BGC Priv Journal
interesting bid on TAO just now - its was breaking back down into the wedge and that bid just reversed it to try and break it out. Felt purposeful. HTF charts kind of wild
anyone know the tao catalyst? am going to look into it a little. Only longed last night bc that bid flow felt to purposeful/calculated to be random and something felt like it was going on
❤1
BGC Priv Journal
Alts- it feels like alot of the alts alr shed alot w/most going down since end of july. for ex. rn if this was last week with eth down 3%+, alts would be -7-15% depending and instantly. - PUMP turbo ran with sol, so its getting that 2x+ downside correlation…
didn't want to write twice (lazy lol)
similar concept to what's written in the quoted tg post
https://x.com/BlueLightCapit1/status/1976743717290594636
similar concept to what's written in the quoted tg post
https://x.com/BlueLightCapit1/status/1976743717290594636
X (formerly Twitter)
BasedGod 💹🧲 (@BlueLightCapit1) on X
On a 30% VIX move:
-Btc's down relatively "inline" with stock indices vs. 2x+ more down
- Alts are down relatively the same as indv stocks and down less than some of the really frothy ones.
- Alts are down relatively inline with alt majors like eth/sol…
-Btc's down relatively "inline" with stock indices vs. 2x+ more down
- Alts are down relatively the same as indv stocks and down less than some of the really frothy ones.
- Alts are down relatively inline with alt majors like eth/sol…
you don't fall like that and instantly recover with everything ok. Something broke, it can get worse before it gets better, be very careful. give it time to see how everything digests over the coming days before making any moves
👍5
-80% candle's across the board, craziest shit i've ever seen. there was no way to escape it with p much everything also losing function from dAPPs to cex's
BGC Priv Journal
too lazy to write twice lol https://x.com/BlueLightCapit1/status/1983288166607139143
circling back to this, interesting intraday PA - mags & semi's weighing down indecies while equal weight and rate sensive/economic cyclicalos all positive (btc included in this basket)
https://x.com/BlueLightCapit1/status/1986833284295500155
https://x.com/BlueLightCapit1/status/1986833284295500155
X (formerly Twitter)
BasedGod 💹🧲 (@BlueLightCapit1) on X
Circling back to this
🔥1
equity valuations arent expensive broadly, its a small basket of the ai trade thats become rly over priced but they skew the index's valuation bc of their weight vs. nat gas is growing earnings, but priced at recession valuations. Earnings growth probably will ramp with the continued DC build out + cyclically favorable going into winter. Utitlies started getting bids bc of this earlier this year, but nat gas stocks still behind. money looks like it might have started rotating form some of the mag7/semi names and i think there's room for that to continue
pic: RRC & EQT vs. SPY intraday 11/7/25
pic: RRC & EQT vs. SPY intraday 11/7/25
BGC Priv Journal
equity valuations arent expensive broadly, its a small basket of the ai trade thats become rly over priced but they skew the index's valuation bc of their weight vs. nat gas is growing earnings, but priced at recession valuations. Earnings growth probably…
not bad outperformance, although volatile lol
Stocks
RSP/iwm similar, still finding demand off the mid level on weekly RSI staying w/in upper range for now
SPY - the bounce had a lot more breadth then previous ones - can see that looking at how Stocks above 50d/200d MA had one of its bigger moves up in a while coinciding w/the bounce.
The last few weeks breadth has been broadening across sectors, can also monitor this daily by looking at RSP vs. SPY performance. RSP/SPY moved up since Nov 3rd but relative outperformance still feels a bit weak
RSP/iwm similar, still finding demand off the mid level on weekly RSI staying w/in upper range for now
SPY - the bounce had a lot more breadth then previous ones - can see that looking at how Stocks above 50d/200d MA had one of its bigger moves up in a while coinciding w/the bounce.
The last few weeks breadth has been broadening across sectors, can also monitor this daily by looking at RSP vs. SPY performance. RSP/SPY moved up since Nov 3rd but relative outperformance still feels a bit weak
❤2