.

The hotter oil gets, the stronger the risk-off mood becomes β€” BTC is finding it hard to stay unaffected as geopolitical tensions flare up again.

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BESSENT: β€œNOW I’M THE HOUSE”

πŸ™ U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent declared: β€œNow I’m the house… and you can bet against me if you want.”
πŸ–€ The remark was aimed at the possibility of U.S. Treasury intervention to support the Yen.
πŸ–€ The U.S. will increase the size of its bond buybacks to $6 billion tomorrow.
πŸ–€ Future buyback operations will be at least $4 billion each.
πŸ–€ Even so, the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield has climbed to its highest level since 2023.


Bad news has piled up for two straight weeks, but BTC is still holding on β€” at least it hasn’t β€œcollapsed” alongside stocks yet.


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TRUMP: IRAN WAR COULD END AFTER THE MIDTERM ELECTIONS

πŸ™ President Trump said the war with Iran could end shortly after the midterm elections.
πŸ–€ He left the door open to negotiations, but said they are not a priority.
πŸ–€ According to Trump, Iran is trying to influence the U.S. election and cannot withstand economic pressure for much longer.
πŸ–€ Trump also said oil prices could cool once the conflict ends.

✊ This is not a ceasefire order yet, but it is the clearest signal from the White House that November 3 is becoming a key deadline for the war.

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πŸ”₯πŸ”₯πŸ”₯ CHINA ADDS 20 TONNES OF GOLD IN AUGUST

πŸ“Œ The People’s Bank of China added around 20 tonnes of gold to its reserves in August.
πŸ–€ This was the largest monthly purchase since October 2023.
πŸ–€ China is continuing its multi-month gold-buying streak.

πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ Beijing is still quietly accumulating gold β€” adding another layer of protection each month against USD volatility and geopolitical risks.

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πŸ”₯πŸ”₯πŸ”₯ U.S. CPI RUNS HOT β€” FED RATE HIKE ODDS SURGE TO NEAR 90%

πŸ“ˆ Following the CPI data, markets raised the probability of a 25bps Fed rate hike to nearly 90%, up from around 72% beforehand.

⭐ The Fed’s interest rate decision will be announced at 18:00 UTC on Sep 16.


Inflation is still refusing to cool β€” and the Fed is moving increasingly closer to another rate hike.


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πŸ”₯πŸ”₯πŸ”₯ POST-CPI: GOLD & BTC SPIKE THEN REVERSE, WALL STREET STAYS GREEN

πŸ’° Gold futures touched the $4,400 area before cooling as expectations for another Fed rate hike remained high.
πŸ’° BTC nearly reached $79K, then reversed back to around $77.8K.
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ U.S. stocks still closed in the green:
Dow +0.98%
S&P 500 +0.86%
Nasdaq +0.96%


⚑️ Although CPI reinforced expectations for a Fed rate hike, cooler oil prices and dip-buying continued to support equities.

The market bounced strongly, but pressure from the Fed has not gone away.

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TRUMP PROMISES $5,000 TO EVERY AMERICAN IF GOP WINS THE MIDTERMS

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Trump said that if Republicans retain control of both the House and Senate, every adult U.S. citizen would receive a $5,000 β€œTrump Dividend.”
πŸ’² Estimated total cost: ~$1.35 trillion.
πŸ‘‰ Key conditions mentioned:
πŸ–€ The money must be spent in the U.S.
πŸ–€ JD Vance suggested wealthy Americans could be excluded
πŸ–€ Tariff revenue has been mentioned as a potential funding source

🚨 However, the plan still lacks a clear funding mechanism and could require Congressional approval.

If implemented, it would be one of the largest direct cash-payment programs in U.S. history. πŸ‘¨β€πŸ’Ό

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πŸ”₯πŸ”₯πŸ”₯ BESSENT URGES SENATE TO MOVE CLARITY ACT FORWARD

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent urged the Senate to resume negotiations and advance the CLARITY Act immediately after the August recess.
πŸ™ According to Bessent, if the U.S. fails to establish a clear regulatory framework for digital assets, it would send a β€œtroubling signal” to both allies and adversaries.
➑️ He also stressed that the CLARITY Act is not just about crypto β€” it would also give the U.S. stronger tools to combat money laundering, illicit financing, and the misuse of digital assets.

The U.S. increasingly views crypto regulation as both a technology race and a national security issue.

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πŸ”₯πŸ”₯πŸ”₯ U.S. 10Y YIELD COOLS AFTER CPI, BUT THE FED REMAINS A MAJOR PRESSURE

πŸ”΄ The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield briefly surged above 5% right after the CPI release, before pulling back to around 4.93%.
πŸ‘‰ Markets calmed somewhat as headline CPI matched expectations, but:
πŸ–€ Monthly Core CPI remains hot
πŸ–€ The probability of another Fed rate hike is still very high
πŸ–€ U.S. public debt and heavy Treasury supply continue to put upward pressure on yields
🚨 As a result, the current pullback in yields looks more like a short-term cooling move, rather than a clear reversal.

Yields have eased, but interest-rate pressure has not disappeared.

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