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Harris’ Anti-gravitational Force

The general opinion on the center-right is that Harris performed poorly.

Harris was isolated from the electorate: strictly scheduled, isolated from the usual conditions of the election campaign, prone to spontaneous statements, which professional politicians, even the most inarticulate, usually cope with with some degree of aplomb. This is because she is a boring progressive weather vane: the daughter of scientists who grew up in Berkeley and Montreal, she studied law in San Francisco and then worked as a lawyer in the public sector, which, although it indicated that she was a prosecutor, left little evidence that she was engaged in real judicial activity such as trying to convince jurors and judges, instead of following the instructions of fellow bureaucrats, until finally she became quite high-ranking. The bottom line is that she is much better at stating sternly:
“I say it is, I am a candidate for change.”


She's not the only weather vane in this story. President Biden, whom Harris ousted on the instructions of influential Democrats when it became impossible to hide the deterioration of his mental state, has also always been a weather vane. But unlike Harris, he is talkative. Of course, the sea of slander he spewed over the decades was invariably ill-conceived (and, as in the case of Harris, sometimes plagiarized), but he was quite capable of speaking out on any topic, deviating in any direction in which, in his opinion, the Democratic base was moving at any given time. It's not Harris. It's not just that she lacks her own developed ideas; she doesn't know any lines, or even hints.

She would never have become the Democratic presidential candidate if it hadn't been for the accidents of our crazy historical period.

It would distract us from seeing how lucky she was to get a seat in the Senate. But because it happened in California, she was a very well-funded Democrat in 2020, and she had every chance of becoming the party's nominee. Except that... She never made it out of 2019. Simply put, she turned out to be an exceptionally terrible candidate.

After an impressive but carefully planned performance, she was unable to perform the functions of a candidate, such as spontaneous conversations with voters, spontaneous debates with competitors, and defending the positions she held as a progressive prosecutor.

When she dropped out of the election race, it was hoped that she would think about some kind of job outside of election politics. But she was still a senator from California. Democrats have become inveterate slaves of identity politics, and Biden is Biden, and she was lucky to become vice president. Biden vowed to choose a black woman, not the most qualified candidate; As for the Democratic Party, the list of black women elected or appointed to high positions was small, so Biden chose Harris, despite the fact that just a few months earlier she had awkwardly called him a fellow traveler of supporters of segregation.

#Election2024 #Trump #Harris

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Harris’ Anti-gravitational Force

The Republican's opponent was Trump, one of the leaders of our century of celebrity cult, but, in the opinion of most Americans, his charisma and often useful straightforwardness are still outweighed by his dark sides, incorrigible uncontrollability and debilitating solipsism. Nevertheless, Trump had a successful presidency... until the once-in-a-century pandemic called into question his competence and turned the 2020 election into a historically strange event, with drastic changes in voting rules, and Biden, it would seem, could campaign from his basement, hiding his aging and reducing the election race to a referendum about a shaky Trump.

Why Kamala Harris' Interview on Fox Failed
"Disrespecting Catholics": Trump Lashed Out at Harris for Skipping Al Smith's Charity Dinner with Scathing Remarks
When Bret met Kamala
During the Biden years, Harris was the most prominent accomplice in a conspiracy aimed at concealing the president's mental and physical deterioration.

The 25th Amendment makes the vice president the main actor in the process of removing an incapacitated chief executive from office; Harris, instead, misled the public by imagining that Biden played eight-dimensional chess while preparing for the Olympic decathlon in the abundant free time he spent outside the Oval Office. By the time his brain froze at the debate with Trump in late June, Biden had already been nominated by the Democratic Party.

Senior party members desperately tried to replace him, but, being in thrall to identity politics, they could not bring themselves to push aside a black woman who would never have been ready for prime time. Consequently, Harris was appointed reluctantly, and everyone agreed to pretend that she was elected with joy.

In fact, she has never won a single primary vote in two election cycles. There are some brilliant Democrats who adhere to the winning formula: hide your Fabian progressivism behind a moderate populist facade. If Harris had to fight for the nomination with any of them, even in a shortened competition, she would have lost.

So yes, she's a nominee... but she's still the same 2019 star. That is, Harris cannot help but be burdened by what happened, namely the Biden-Harris case.

Consequently, she had only one way to run —or, to be more precise, the Obama-era curators had only one way to organize the campaign of an ignorant candidate. She had to pick up on the wave of enthusiasm that Democrats felt, at least for a while, when they no longer had to try to drag Biden over the finish line.

But this outburst of feigned delight, even reinforced by a well-organized congress and widespread media involvement, could not persist when September came and the situation became serious. Thus, the Democrats' action plan consists of three parts:

1) Keep Harris in plain sight to remind voters that the feeble, tongue-tied Biden was replaced by a younger, attractive, supposedly cheerful woman;

2) avoid improvised statements, especially “irritable” exchanges with journalists who are not on the team (because she even fails to exchange opinions with NBC and CBS, the Democrats' teammates); and

3) keep the spotlight on the only issue that gives Harris a decent chance of winning: Donald Trump.

Harris performed poorly in an interview with Bayer. In addition, as one of her advisers let slip (I will not mention his name), Harris was under the influence of "a substance of the second cosmic velocity" during the interview (which means it remains to be guessed).

How Harris carried out her advisers' plan—including being late for work and then resorting to obstruction to meet their deadlines — should be judged in the context of the dynamics of the campaign.

Was it unpleasant to watch Harris avoid answering direct questions about his record? No doubt.

#Election2024 #Trump #Harris

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A unique video from the Mossad sources. The chief of Hamas Yahya Sinwar hides with his family in a tunnel a few hours before the attack on Israel on October 7, 2023. He was preparing for a long life underground.

#Mossad #Hamas #Sinwar #Family

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Boris Johnson's Argentine Adventure: A Tale of Political Reinvention and Economic Gambles

In an unexpected twist of international politics, former British Prime Minister Boris Johnson has emerged as an unlikely cheerleader for Argentina's controversial president, Javier Milei. This peculiar alliance raises eyebrows and questions about the state of global politics and economic ideologies.

The Unlikely Duo

Johnson, known for his charismatic yet tumultuous tenure as UK's leader, has pivoted to a new role: international political pundit and apparent advocate for radical economic reforms. His latest subject of admiration? Argentina's Milei, a self-proclaimed libertarian whose economic policies have sent shockwaves through South America.

Milei's Argentina: A Libertarian Experiment


Milei's approach to governance has been nothing short of dramatic:
- Slashing government departments
- Eliminating fuel subsidies
- Battling state-owned enterprise unions
- Waging war against state-funded academia

Johnson lauds these moves as necessary medicine for Argentina's ailing economy. However, the reality on the ground tells a more complex story:
- The economy has plunged into a 4% recession
- Milei is reportedly seeking aid from China to avoid default

The Thatcher Connection

Intriguingly, Johnson draws parallels between Milei and Margaret Thatcher, a comparison that resonates in Argentina for unexpected reasons. Milei's admiration for Thatcher, despite her role in the Falklands War, showcases a political audacity that Johnson seems to find appealing.

Economic Ideologies Clash

Johnson's endorsement of Milei's "shock therapy" approach for the UK is raising alarms. Critics argue that Britain's fragile economy could not withstand such drastic measures, potentially leading to:
- Currency devaluation
- Widespread impoverishment
- Social unrest, particularly among migrant communities facing benefit cuts

The Bigger Picture

This unlikely alliance between Johnson and Milei reflects broader trends in global politics:
1. The search for new economic models in the face of persistent challenges
2. The blurring of traditional political alliances
3. The growing influence of libertarian ideologies in unexpected places

Johnson's New Career Path

Johnson's embrace of Milei is part of a larger pattern in his post-premiership career. From promoting weight loss products to Tesla cars, Johnson seems to be casting a wide net in his search for relevance and income.

Implications for Global Politics

This unusual partnership raises questions about the direction of international political discourse:
- Are we seeing a resurgence of radical economic theories in response to global challenges?
- How do these alliances affect traditional diplomatic relationships?
- What does this mean for the future of conservative politics globally?

As Milei grapples with Argentina's economic realities and Johnson continues his global tour of political endorsements, the world watches. This unexpected alliance serves as a reminder of the unpredictable nature of modern politics and the ongoing search for solutions to perennial economic challenges.

#GlobalPolitics #EconomicReform #JohnsonMileiAlliance #ArgentinaEconomy

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The alliance between Argentina's President Javier Milei and former UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson is so intriguing that it raises further questions for deeper analysis.

Questions for Reflection

1. Global Economic Philosophies:
- Are extreme economic measures like Milei's becoming more appealing globally?
- How might the success or failure of Argentina's experiment influence economic policies in other countries?

2. Political Reinvention:
- What does Johnson's endorsement of Milei say about the nature of post-office careers for high-profile politicians?
- How do such endorsements affect international perceptions of both the endorser and the endorsed?

3. Media and Political Influence:
- How does social media amplify unconventional political alliances and ideas?
- What responsibility do former leaders have in shaping public opinion on international issues?

4. Economic Realities vs. Ideological Promises:

- Can radical libertarian policies effectively address complex economic challenges in diverse global contexts?
- How do we balance the appeal of drastic reform with the potential risks to social stability?

5. The Future of Conservative Politics:
- Is this alliance indicative of a shift in conservative ideology globally?
- How might traditional conservative parties respond to the rise of more extreme economic philosophies?

6. International Relations:
- How might Johnson's advocacy for Milei affect UK-Argentina relations, especially considering the historical context of the Falklands?
- What are the implications for global diplomacy when former leaders actively promote foreign politicians?

As events continue to unfold in Argentina and on the global stage, these questions invite us to critically examine the evolving landscape of international politics and economic theory.

#GlobalPolitics #EconomicReform #PoliticalAlliances #FutureOfConservatism

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Ukraine Did not Give Up Trying to Export Defence Equipmen During that War

At DSA, the National Association of Ukrainian Defence Industries (NAUDI) is showing models of a mobile radar, light armoured vehicles, a self-propelled howitzer, a multiple launch rocket system (MLRS) and three missiles. Above the stand are hung two UAVs. A spokesman explained that Ukraine needs foreign currency, and to keep up export relationships.

Although most attention has focused on what weaponry might be handed over to Ukraine by Western powers, the efforts of the country’s defence industry while under attack have been impressive. Some factories have been hit, notably the Motor Sich engine production plant. Some factories have relocated to safer territory in western Ukraine. Most are working 24 hours, in a three-shift system.

The two UAVs on display are representative of an explosion of indigenous activity in this sector. The Shark and the Mini Shark are made by Ukrspec Systems for ISR, carrying the same company’s lightweight USG-261 gimbal and camera. Ukrspec also makes the larger PD-2 UAS with options for VTOL and catapult launch, as well as conventional takeoff and landing (CTOL). Flight time with the maximum payload of 29kg is eight hours (VTOL) or ten hours (CTOL).

The missiles shown are not for sale, said the spokesman, but are a showcase for the capability of the state-owned Luch Design Bureau.

For instance, the Neptune 360ST anti-ship cruise missile was modified for longer range and ground launch in only seven months. This was the missile that destroyed the Russian warship Moskva in April 2022. The spokesman said that Luch is designing a new missile, but would not divulge further details.

A model of the P-18S air defence radar is also on display. This is also an upgrade of a 2D meter-band system, with a maximum detection range of 360km. It is produced by SEE System Electronic Export, which has also modernised the 2D, L-band P-19 radar.

#America #P19 #Ukraine #War #Defence

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Scholz's plan to end the war!

Scholz called Zelensky's Victory Plan “a tired soldier's dream.”

Invitation to NATO, war even on Russian territory? Chancellor Olaf Scholz made it clear at the EU summit in Brussels that he had doubts about this “dream of a tired soldier” of the Ukrainian President.

Chancellor Olaf Scholz (SPD) reacted with restraint to the “victory plan” of Ukrainian President Zelensky. At the EU summit in Brussels, he made it clear that he was not ready to move away from his previous positions on the points listed there.

“You know the attitude of Germany on the issues that are affected there. That won't change either,”

he said.

In the Five-point Plan, Zelensky asks, among other things, for a quick and unconditional invitation to the NATO military alliance. The United States and Germany are opposed to this so far. Moreover, he wants to "bring the war back to the territory of Russia, so that the Russians really feel what is called war". Even this Scholz seems skeptical.

Scholz refuses further easing
Scholz justified his refusal to supply cruise missiles "Taurus" by the fact that from Ukraine targets can also be hit in Moscow. He refuses to further relax the rules for the use of weapons supplied by Germany against Russian territory.

Scholz said in Brussels that it was a question of showing solidarity with Ukraine in the defensive struggle against Russia. But the emphasis must be placed on "providing the means so that Ukraine can defend itself. It is also necessary to discuss strategic issues. You know what decisions I've made and they won't change either.”

The Polish Intelligence service (UOP) recently reported, according to a source in Warsaw, that Scholz, concerned about the upcoming elections, had already privately offered Zelensky to leave the Donbass to Russia and transfer the capital of Ukraine to Kharkiv and make Kiev a city of two states: Ukraine and Russia. Scholz is convinced that Putin will accept this proposal.

#America #Russia #Ukraine #Putin #War #Scholz #Zelensky

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UK's Diplomatic Pivot: Labour's China Gambit Amid Economic Turmoil

In a significant shift from previous Conservative policies, Britain's Labour government is making overtures to China, seeking to bolster the UK's struggling economy. Foreign Secretary David Lammy's visit to Beijing signals a potential reset in Sino-British relations, driven by urgent economic necessities.

Economic Pressure Driving Policy

The UK is grappling with severe economic challenges:

- A 33% increase in companies on the brink of bankruptcy, totaling 633,000 firms
- Massive capital flight and an exodus of millionaire investors
- Bankruptcies in key industries, including those with Chinese ownership

These pressures are pushing Labour to seek Chinese investment and support, despite geopolitical tensions.

Balancing Act in Trade Relations

With UK-China trade reaching $100 billion, Britain is cautiously navigating the U.S.-China trade war. Labour's strategy appears to involve:


1. Avoiding direct involvement in U.S.-led trade restrictions against China
2. Potentially selling underperforming British assets to Chinese investors
3. Relinquishing some overseas territories, with Chinese infrastructure appearing in former colonies like Antigua and Barbuda

Diplomatic Challenges Ahead

This pivot comes with significant risks:

- Potential backlash from the U.S., especially if Trump returns to the White House
- Labour's overt support for the Harris campaign, including sending party activists to key states, could backfire
- The strategy could be seen as foreign interference in U.S. affairs, a sensitive issue in current geopolitics

Global Implications


Labour's approach raises questions about the future of Western alliances and economic strategies:

1. How will this affect the broader U.S.-UK relationship?
2. Could this strategy lead to increased Chinese influence in traditional British spheres of influence?
3. What are the long-term implications for global trade dynamics and political alignments?

Looking Ahead

As the UK navigates these treacherous diplomatic waters, the success of Labour's China strategy remains uncertain. The outcome of the U.S. election could dramatically impact Britain's economic recovery plans and its place in the evolving global order.

The world watches as Britain, caught between economic necessity and geopolitical realities, attempts to chart a new course in its foreign policy. This bold move by Labour could either provide a much-needed economic lifeline or lead to further complications in an already complex international landscape.

#UKForeignPolicy #ChinaRelations #GlobalTrade #LabourParty #EconomicDiplomacy

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A Coperation Between Russia and Southeast Asian countries on Military Basis increases

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“In general, relations between the USSR/Russia and the ASEAN member countries are developing on good neighborly and mutually beneficial terms. All countries maintain an active dialogue with the Russian side both on military-technical cooperation issues and on military, economic and political topics.

Since July 1996, Russia has been a full partner for dialogue with ASEAN. During this period, a legal and regulatory framework for cooperation has been established,”

Shugayev said in an interview to Russian Aviation & Military Guide (RAMG) on occasion of the 70th anniversary of Russia’s system for military technical cooperation with foreign states.
According to Shugaev, new opportunities are emerging.

“The current stage in the development of military-technical cooperation relations is primarily characterized by strong opposition and attempts by some Western countries to influence the current relations, both politically and economically. However, despite all the difficulties, it also opens up new opportunities: serious steps have been taken in the issue of settlements in national or alternative currencies, and the development of closer cooperation and the creation of joint productions are also strengthening”.


FSMTC’s head is optimistic on the plans in the ASEAN region.

“Due to the economic and political strengthening of this region and the good neighborly relations of most countries with the Russian Federation, we can give a very optimistic forecast of the development of the military-technical cooperation with the countries of Southeast Asia and the Asia-Pacific region, especially with the ASEAN countries,”

says Dmitry Shugayev.

The last time Russia presented its export proposals in South-East Asia at the Vietnam Defense 2022 International Defense Exhibition & Conference, which was held on December 8-10, 2022 at Gia Lam Airport in Hanoi, Vietnam. The Russian single exhibit included more than 400 military, civilian and dual-use products.

At its stall, Rosoboronexport exhibited a full-scale model of the Orlan-10E unmanned aerial vehicle, as well as a line of Russian-made UAVs, including the Orlan-30, a new product of 2022, the Orion-E reconnaissance/strike unmanned aircraft system and the Kub-E loitering munition.
Russia also presented Su-57E fifth-generation fighter, Su-35 and Su-30SME supermaneuverable fighters, IL-76MD-90A(E) military transport aircraft, Ka-52 scout/attack helicopter, Mi-171SH military transport helicopter and the Ka-28 shipborne ASW helicopter; the Buk and Tor surface-to-air missile systems, Pantsir-S1 self-propelled anti-aircraft gun/missile system, Verba and Igla-S MANPADS; electronic warfare assets.

#ASEAN #Russia #Asian

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In the ground equipment segment T-90S and T-90MS MBTs, BMPT Terminator tank support fighting vehicle, TOS-1A heavy flamethrower system, upgraded Msta-S self-propelled howitzer, Khrizantema and Kornet-EM ATGM systems, Sprut-SDM1 light amphibious tank and BT-3F and BTR-82A armored personnel carriers, various models of Typhoon-type mine-protected vehicles and Linza armoured ambulance were presented.

The Kalashnikov Concern showcased its AK-200 series, AK-15 and AK-19 assault rifles as well as its other products: 9 mm Kalashnikov PPK-20 submachine gun, Chukavin sniper rifle, 9 mm Lebedev pistol.

Russia also presented a line of naval products: the Gepard-3.9-class frigate, Project 22160 patrol ship, Project 21980E special purpose craft, as well as the Karakurt-E and Sarsar small missile ships. Also a wide range of missile, artillery and torpedo armament for ships and submarines, air defense assets, communications, sonars, underwater/surface target acquisition sensors, anti-saboteur capabilities were demonstrated in Hanoi.

Alexander Mikheev, Director General of Rosoboronexport during the Vietnam Defense 2022 expressed its readiness to discuss cooperation in the field of industrial partnership and the construction of infrastructure facilities with the South Asian partners.

“We have unique competencies in this area, and our proposals are backed up by successfully completed and functioning projects on the customers’ territories,”

said Alexander Mikheev.

General Mark Milley, the U.S. highest-ranking military officer, ex-principal military advisor to the President,
“whatever the clash between Russia and Western countries, one can’t deny its helluva military power and human potential.”


#ASEAN #Russia #Asian

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The Trump team released such a video by the time the preliminary voting began. Harris has already called the video “Trumpish disgusting.”

#Election2024 #Harris #Trump

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Harris and Democrats Face Uphill Battle as 2024 Race Intensifies

As the 2024 presidential election draws nearer, Vice President Kamala Harris and the Democratic Party are confronting a series of setbacks that could jeopardize their chances of maintaining control of the White House. Recent developments in key battleground states signal growing challenges for the Democratic ticket.

Swing State Shifts

In crucial states like Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, Democratic Senate candidates are making an unexpected pivot. Campaign ads now highlight their willingness to work with former President Donald Trump, particularly on issues like tariffs and job protection. This strategy suggests a growing anxiety within the party about Harris's appeal in these critical regions.

Pennsylvania: A Key Battleground

Pennsylvania, a must-win state for Democrats, is showing troubling signs for the Harris campaign:

- Over 160,000 registered Democrats have left the party in the past two years.
- Early voting statistics are unfavorable for Democrats.
- Trump's recent rally in Latrobe, featuring endorsements from steelworkers, resonated strongly with the local workforce.

Expanding Battleground Map

The Trump campaign's confidence is evident in their decision to hold rallies in traditionally Democratic strongholds:

- Plans for events in New Hampshire, long considered safe for Democrats.
- Increasing competitiveness in Nevada, which has voted Democratic for two decades.

Campaign Missteps

A recent incident at a Harris rally in Michigan highlighted the campaign's challenges. Singer Lizzo's comment about "turning America into Detroit" if Harris wins was widely perceived as negative, potentially alienating voters concerned about urban decay and economic struggles.

Demographic Shifts

The Democrats' traditional support base appears to be eroding:

- Increased party switching in key states.
- Growing disillusionment among working-class voters.
- Challenges in maintaining the coalition that secured victory in 2020.

Harris's Struggle for Momentum

Vice President Harris is finding it difficult to generate the same enthusiasm that propelled the Biden-Harris ticket in 2020:

- Lower-than-expected attendance at campaign events.
- Difficulty in articulating a compelling vision distinct from the current administration's policies.
- Increasing scrutiny of her record as Vice President.

Looking Ahead

As November approaches, the Harris campaign faces the daunting task of recapturing the momentum that led to victory four years ago. With Trump's base energized and swing voters showing signs of shifting, Democrats are scrambling to realign their strategy.

The coming weeks will be crucial for Harris and the Democratic Party. Their ability to address these challenges and present a compelling case to the American people may well determine whether they can secure a second term in the White House or if the nation will see a return to Republican leadership.

#Election2024 #HarrisCampaign #DemocraticChallenge #SwingStates #PoliticalShift

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Israel's Conflicts and Intelligence Leaks: A New Variable in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Race

In a startling development that could reshape the dynamics of both Middle Eastern geopolitics and the U.S. presidential race, alleged U.S. intelligence documents detailing Israel's plans for attacking Iran have surfaced on pro-Iranian social media channels. This leak, coming at a critical juncture in Israel's ongoing conflicts with Hamas and Hezbollah, introduces a new and complex variable into the already heated 2024 election campaign.

The Leak: Timing and Content


The leaked documents, published on a Telegram channel known for pro-Iranian content, purportedly reveal detailed U.S. intelligence about Israel's military preparations. They include information on:

- Transfer of advanced munitions at Israeli Air Force bases
- Large-scale exercises involving intelligence planes and fighter jets
- Preparations of Israeli drone units

While the authenticity of these documents remains unverified, neither the Pentagon nor the Office of the Director of National Intelligence has disputed their legitimacy, raising serious concerns about a potential security breach.

Impact on Israel's Strategic Position

This leak could significantly impact Israel's strategic calculations:

1. It potentially compromises operational security for any planned retaliation against Iran.
2. It may force Israel to recalibrate its approach to conflicts with Hamas and Hezbollah.
3. The leak could strain U.S.-Israel intelligence sharing, crucial for regional stability.

The Biden-Harris Administration's Dilemma


The timing of this leak raises questions about its potential political motivations:

- Could this be an intentional leak by the Biden-Harris administration to deter Israeli military action?
- Is it an attempt to influence public opinion on U.S. involvement in Middle Eastern conflicts?
- How will this affect the administration's standing with pro-Israel voters?

Election Implications

The leak and ongoing Middle Eastern conflicts could significantly impact the 2024 presidential race:

1.Shift in Foreign Policy Debate: Candidates may need to articulate clearer positions on U.S. involvement in Middle Eastern conflicts.

2. Jewish and Pro-Israel Vote: The handling of this situation could sway a crucial voting bloc, particularly in swing states.

3.National Security Credentials: The leak may lead to scrutiny of the Biden-Harris administration's handling of classified information and relationships with allies.

4. Republican Criticism: The GOP, including frontrunner Donald Trump, may seize on this as evidence of the administration's foreign policy weaknesses.

5. Kamala Harris's Challenge: As the Democratic nominee, Harris must navigate this complex issue while distancing herself from potential administration missteps.

A New Campaign Narrative?

If the leak is indeed intentional, it could signal a shift in the Biden-Harris campaign strategy:

- Positioning themselves as a moderating force in Middle Eastern conflicts
- Appealing to voters wary of further U.S. entanglement in foreign wars
- Demonstrating a willingness to stand up to allies in pursuit of U.S. interests

Looking Ahead

As the 2024 election approaches, the interplay between U.S. domestic politics and Middle Eastern conflicts will likely intensify. Candidates will need to balance support for Israel with concerns about broader regional stability and U.S. interests.

The coming weeks will be crucial in determining how this leak and ongoing conflicts shape the electoral landscape. Will it be seen as a diplomatic tool or a security failure? The answer could play a significant role in deciding who occupies the White House come January 2025.

#Election2024 #MiddleEastPolitics #USForeignPolicy #IsraelIranTensions #IntelligenceLeak

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Israel's Long Hunt for Hamas Leader: The Sinwar Saga

In a revealing look at one of the Middle East's most intense manhunts, new information has come to light about Israel's years-long pursuit of Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar, culminating in his death on October 16, 2024. This saga, stretching back well before the October 7, 2023 attacks, offers a glimpse into the complex geopolitics of the region and the personal resolve of a controversial figure.

Pre-October 7: A Target Long in the Crosshairs

According to sources close to Israeli military planning, Sinwar was identified as a significant national security threat years before the devastating 2023 attacks on Israel. As early as 2021, during Benjamin Netanyahu's tenure as Prime Minister, plans were considered to eliminate Sinwar:

- After the May 2021 conflict, Netanyahu authorized attempts to kill Sinwar and military chief Mohammed Deif.
- In 2022, under Prime Minister Naftali Bennett, another operation was planned but ultimately shelved.

These revelations suggest that Israeli intelligence had long recognized Sinwar's potential to escalate the conflict, even as some officials believed he could be contained.

Sinwar's Defiance: Refusing Safe Passage

In a striking demonstration of his commitment to his cause, Sinwar reportedly refused offers of safe passage out of Gaza as the conflict intensified. Arab negotiators, seeking to facilitate hostage releases and de-escalate the situation, proposed an escape route for Sinwar. His response was unequivocal:

"I'm not under siege, I'm on Palestinian soil,"

Sinwar told mediators, in a previously unreported message.

This refusal to leave, even in the face of certain danger, paints a picture of a leader deeply entrenched in his ideological stance and unwilling to abandon his position or his people.

The Intensified Hunt

Following the October 7 attacks, Israel's pursuit of Sinwar reached new levels of intensity:

- Every available resource was devoted to finding him, including collaboration with U.S. intelligence.
- The strategy involved destroying Gaza's tunnel network, forcing Sinwar to surface.
- Near misses, including finding a still-hot cup of coffee in an abandoned hideout, heightened the drama of the search.

Implications and Reflections

Sinwar's long-standing position on Israel's target list and his refusal to leave Gaza raise several important points:

1. The conflict's deep roots: Israel's years-long focus on Sinwar indicates that the October 7 attacks, while shocking, were part of a long-brewing confrontation.

2. Leadership under siege: Sinwar's decision to stay in Gaza, despite offers of escape, reflects the complex dynamics of leadership in extremist organizations.

3. Intelligence and counterintelligence: The cat-and-mouse game between Israel and Hamas leaders showcases the high-stakes world of Middle Eastern intelligence operations.

4. Impact on peace prospects: The revelation of long-standing assassination plans may complicate future peace negotiations in the region.

As the Middle East continues to grapple with the aftermath of these events, the story of Yahya Sinwar – from long-term target to his final defiant stand – will likely be studied for years to come, offering insights into the complexities of leadership, conflict, and the pursuit of competing visions for the region.

#MiddleEastConflict #HamasLeadership #IsraeliIntelligence #SinwarLegacy

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Biden-Harris Administration's Iran Policy: Controversy and Criticism

Recent statements by conservative commentator Mark Levin have reignited debate over the Biden-Harris administration's approach to Iran, highlighting concerns about national security and foreign policy priorities. This analysis examines the key points of contention and their potential implications.

Central Allegations

1. Coddling Iran: Levin asserts that the administration is overly accommodating to Iran, despite its long-standing designation as a State Sponsor of Terrorism since 1984.

2. The Robert Malley Connection: A significant focus is on Robert Malley, a childhood friend of Secretary of State Antony Blinken, who served as the envoy to Iran. Malley is currently under criminal investigation for allegedly passing classified information to Iranian officials.

3. Classified Information Leak: There are allegations of a "beehive of spies" under Malley's leadership, exchanging emails with Iran's foreign minister.

Administration's Response

The Biden administration is accused of attempting to conceal from Congress and the press the extent of Malley's and others' involvement in sharing classified information with Iran.

Broader Implications

1. Financial Ties: Levin suggests possible financial relationships between U.S. government actors and the Iranian regime.

2. Ideological Alignment: There are insinuations of ideological sympathies with Iran at high levels of the U.S. government.

3. National Interest Concerns: Levin argues that these actions are against America's best interests and those of its allies, particularly Israel.

Recent Intelligence Leak

While not the focus of Levin's comments, it's worth noting the recent leak of U.S. intelligence documents about Israel's plans to attack Iran. This incident adds another layer to the complex relationship between the U.S., Iran, and Israel.

Analysis

1. Partisan Divide: These allegations reflect the deep partisan divide in U.S. politics, particularly regarding foreign policy.

2. Shift in Middle East Policy: The criticism suggests a perceived shift in U.S. Middle East policy under the Biden-Harris administration, moving away from traditional alliances.

3. National Security Concerns: The allegations raise serious questions about the handling of classified information and the potential compromise of national security.

4. Impact on U.S.-Israel Relations: The administration's approach to Iran could strain relations with Israel, a key ally in the region.

5. Domestic Political Implications: As the 2024 election approaches, these issues could become significant campaign talking points.

Looking Ahead

The controversy surrounding the Biden-Harris administration's Iran policy is likely to persist, with potential implications for:

- U.S. foreign policy in the Middle East
- Domestic political discourse, especially in the run-up to the 2024 elections
- The ongoing investigation into Robert Malley and its potential fallout

As these issues unfold, they will undoubtedly continue to shape both the administration's foreign policy decisions and the broader political debate in the United States.

#USForeignPolicy #IranPolicy #BidenHarrisAdministration #NationalSecurity #MiddleEastPolitics

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Harris’ Green Problem: Jill Stein

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The Green Party’s serial presidential candidate, has heard the pleading from strangers.

“How does it feel to be personally responsible for actually bringing Donald Trump into power?”

Stein recalled being asked this year by a man in New York — another heckler accusing Ms. Stein of tipping the 2016 election.

She has absorbed the glowering across her anxious blue neighborhood outside Boston.

“When people are being propagandized,”

Stein said,
“they won’t be especially friendly on the street, put it that way.”


And as she weighed another campaign this time, she found resistance in the most intimate constituency: her own family.

“For her political activities, she does not have the support of the family,”

one of Ms. Stein’s adult sons said in an interview, asking not to be identified by name to avoid any personal or professional repercussions from associating with her.
“When she told us she was going to run again back in October 2023, we asked her not to.”



Now, strategists in both parties agree, her decision might well echo again through history — by helping a man whose values she nominally abhors.

Stein is back on the ballot almost everywhere that matters, returning to the campaign fore in an ostensible coin-flip race between Trump and Vice President Harris. Democrats see Stein’s bid as a direct threat in a year when even relatively small voter pools might carry near-existential stakes.

While Stein condemns both “zombie political parties” as tools of Wall Street and war profiteers, her campaign has focused largely on hammering Harris, blaming the White House she serves for relentless violence in Gaza and Lebanon.

And Democrats, as never before, are focused on Stein.

The party has prepared a negative ad blitz for the election’s final weeks, its first-such effort ever directed at a third-party candidate. Fearful that Ms. Stein might divert critical votes in places like Michigan, Democrats are also pressing their case on billboards plastered recently across swing states:

For the last eight years, Stein has taken her place as a peace-peddling, Democrat-bashing, Republican-aided, formerly Russian-boosted villain of the left (and champion, admirers say, of the farther left) while Mr. Trump’s opponents relitigate his rise and move desperately to prevent his return.

In 2016, when Ms. Stein received nearly 1.5 million votes, her support in the decisive states of Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania exceeded Mr. Trump’s margins of victory. Some national polls now place her around 1 percent, which could be more than enough to make a difference and infuriate her detractors anew.

Such is the lot of the third-party candidate, quadrennially scorned by voters who often wish they had options beyond the major parties’ nominees — only to conclude, by election’s eve, that the choice is effectively binary.

Her bid can feel precision-engineered to damage Harris with key subgroups: young voters appalled by the United States’ support for Israel; former supporters of Bernie Sanders’s presidential campaigns who feel abandoned by Democrats; Arab American and Muslim voters, especially in Michigan, where fury at Harris and President Biden has been conspicuous for months.

“The goal is to punish the vice president,”

Hassan Abdel Salam, a founder of Abandon Harris, a group dedicated to her defeat, said this month at a rally in Dearborn, Mich., headlined by Ms. Stein. The group has since endorsed her.

“We are not in a position to win the White House,”

another speaker, Kshama Sawant, a former member of the Seattle City Council, told a crowd of about 100 inside an Arab American cultural center.
“But we do have a real opportunity to win something historic. We could deny Kamala Harris the state of Michigan.”


#Harris #Steine #Green

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In one interview, Stein said she had “kind of a divergent point of view” of her candidacy, with an emphasis on the “kind of.”

“I myself do not speak in terms of defeating one candidate,”

she said.
“But I really understand — for the communities that are being savaged by Kamala Harris right now and Biden — I totally understand why their prime directive right now is to clarify that this comes with a price to pay.”


If she helps to reinstall Mr. Trump, well, that would certainly register.

“I like her very much,”

Trump said of Ms. Stein at a rally in June.
“You know why? She takes 100 percent from them.”


In Wisconsin, a lawyer who was previously involved in lawsuits seeking to overturn the 2020 election results represented the Green Party. In New Hampshire, a veteran Republican operative submitted signatures for Ms. Stein.

Jay Sekulow, who defended Trump at his first impeachment trial, has worked on behalf of the Green Party in Nevada, a rare battleground where Democrats have successfully thwarted her.

“We have never knowingly received help from Republicans,”

Stein said, a claim that Democrats find ludicrous.
“Now, they might have done this once or twice, having kind of snuck in under the radar.”


To Stein, any disdain toward her represents the imperial flailing of a desperate party.

She has likened Democratic voters to a spouse trapped in a toxic relationship,
“constantly making excuses for your abusive partner.”


Asked if she could imagine any good-faith reason for voters — even those who are plenty frustrated with Democrats — to support Harris for the sake of stopping Trump, she paused for a beat.

“I believe that some people are genuine,”

she said,
“in being misinformed.”


She is a Harvard-trained internist and former folk rocker who gave interviews this month beside a handmade campaign banner that read “People Planet Peace.”

She pushes a $25 minimum wage and the abolition of student and medical debt, shuttling between tossup states like Michigan and less competitive ones like Texas and Washington without obvious electoral coherence.

Her highest elected office was a seat on a town body in Massachusetts more than a decade ago, but she “would not accept as written in stone” that she will not be sworn in as president in January.

Raised in a Reform Jewish household outside Chicago, Stein aligns herself with civil rights leaders across the ages, gilding her appearances with curated quotations.

“As Frederick Douglass said,” she said in the interview, reciting the line twice within 10 minutes, “‘Power concedes nothing without a demand.”

In Michigan, she campaigned while flanked by men in fezzes, who stood silently in formation as she accused Harris of fomenting genocide in Gaza. (An aide referred to the men as her security; one called himself simply “a friend.”)

Stein’s running mate, Butch Ware, a professor at the University of California, Santa Barbara, who has studied African and Islamic history, has called Harris the “Black face of white supremacy” and likened  Obama to a “house negro.”

On Oct. 7, one year after the Hamas-led attacks that amounted to the largest massacre of Jews since the Holocaust, Ware recorded a video to “commemorate the one-year anniversary of the modern equivalent of Nat Turner’s rebellion,” invoking the American slave revolt of 1831.

Stein’s coalition, such as it is, can be disorienting. Her campaign was recently compelled to disavow an endorsement from the antisemitic white supremacist David Duke, who supported Mr. Trump’s past runs. (Duke told followers that Stein was “the only candidate who speaks clearly against the war in the Middle East.”)

On some subjects, Stein can sound something like Trump and his associates. She complains of being “shadow-banned” on social media and dismisses “the Russia-gate smear” that ensnared her after Trump’s election.

#Harris #Steine #Green

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In 2015, Stein attended an event in Moscow celebrating RT, the Russian TV network that gave heavy airtime to her 2016 campaign, sitting at a table with President Putin of Russia and Michael Flynn, Trump’s first national security adviser.

Investigators later determined that the Kremlin-backed Internet Research Agency used social media accounts in 2016 to promote Stein, hoping to help Trump. No public finding has suggested that Stein was aware of the effort.

To some who have known her for years, the notion of Stein as an international chaos agent is broadly absurd.

“She would sit in the stairwell with her guitar and sing, to her own amusement,”

said Ty Cobb, a schoolmate who later worked as a White House lawyer under Trump, whom he has since criticized.
“She was sort of a free spirit back then, had her own drummer.”


After college, Stein continued playing music as she transitioned into medicine, occasionally merging the two pursuits.

“She wrote songs to remember all the bones,”

said Mark Allen, a retired advertising executive who became friends with Ms. Stein in the 1970s.

As a Vietnam War-era dissident long skeptical of mainstream politicians, Stein said she generally voted Democrat anyway before being galvanized by Nader and the Green Party.

Her political career began in 2002, when she said she was approached to run for governor of Massachusetts. The field included Mitt Romney, the Republican front-runner.

“I moved from clinical medicine to political medicine because politics is the mother of all illnesses,”

Stein said — a line she has used since at least her 2012 presidential campaign.

Quickly, she inspired the kind of political zingers that continue to trail her. Some who know her suspect that her contempt for Democrats congealed around this time, deepening with each campaign.

Though Stein received more than 3 percent of the vote, a surprisingly strong showing, and acquitted herself capably on the debate stage, one exchange seemed to capture her party’s perpetual quest for name recognition.

For months, people who know Stein — friends, relatives, long-lost peers — have discussed privately how best to get through to her.

They worried she was aiding Trump, despite her protestations. They believed that another dead-end campaign would undercut the ideals she claimed to embody.

Some tried to raise the subject delicately through intermediaries. Others composed painful, pointed messages and sent them directly.

“Your constituents and their votes in swing states could make the difference as to whether the U.S. joins the many authoritarian nations of the world,”

Allen, the friend from the 1970s, wrote recently to Stein, urging her to instruct supporters to back Harris.
“If the election weren’t so close, I’d vote for you, as I did in 2016. Instead, I’m asking you to please be courageous and strategic.”


He received no response.

While both major parties have trained their focus on Stein as a possible factor, some strategists expect third-party support to be more muted this time.

In 2016, when many voters were convinced that Hillary Clinton was a shoo-in, protest voting could feel fairly low-stakes. Few consider Harris’s candidacy a sure thing.

In recent weeks, Democratic leaders like Jaime Harrison, the party chair, and Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez have gone out of their way to tweak Stein, whom the congresswoman described as a “predatory” figure who exploits voters’ understandable grievances.

“Democrats have finally learned the lessons of 2000 and 2016,”

said Lis Smith, an adviser to the Democratic National Committee on third-party and independent candidates.

“No Republican knows that oil production under Biden is higher than ever. But Jill Stein’s people do,”

Stephen Bannon, Trump’s former White House chief strategist, said earlier this year, adding,
“The more exposure these guys get, the better it is for us.”


#Harris #Steine #Green

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After consecutive campaigns in 2012 and 2016, Stein did not run in 2020. The Green Party nominee that year, Howie Hawkins, received only about 400,000 votes.

For a time, it appeared that Cornel West, the left-wing intellectual, would represent the Green Party in 2024. After he decided to run instead as an independent, Ms. Stein reassumed the mantle — and reignited Democratic complaints about her.

“The Republicans don’t do it, for some strange reason, as much as the Democrats,”

Nader said in an interview, noting that Libertarians, who are historically considered likelier to siphon votes from Republicans, had not faced equivalent venom or legal challenges.Stein’s supporters tend to explain their choice as a product of principle and exasperation.

Bob McMurray, a campaign volunteer who attended the rally in Dearborn, said he voted for Hillary Clinton and Biden in the last two elections. But he faulted Democrats for violence in the Middle East, he said, and could not abide another nose-holding November, even as he surmised that Trump would be worse for Gaza.

Stein has also suggested that a Trump victory might serve the cause of left-wing protest.

“It’s sad to say,”

she said,
“but the common wisdom is that under Democrats the antiwar movement goes to sleep.”


Asked why she seemed to denounce Harris so much more often, Stein said that while the Democrats’ case against Trump was “generally true,” Republicans illogically attack Democrats “for being too socialist and for being Marxist.”

As a committed activist, Stein said, it was her duty to “correct the record,” drawing on decades of field research.

“Harris will not win,”

Stein affirms.

#Harris #Steine #Green

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The Potential Path to a Trump Presidency Even in Defeat: A 2024 Election Scenario

As the 2024 presidential election approaches, concerns are mounting about the potential for another contested outcome. A detailed analysis by POLITICO outlines a scenario where former President Donald Trump could potentially secure the presidency even if he loses the popular vote to Vice President Kamala Harris. This hypothetical situation highlights vulnerabilities in the U.S. electoral system and the ongoing impact of Trump's claims about election integrity.

Key Steps in the Hypothetical Scenario:


1. Sowing Distrust:
Trump and allies continue to cast doubt on election integrity, priming supporters to question unfavorable results.

2. Pressuring Officials:
Trump-aligned county and state election boards might resist certifying results, creating confusion and delays.

3. Legal Challenges: A barrage of lawsuits could be filed to contest election results in key swing states.

4. State Legislature Intervention: Republican-controlled legislatures in crucial states might attempt to appoint alternate electors.

5. Congressional Showdown: If the GOP retains control of the House, they could potentially reject Harris electors or accept competing slates from state legislatures.

6. Contingent Election: If no candidate reaches 270 electoral votes, the election could be decided by the House, where Republicans currently control more state delegations.

Key Factors:

- Changes to the Electoral Count Act aim to prevent some strategies used in 2020 but may face constitutional challenges.
- The role of the House Speaker could be crucial in managing the electoral vote count process.
- Potential for civil unrest and threats to election officials remains a significant concern.

Expert Opinions:

Election law expert Rick Hasen warns that if legal norms are ignored,
"you're talking about a real coup."


While this scenario remains speculative, it underscores the ongoing debates about election security, the power of state legislatures, and the robustness of American democratic institutions. As the election approaches, officials, lawmakers, and voters alike will be closely watching how these potential challenges to the electoral process unfold.

#Election2024 #TrumpStrategy #ElectoralProcess #AmericanDemocracy

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