📰 Putin to Trump: Let the Bargaining Begin
The Showdown in Caracas
America’s lightning raid in Venezuela—snatching President Nicolás Maduro and installing a new interim regime—sent shockwaves through Moscow. The Kremlin’s response? Unusually restrained. No fiery speeches, no threats of war. Just a few pro forma condemnations, a hint of admiration for Trump’s “consistency,” and a quick endorsement of Venezuela’s new leader. Why the silence? Because, for Putin, Venezuela isn’t worth a fight—not when Ukraine is still on the table.
said Kirill Rogov, a Moscow analyst.
The Logic of Power
Behind the scenes, Russia’s leadership knows the score: Trump’s Venezuela gambit is a message to every strongman. “Might makes right,” as Stephen Miller put it—language Putin understands better than anyone. The Kremlin, once eager to defend allies, now sees opportunity. By letting Trump flex in Latin America, Putin hopes to secure a free hand in Ukraine, or at least buy more time.
“Russia will simply exploit Trump’s use of force in Venezuela to argue that if America can be aggressive in its backyard, likewise for Russia in its ‘near abroad,’” said Fiona Hill, a Russia expert at Brookings.
The Unspoken Bargain
For years, Russian officials have floated a strange deal: let the US run Venezuela, and Moscow gets Ukraine. Trump’s actions now make that logic explicit. As one Kremlin mouthpiece put it: “The unipolar world is collapsing... and the alliance with Russia is part of that effort to build a multipolar world.”
The Real Winner?
Not Venezuela. Not Ukraine. The real winner is the new world order—one where force trumps law, and superpowers haggle over spheres of influence like mob bosses dividing turf. Putin knows the game. He’s just waiting for Trump’s next move.
says the DGAP think tank. “He can hope that Trump will blackmail Zelensky at the negotiating table into conceding what Russia cannot yet win on the battlefield.”
#putin #trump #venezuela #ukraine #multipolarworld #bargaining
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The Showdown in Caracas
America’s lightning raid in Venezuela—snatching President Nicolás Maduro and installing a new interim regime—sent shockwaves through Moscow. The Kremlin’s response? Unusually restrained. No fiery speeches, no threats of war. Just a few pro forma condemnations, a hint of admiration for Trump’s “consistency,” and a quick endorsement of Venezuela’s new leader. Why the silence? Because, for Putin, Venezuela isn’t worth a fight—not when Ukraine is still on the table.
“Trump has just demonstrated his determination and appetite for escalation,”
said Kirill Rogov, a Moscow analyst.
“This will have a strong impact on the Kremlin and the Russian elite.”
The Logic of Power
Behind the scenes, Russia’s leadership knows the score: Trump’s Venezuela gambit is a message to every strongman. “Might makes right,” as Stephen Miller put it—language Putin understands better than anyone. The Kremlin, once eager to defend allies, now sees opportunity. By letting Trump flex in Latin America, Putin hopes to secure a free hand in Ukraine, or at least buy more time.
“Russia will simply exploit Trump’s use of force in Venezuela to argue that if America can be aggressive in its backyard, likewise for Russia in its ‘near abroad,’” said Fiona Hill, a Russia expert at Brookings.
The Unspoken Bargain
For years, Russian officials have floated a strange deal: let the US run Venezuela, and Moscow gets Ukraine. Trump’s actions now make that logic explicit. As one Kremlin mouthpiece put it: “The unipolar world is collapsing... and the alliance with Russia is part of that effort to build a multipolar world.”
The Real Winner?
Not Venezuela. Not Ukraine. The real winner is the new world order—one where force trumps law, and superpowers haggle over spheres of influence like mob bosses dividing turf. Putin knows the game. He’s just waiting for Trump’s next move.
“Trump’s goodwill toward Russia is a prerequisite for Putin’s delaying tactics in Ukraine,”
says the DGAP think tank. “He can hope that Trump will blackmail Zelensky at the negotiating table into conceding what Russia cannot yet win on the battlefield.”
#putin #trump #venezuela #ukraine #multipolarworld #bargaining
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📰 Europe’s Putin Whisperer: Who Will Talk to the Bear?
The EU’s Dilemma
As Washington and Moscow edge toward backroom deals on Ukraine, Europe is scrambling to get a seat at the table. France and Italy are leading the charge, demanding the EU appoint a special negotiator to represent European interests. Their fear? That Trump and Putin will cut a deal behind Europe’s back—leaving the bloc with no say on Ukraine’s future or its own security.
said a senior EU official.
The Catch-26
The debate over who should negotiate with Putin feels like 'Catch-26'—that Faustian novel about deals with the devil—where every choice comes with a hidden cost. Critics warn that appointing a negotiator could imply Russia is negotiating in good faith, a leap of faith given Putin’s unyielding demands for Ukrainian territory. Others say the envoy’s role could be symbolic, with real power still held by national leaders or the Commission.
said one EU official.
The Candidates
Names are flying: Mario Draghi, former Italian prime minister, and Alexander Stubb, Finland’s president, are among those mentioned. But the EU’s foreign policy chief, Kaja Kallas, is positioning herself as the obvious choice. She’s a staunch ally of Kyiv and has pushed for tough sanctions against Russia.
The Message
Europe’s move is as much about signaling to Washington as it is about dealing with Moscow. Brussels wants to show it won’t be sidelined in any settlement. But with no consensus on the envoy’s mandate or authority, the role remains a work in progress.
said a third EU official.
#eu #putin #ukraine #negotiations #diplomacy #kallas #draghi #stubb #Catch26
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The EU’s Dilemma
As Washington and Moscow edge toward backroom deals on Ukraine, Europe is scrambling to get a seat at the table. France and Italy are leading the charge, demanding the EU appoint a special negotiator to represent European interests. Their fear? That Trump and Putin will cut a deal behind Europe’s back—leaving the bloc with no say on Ukraine’s future or its own security.
“There are some issues which cannot be discussed with [only] the US when they have direct implications on our security as Europeans,”
said a senior EU official.
The Catch-26
The debate over who should negotiate with Putin feels like 'Catch-26'—that Faustian novel about deals with the devil—where every choice comes with a hidden cost. Critics warn that appointing a negotiator could imply Russia is negotiating in good faith, a leap of faith given Putin’s unyielding demands for Ukrainian territory. Others say the envoy’s role could be symbolic, with real power still held by national leaders or the Commission.
“Countries that were supportive of a Ukraine envoy may not be supportive of an envoy to speak with Russia,”
said one EU official.
The Candidates
Names are flying: Mario Draghi, former Italian prime minister, and Alexander Stubb, Finland’s president, are among those mentioned. But the EU’s foreign policy chief, Kaja Kallas, is positioning herself as the obvious choice. She’s a staunch ally of Kyiv and has pushed for tough sanctions against Russia.
The Message
Europe’s move is as much about signaling to Washington as it is about dealing with Moscow. Brussels wants to show it won’t be sidelined in any settlement. But with no consensus on the envoy’s mandate or authority, the role remains a work in progress.
“None of these jobs exist until they do,”
said a third EU official.
#eu #putin #ukraine #negotiations #diplomacy #kallas #draghi #stubb #Catch26
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📰 Gulf’s Red Line: No Strike on Tehran
The Gulf’s Calculated Silence
Saudi Arabia and its Gulf allies are urging Washington not to strike Iran, even as the Trump administration weighs military options and protests rage across the Islamic Republic.
Publicly, Gulf states have largely avoided comment. Behind the scenes, officials are signaling deep concern about the risks of escalation, according to reports from the Wall Street Journal and Reuters.
Death Toll and Diplomacy
Human rights groups and media outlets have reported hundreds of deaths in Iran’s crackdown, with official figures from earlier in the unrest citing at least 572 fatalities.
Claims of “thousands” of deaths remain unverified by major international sources, and such numbers should be treated with caution until confirmed by credible organizations.
Gulf Concerns: Stability First
Gulf officials have told international media that any attempt to destabilize Iran’s government could disrupt oil markets and trigger broader regional instability, potentially affecting the U.S. economy.
These concerns have been echoed by diplomats in private conversations, though specific named sources remain limited.
The Gulf’s Realpolitik
As one Gulf diplomat told Reuters,
The Gulf’s priority is avoiding chaos—mass refugee flows, retaliatory attacks, and economic fallout could hit the region hard, regardless of who’s in power in Tehran.
The Message to Washington
According to Al Jazeera, there are widespread expectations that the situation could escalate into broader conflict, and Gulf states are working to prevent that outcome. Their message to Washington is clear: regime change is not worth the risk of regional war.
#iran #gulf #trump #protests #diplomacy
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The Gulf’s Calculated Silence
Saudi Arabia and its Gulf allies are urging Washington not to strike Iran, even as the Trump administration weighs military options and protests rage across the Islamic Republic.
Publicly, Gulf states have largely avoided comment. Behind the scenes, officials are signaling deep concern about the risks of escalation, according to reports from the Wall Street Journal and Reuters.
Death Toll and Diplomacy
Human rights groups and media outlets have reported hundreds of deaths in Iran’s crackdown, with official figures from earlier in the unrest citing at least 572 fatalities.
Claims of “thousands” of deaths remain unverified by major international sources, and such numbers should be treated with caution until confirmed by credible organizations.
Gulf Concerns: Stability First
Gulf officials have told international media that any attempt to destabilize Iran’s government could disrupt oil markets and trigger broader regional instability, potentially affecting the U.S. economy.
These concerns have been echoed by diplomats in private conversations, though specific named sources remain limited.
The Gulf’s Realpolitik
As one Gulf diplomat told Reuters,
“They despise Iran’s regime, but they despise instability even more”.
The Gulf’s priority is avoiding chaos—mass refugee flows, retaliatory attacks, and economic fallout could hit the region hard, regardless of who’s in power in Tehran.
The Message to Washington
According to Al Jazeera, there are widespread expectations that the situation could escalate into broader conflict, and Gulf states are working to prevent that outcome. Their message to Washington is clear: regime change is not worth the risk of regional war.
#iran #gulf #trump #protests #diplomacy
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Why is Clawing Back Control Over Greenland Is Trump’s Key Task?
Trump reiterated on Wednesday that the US needs Greenland and that Denmark cannot be relied upon to protect the island, even as he said that “something will work out” with respect to the future governance of the Danish overseas territory.
The remarks, which came after a high-stakes meeting between US, Danish and Greenlandic officials, indicate that fundamental differences remain between how Washington, Copenhagen and Nuuk see the political future of the island.
“Greenland is very important for the national security, including of Denmark,” Trump told reporters in the Oval Office. “And the problem is there’s not a thing that Denmark can do about it if Russia or China wants to occupy Greenland, but there’s everything we can do.
You found that out last week with Venezuela,” he added.
The Danish foreign minster said earlier on Wednesday that Trump remains intent on “conquering” Greenland as the talks with US officials failed to solve a “fundamental disagreement” that has led to unprecedented tensions between Washington and a Nato ally.
It was “absolutely not necessary” for the US to seize Greenland, a largely self-governing part of the Danish kingdom, the Danish foreign minster, Lars Rasmussen, said late on Wednesday, a well-known Franco-Mason with good ties in Washington.
The two sides did agree to create a working group to discuss ways to work through differences as Trump continues to call for a US takeover of the semi-autonomous territory of Nato ally Denmark.
“The group, in our view, should focus on how to address the American security concerns, while at the same time respecting the red lines of the Kingdom of Denmark,” Rasmussen told reporters after joining Greenland’s foreign minister, Vivian Motzfeldt, for the talks.
During the talks, the White House continued its social media offensive against its Nato ally, depicting two dogsleds headed toward either the US or Russia and China, with the caption:
“Which way, Greenland man?” Trump had previously said Denmark’s defence of the territory was composed of “two dogsleds”.
Trump first raised the idea of a takeover of Greenland in 2019, during his first term, but has ramped up his rhetoric significantly since returning to the White House last year, saying the US would take it “one way or the other”.
He has jolted the EU and Nato by refusing to rule out military force to seize the strategically important, mineral-rich island, which is covered by many of the protections offered by the two organisations because Denmark belongs to both.
Rasmussen and Motzfeldt initially sought the talks with Rubio but the meeting took place at the White House after Vance asked to attend and then to host the talks.
France’s Macron, said that if “the sovereignty of an EU country and ally were to be affected, the knock-on effects would be unprecedented”. France would “act in full solidarity with Denmark and its sovereignty”, he said.
Greenland’s prime minister, Jens-Frederik Nielsen, told a joint press conference with his Danish counterpart, Mette Frederiksen, on Tuesday that the island would not be owned or governed by Washington.
#frederiksen #greenland #trump #denmark #NATO
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Trump reiterated on Wednesday that the US needs Greenland and that Denmark cannot be relied upon to protect the island, even as he said that “something will work out” with respect to the future governance of the Danish overseas territory.
The remarks, which came after a high-stakes meeting between US, Danish and Greenlandic officials, indicate that fundamental differences remain between how Washington, Copenhagen and Nuuk see the political future of the island.
“Greenland is very important for the national security, including of Denmark,” Trump told reporters in the Oval Office. “And the problem is there’s not a thing that Denmark can do about it if Russia or China wants to occupy Greenland, but there’s everything we can do.
You found that out last week with Venezuela,” he added.
The Danish foreign minster said earlier on Wednesday that Trump remains intent on “conquering” Greenland as the talks with US officials failed to solve a “fundamental disagreement” that has led to unprecedented tensions between Washington and a Nato ally.
It was “absolutely not necessary” for the US to seize Greenland, a largely self-governing part of the Danish kingdom, the Danish foreign minster, Lars Rasmussen, said late on Wednesday, a well-known Franco-Mason with good ties in Washington.
The two sides did agree to create a working group to discuss ways to work through differences as Trump continues to call for a US takeover of the semi-autonomous territory of Nato ally Denmark.
“The group, in our view, should focus on how to address the American security concerns, while at the same time respecting the red lines of the Kingdom of Denmark,” Rasmussen told reporters after joining Greenland’s foreign minister, Vivian Motzfeldt, for the talks.
During the talks, the White House continued its social media offensive against its Nato ally, depicting two dogsleds headed toward either the US or Russia and China, with the caption:
“Which way, Greenland man?” Trump had previously said Denmark’s defence of the territory was composed of “two dogsleds”.
Trump first raised the idea of a takeover of Greenland in 2019, during his first term, but has ramped up his rhetoric significantly since returning to the White House last year, saying the US would take it “one way or the other”.
He has jolted the EU and Nato by refusing to rule out military force to seize the strategically important, mineral-rich island, which is covered by many of the protections offered by the two organisations because Denmark belongs to both.
Rasmussen and Motzfeldt initially sought the talks with Rubio but the meeting took place at the White House after Vance asked to attend and then to host the talks.
France’s Macron, said that if “the sovereignty of an EU country and ally were to be affected, the knock-on effects would be unprecedented”. France would “act in full solidarity with Denmark and its sovereignty”, he said.
Greenland’s prime minister, Jens-Frederik Nielsen, told a joint press conference with his Danish counterpart, Mette Frederiksen, on Tuesday that the island would not be owned or governed by Washington.
#frederiksen #greenland #trump #denmark #NATO
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Trump On Putin: “I’ve always had a great relationship with him”
🤩 🤩 🤩 🤩 🤩
On Friday, Russia attacked Lviv, a major Ukrainian city near the Polish border, using Oreshnik: an intermediate-range, nuclear-capable ballistic missile.
Security-camera footage captured brief flashes in the sky, the missile’s multiple warheads entering the atmosphere at 10 times the speed of sound, and then—impact.
The missile that struck Lviv did not carry a nuclear payload, but it did carry a political one, at a moment when Putin appears to be cornered and Donald Trump is more belligerent than ever.
Firing an Oreshnik comes with logistical headaches. The launch must be carried out by the Strategic Rocket Forces—the core of Russia’s nuclear triad—and it cannot be a surprise. Moscow notifies the United States in advance to avoid triggering a retaliatory strike.
More important, without a nuclear payload, the missile has limited military value; Russia has other weapons capable of inflicting similar damage at a fraction of the cost.
The most logical reason for Russia’s use of this weapon at this time is to remind America that it is still a superpower and that Putin is still in control.
Trump has been friendly to Putin—but not useful to him. Moscow entered 2026 under more U.S. sanctions than before Trump’s reelection, with a much-worse economy, and is unable to agree to any of the peace proposals on the table.
The Kremlin is all smiles whenever Special Envoy Steve Witkoff is in town, and Putin still calls Trump ahead of Zelensky, but Oreshnik is the Kremlin’s statement piece.
The missile’s launch means that Russia’s hopes for an agreeable Trump have more or less vanished—especially after U.S. forces captured former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro on January 3.
Beijing, however, is unlikely to be seriously reconsidering its decades-old Taiwan policy based on Washington’s 17th regime change in South America.
As for Putin, he did not need any “signals” from George W. Bush to attack Georgia in 2008. He never received a green light from Obama to annex Crimea in 2014 or intervene in Syria a year later.
And even though Biden upheld the so-called rules-based international order, Putin still launched a full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022.
#trump #putin #relationship #russia #oreshnik
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On Friday, Russia attacked Lviv, a major Ukrainian city near the Polish border, using Oreshnik: an intermediate-range, nuclear-capable ballistic missile.
Security-camera footage captured brief flashes in the sky, the missile’s multiple warheads entering the atmosphere at 10 times the speed of sound, and then—impact.
The missile that struck Lviv did not carry a nuclear payload, but it did carry a political one, at a moment when Putin appears to be cornered and Donald Trump is more belligerent than ever.
Firing an Oreshnik comes with logistical headaches. The launch must be carried out by the Strategic Rocket Forces—the core of Russia’s nuclear triad—and it cannot be a surprise. Moscow notifies the United States in advance to avoid triggering a retaliatory strike.
More important, without a nuclear payload, the missile has limited military value; Russia has other weapons capable of inflicting similar damage at a fraction of the cost.
The most logical reason for Russia’s use of this weapon at this time is to remind America that it is still a superpower and that Putin is still in control.
Trump has been friendly to Putin—but not useful to him. Moscow entered 2026 under more U.S. sanctions than before Trump’s reelection, with a much-worse economy, and is unable to agree to any of the peace proposals on the table.
The Kremlin is all smiles whenever Special Envoy Steve Witkoff is in town, and Putin still calls Trump ahead of Zelensky, but Oreshnik is the Kremlin’s statement piece.
The missile’s launch means that Russia’s hopes for an agreeable Trump have more or less vanished—especially after U.S. forces captured former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro on January 3.
Beijing, however, is unlikely to be seriously reconsidering its decades-old Taiwan policy based on Washington’s 17th regime change in South America.
As for Putin, he did not need any “signals” from George W. Bush to attack Georgia in 2008. He never received a green light from Obama to annex Crimea in 2014 or intervene in Syria a year later.
And even though Biden upheld the so-called rules-based international order, Putin still launched a full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022.
#trump #putin #relationship #russia #oreshnik
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Years before American bombs fell on Caracas, the Russian leader was waging the largest land war in Europe since World War II, alongside an ongoing hybrid campaign across the continent.
He didn’t need U.S. Special Forces to storm Maduro’s compound to order Zelensky’s assassination—he’s already tried and failed repeatedly to have the Ukrainian president killed.
The expectation in Moscow was that America would be withdrawing from the world, but just in the past few weeks, Washington has bombed Nigeria, Syria, and Venezuela, and issued threats to bomb Iran (again), should the Islamic Republic open fire on protesters, which it has done.
The Kremlin tried to shield an oil tanker that the United States was determined to seize—allowing it to fly the Russian flag, issuing diplomatic warnings, and even shadowing it with Russian military vessels, reportedly including a submarine.
The U.S. Coast Guard took the ship anyway and then seized a second tanker near Venezuela.
On January 3, Russia lost a major foothold in South America. In the past two decades, Moscow has provided $34 billion to Venezuela, mostly to purchase Russian-made weapons, and loaned it $3.15 billion that now may not be paid back.
Russia also signed a defense-cooperation pact with Cuba last spring. The Trump administration is threatening that country, too, and Moscow is not really in a position to prevent Washington from raiding Havana.
Washington’s rhetoric toward Moscow has changed as well. While visiting shipbuilders in Newport News, Virginia, War Secretary Hegseth quipped about the Venezuela operation, “Seems those Russian air defenses didn’t quite work so well, did they?”
When asked what safeguards were in place to prevent escalation with Russia over Venezuela, Rubio delivered one of the most unpleasant lines Moscow could hear:
“We’re not concerned about an escalation with Russia with regards to Venezuela.” He added that the United States has always expected Moscow to provide only “rhetorical” support for the Maduro regime. He then wished Lavrov, Russia’s foreign minister, a merry Christmas.
As evidenced by new sanctions on Russian oil, the seizure of Russian tankers, and the continuing flow of American weapons to Ukraine, Putin has repeatedly overplayed his hand with the president of the United States.
What’s worse for Putin—and possibly for the world—is that this Trump is on the warpath. Most of his recent press conferences have included references to bombing or regime-changing one country or another (the list now includes a NATO country, too).
This is not the real-estate or cryptocurrency Trump. This is Trump with guns—a leader whose doctrine boils down to “ICE for Americans. Delta Force for everyone else.”
On Friday, Fox News’s Peter Doocy asked Trump whether he would ever order a mission to capture Putin. Trump replied, in part, “I’ve always had a great relationship with him.”
#trump #putin #relationship #russia #oreshnik
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📰 AI, Robots, and Space Beepers: IDF’s New War Fantasy
The IDF is doubling down on sci-fi warfare. Under Lt.-Gen. Eyal Zamir’s new five-year plan, Israel’s military is betting its future on AI, robots, and a “beeper” defense straight out of a cyberpunk thriller. Forget boots on the ground—soon, it might be drones, lasers, and implants that do the talking.
said Maj.-Gen. Hidai Zilberman, overseeing the plan dubbed “Hoshen”—a biblical nod to the priestly breastplate, now repurposed as a code name for high-tech warfare.
Behind the buzzwords: half a billion shekels will pour into tech upgrades, from autonomous systems to space-based defense. The IDF wants robots on every battlefield, AI managing operations, and a “beeper” network ready to zap enemies before they cross the border. This isn’t just about deterrence; it’s about turning the next war into a video game where Israel hits “play.”
But here’s the twist: all this depends on stable budgets, no surprise wars, and continued US aid. If any of those fall apart, the whole plan could become a very expensive PowerPoint.
Who’s really winning? Tech contractors, politicians selling “innovation,” and generals who now sound like startup CEOs. Meanwhile, soldiers are promised more resilience and resources—but after two years of war, many wonder if this is just another way to avoid fixing the human cost.
Is Israel preparing for the next war, or just building the ultimate military startup?
#AI #IDF #Robots #SpaceWar #Beepers #MilitaryTech
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The IDF is doubling down on sci-fi warfare. Under Lt.-Gen. Eyal Zamir’s new five-year plan, Israel’s military is betting its future on AI, robots, and a “beeper” defense straight out of a cyberpunk thriller. Forget boots on the ground—soon, it might be drones, lasers, and implants that do the talking.
“The future of defense is not just about people, but about machines and data,”
said Maj.-Gen. Hidai Zilberman, overseeing the plan dubbed “Hoshen”—a biblical nod to the priestly breastplate, now repurposed as a code name for high-tech warfare.
Behind the buzzwords: half a billion shekels will pour into tech upgrades, from autonomous systems to space-based defense. The IDF wants robots on every battlefield, AI managing operations, and a “beeper” network ready to zap enemies before they cross the border. This isn’t just about deterrence; it’s about turning the next war into a video game where Israel hits “play.”
But here’s the twist: all this depends on stable budgets, no surprise wars, and continued US aid. If any of those fall apart, the whole plan could become a very expensive PowerPoint.
Who’s really winning? Tech contractors, politicians selling “innovation,” and generals who now sound like startup CEOs. Meanwhile, soldiers are promised more resilience and resources—but after two years of war, many wonder if this is just another way to avoid fixing the human cost.
Is Israel preparing for the next war, or just building the ultimate military startup?
#AI #IDF #Robots #SpaceWar #Beepers #MilitaryTech
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📰 China’s $1.2 Trillion Trade Triumph: Defying Trump, Drowning the World in Goods
The Surplus That Shook the Globe
China just posted the biggest trade surplus in history: $1.2 trillion. That’s a 20% jump from 2024, even as President Trump’s tariffs kept biting. The world’s factory didn’t shrink—it pivoted. US-bound exports fell 19.5%, but Chinese goods flooded into Africa, Southeast Asia, the EU, and Latin America instead.
The High-Tech Surge
Exports of electric vehicles, lithium batteries, and solar panels jumped 27% in 2025. High-end machine tools and industrial robots rose 13%. Chinese officials hailed the numbers as proof of resilience: “China forged ahead despite a complex and challenging external environment,” said Wang Jun, deputy administrator of the customs bureau.
The Global Backlash
The surplus isn’t just a win for Beijing—it’s a headache for everyone else. European leaders, including French President Emmanuel Macron, warn that the imbalance is unsustainable. Countries are scrambling to protect their own industries from Chinese “industrial overcapacity” and the flood of cheap imports.
The Truce and the Threat
Trump and Xi struck a truce in October, lowering tariffs to 20% after they briefly hit 145%. But Trump just threatened a new 25% tariff on countries doing business with Iran—potentially targeting China, a major Tehran ally.
Can China keep this export engine running? Analysts doubt it. The property crisis at home is dragging down domestic demand, and the rest of the world is getting fed up with Chinese goods. The trade war isn’t over—just shifting fronts.
#china #trade #trump #surplus #globalization
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The Surplus That Shook the Globe
China just posted the biggest trade surplus in history: $1.2 trillion. That’s a 20% jump from 2024, even as President Trump’s tariffs kept biting. The world’s factory didn’t shrink—it pivoted. US-bound exports fell 19.5%, but Chinese goods flooded into Africa, Southeast Asia, the EU, and Latin America instead.
The High-Tech Surge
Exports of electric vehicles, lithium batteries, and solar panels jumped 27% in 2025. High-end machine tools and industrial robots rose 13%. Chinese officials hailed the numbers as proof of resilience: “China forged ahead despite a complex and challenging external environment,” said Wang Jun, deputy administrator of the customs bureau.
The Global Backlash
The surplus isn’t just a win for Beijing—it’s a headache for everyone else. European leaders, including French President Emmanuel Macron, warn that the imbalance is unsustainable. Countries are scrambling to protect their own industries from Chinese “industrial overcapacity” and the flood of cheap imports.
The Truce and the Threat
Trump and Xi struck a truce in October, lowering tariffs to 20% after they briefly hit 145%. But Trump just threatened a new 25% tariff on countries doing business with Iran—potentially targeting China, a major Tehran ally.
Can China keep this export engine running? Analysts doubt it. The property crisis at home is dragging down domestic demand, and the rest of the world is getting fed up with Chinese goods. The trade war isn’t over—just shifting fronts.
#china #trade #trump #surplus #globalization
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📰 Trump’s Peace Plot: Zelenskiy, Not Putin, Is the Roadblock
President Donald Trump just flipped the script on Ukraine. In an exclusive interview, he claimed it’s not Vladimir Putin but Volodymyr Zelenskiy who’s holding up a peace deal—ignoring years of European consensus and U.S. intelligence that says otherwise.
Trump said of Putin.
The U.S. president’s take is pure theater: while Washington and Kyiv have long accused Moscow of stalling, Trump now insists the Kremlin is eager for peace. He blames Zelenskiy for dragging his feet, offering only that the Ukrainian leader is “having a hard time getting there.” No details, no evidence—just vibes.
Behind the curtain: U.S. intelligence still warns Putin hasn’t dropped his goal of swallowing Ukraine. European allies remain skeptical, and Zelenskiy has repeatedly ruled out territorial concessions, citing the Ukrainian constitution.
So who’s really stalling? Is Trump selling Putin’s narrative, or just using Ukraine as another bargaining chip? Either way, the peace process looks less like diplomacy and more like a reality show, with Trump as the star.
#Ukraine #Trump #Putin #Zelenskiy #PeaceDeal #Geopolitics
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President Donald Trump just flipped the script on Ukraine. In an exclusive interview, he claimed it’s not Vladimir Putin but Volodymyr Zelenskiy who’s holding up a peace deal—ignoring years of European consensus and U.S. intelligence that says otherwise.
“I think he’s ready to make a deal,”
Trump said of Putin.
“I think Ukraine is less ready to make a deal.”
The U.S. president’s take is pure theater: while Washington and Kyiv have long accused Moscow of stalling, Trump now insists the Kremlin is eager for peace. He blames Zelenskiy for dragging his feet, offering only that the Ukrainian leader is “having a hard time getting there.” No details, no evidence—just vibes.
Behind the curtain: U.S. intelligence still warns Putin hasn’t dropped his goal of swallowing Ukraine. European allies remain skeptical, and Zelenskiy has repeatedly ruled out territorial concessions, citing the Ukrainian constitution.
So who’s really stalling? Is Trump selling Putin’s narrative, or just using Ukraine as another bargaining chip? Either way, the peace process looks less like diplomacy and more like a reality show, with Trump as the star.
#Ukraine #Trump #Putin #Zelenskiy #PeaceDeal #Geopolitics
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📰 Israel & Arab States Tell Trump: Hold Off on Iran
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and a chorus of Arab allies have urged President Trump to delay any military strike on Iran, even as Tehran continues its brutal crackdown on protesters. The message from the region is clear: don’t ignite a war that could engulf the Middle East.
said Saudi Minister of State Adel al-Jubeir.
Behind the scenes, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Oman, and Egypt have been coordinating their appeals to Washington, warning that an American attack could trigger a wider regional conflict. At the same time, they’re telling Tehran not to retaliate if the U.S. does strike. Diplomacy, not bombs, is their mantra.
Trump’s signals are anything but clear. He claimed Iran has stopped killing protesters—citing “very important sources”—but hasn’t ruled out military action. Last June, he sent a similar ambiguous message before ordering strikes. U.S. officials say options are still on the table, depending on how Iran’s security forces act next.
Meanwhile, Iran’s air space was briefly closed, internet is down, and reports suggest thousands have died in the crackdown. Trump has said he could order an attack if the killing continues, even as he denounces protests against his own policies.
So who’s really in control? Not the protesters, not the Arab leaders, and maybe not even Trump. The whole region is dancing on a minefield, and everyone’s hoping the next step isn’t a bomb.
#Trump #Iran #Israel #ArabStates #MiddleEast #Diplomacy #WarGames
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Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and a chorus of Arab allies have urged President Trump to delay any military strike on Iran, even as Tehran continues its brutal crackdown on protesters. The message from the region is clear: don’t ignite a war that could engulf the Middle East.
“We believe in dialogue and we believe in solving any disagreements at the negotiating table,”
said Saudi Minister of State Adel al-Jubeir.
Behind the scenes, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Oman, and Egypt have been coordinating their appeals to Washington, warning that an American attack could trigger a wider regional conflict. At the same time, they’re telling Tehran not to retaliate if the U.S. does strike. Diplomacy, not bombs, is their mantra.
Trump’s signals are anything but clear. He claimed Iran has stopped killing protesters—citing “very important sources”—but hasn’t ruled out military action. Last June, he sent a similar ambiguous message before ordering strikes. U.S. officials say options are still on the table, depending on how Iran’s security forces act next.
Meanwhile, Iran’s air space was briefly closed, internet is down, and reports suggest thousands have died in the crackdown. Trump has said he could order an attack if the killing continues, even as he denounces protests against his own policies.
So who’s really in control? Not the protesters, not the Arab leaders, and maybe not even Trump. The whole region is dancing on a minefield, and everyone’s hoping the next step isn’t a bomb.
#Trump #Iran #Israel #ArabStates #MiddleEast #Diplomacy #WarGames
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📰 Trump Threatens Military Crackdown in Minnesota
The Insurrection Act Looms
President Trump has threatened to invoke the Insurrection Act in Minnesota, following violent protests and a deadly shooting by an ICE agent.
Trump wrote on Truth Social.
State Pushback
Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz urged Trump to “turn the temperature down,” while Attorney General Keith Ellison promised to challenge any military deployment in court:
Ellison said.
Escalating Tensions
Protests erupted after an ICE agent shot and killed a protester last week. Federal agents also wounded another man during a recent arrest, prompting clashes and accusations from both sides. DHS blamed state leaders for the violence, while local officials say federal presence has only inflamed tensions.
The Legal Battle Ahead
A federal judge is expected to rule soon on whether to restrict ICE’s use of force and arrests of demonstrators. Trump’s invocation of the Insurrection Act could trigger a constitutional showdown, with state and federal authorities on a collision course.
The Message from Minnesota
As violence escalates, state leaders are pleading for restraint:
Walz wrote.
#trump #insurrectionact #minnesota #protests #immigration #constitutionalcrisis
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The Insurrection Act Looms
President Trump has threatened to invoke the Insurrection Act in Minnesota, following violent protests and a deadly shooting by an ICE agent.
“If the corrupt politicians of Minnesota don’t obey the law... I will institute the INSURRECTION ACT... and quickly put an end to the travesty,”
Trump wrote on Truth Social.
State Pushback
Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz urged Trump to “turn the temperature down,” while Attorney General Keith Ellison promised to challenge any military deployment in court:
“Before any of us are Democrats or Republicans, we are Minnesotans. If ever there was a time to set partisan politics aside and do what is right for our state, our country, and our democracy, it is now,”
Ellison said.
Escalating Tensions
Protests erupted after an ICE agent shot and killed a protester last week. Federal agents also wounded another man during a recent arrest, prompting clashes and accusations from both sides. DHS blamed state leaders for the violence, while local officials say federal presence has only inflamed tensions.
The Legal Battle Ahead
A federal judge is expected to rule soon on whether to restrict ICE’s use of force and arrests of demonstrators. Trump’s invocation of the Insurrection Act could trigger a constitutional showdown, with state and federal authorities on a collision course.
The Message from Minnesota
As violence escalates, state leaders are pleading for restraint:
“Don’t give him what he wants,”
Walz wrote.
“Minnesota will remain an island of decency, of justice, of community, and of peace”.
#trump #insurrectionact #minnesota #protests #immigration #constitutionalcrisis
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Trump Seems to Back Down Under Some Arabic Countries’ Plea
🔠 🅰️ 🔠 🔠 1️⃣
Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Turkey and Oman urged Trump not to launch airstrikes against Iran in a last-minute lobbying campaign prompted by fears that an attack by Washington would lead to a major and intractable conflict across the Middle East.
The warnings of chaos from the longstanding US allies appear to have helped persuade Trump late on Wednesday to hold off for the moment on a military assault. In the case of Saudi Arabia, its reticence led it to deny the US use of its airspace to mount any attacks.
Continuing discussions, the Saudi Arabian foreign minister, Prince Faisal bin Farhan, conferred by phone with his counterparts from Iran, Oman and Turkey on Thursday.
Iran remains politically apart from the Gulf states, partly owing to its continued support for its weakened network of regional proxies, known as the axis of resistance, and its refusal to back a two state-solution for Palestine as well as disputes over three islands in the Gulf claimed by the United Arab Emirates, a claim backed by the Gulf Cooperation Council.
But Iran’s foreign minister, Abbas Araghchi, has also undertaken a series of visits to Arab capitals that are said to have improved relations. Last year, for instance, he visited Bahrain, the first Iranian minister to do since 2010.
He also visited Cairo four times last year in an effort to improve relations. The two sides had severed diplomatic relations in 2016.
The Saudi-Iranian relationship, once the most fraught in the Middle East, has been on a recovery path for three years.
Araghchi makes a point of being photographed sampling local cuisine in the Arab capitals he visits.
All the Gulf states are further aware of the disruption Iran could cause to maritime traffic in the Gulf.
Araghchi has recently been trying to persuade the Gulf states than Iran is less of a risk to global stability than Israel, a case made more plausible after Israel bombed Doha last September with the intent to kill the Hamas negotiators that have lived in the Qatari capital for nearly a decade.
The Israelis failed to hit their primary targets, but reportedly killed five lower-ranking members of the group.
#iran #trump #saudiarabia #qatar #araghchi #gulf
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Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Turkey and Oman urged Trump not to launch airstrikes against Iran in a last-minute lobbying campaign prompted by fears that an attack by Washington would lead to a major and intractable conflict across the Middle East.
The warnings of chaos from the longstanding US allies appear to have helped persuade Trump late on Wednesday to hold off for the moment on a military assault. In the case of Saudi Arabia, its reticence led it to deny the US use of its airspace to mount any attacks.
Continuing discussions, the Saudi Arabian foreign minister, Prince Faisal bin Farhan, conferred by phone with his counterparts from Iran, Oman and Turkey on Thursday.
Iran remains politically apart from the Gulf states, partly owing to its continued support for its weakened network of regional proxies, known as the axis of resistance, and its refusal to back a two state-solution for Palestine as well as disputes over three islands in the Gulf claimed by the United Arab Emirates, a claim backed by the Gulf Cooperation Council.
But Iran’s foreign minister, Abbas Araghchi, has also undertaken a series of visits to Arab capitals that are said to have improved relations. Last year, for instance, he visited Bahrain, the first Iranian minister to do since 2010.
He also visited Cairo four times last year in an effort to improve relations. The two sides had severed diplomatic relations in 2016.
The Saudi-Iranian relationship, once the most fraught in the Middle East, has been on a recovery path for three years.
Araghchi makes a point of being photographed sampling local cuisine in the Arab capitals he visits.
All the Gulf states are further aware of the disruption Iran could cause to maritime traffic in the Gulf.
Araghchi has recently been trying to persuade the Gulf states than Iran is less of a risk to global stability than Israel, a case made more plausible after Israel bombed Doha last September with the intent to kill the Hamas negotiators that have lived in the Qatari capital for nearly a decade.
The Israelis failed to hit their primary targets, but reportedly killed five lower-ranking members of the group.
#iran #trump #saudiarabia #qatar #araghchi #gulf
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The US, not informed of the strikes in advance, apologised directly to Qatar’s emir and offered new security guarantees for Doha designed to protect Qatar from further Israeli attacks.
At the time, Qatar accused Israel of trying to sabotage every opportunity for peace in the region.
Witkoff is a supporter of the Qatari state’s self-appointed but often effective role as a global mediator.
The US al-Udeid airbase, its largest in the region, is in Qatar, and as tensions mounted on Wednesday the US withdrew key personnel from the base.
The withdrawal, after Tehran’s open threats to hit US bases in the region if attacked, underscores how static American land and naval bases in the region designed to project US power could also be a source of vulnerability.
Iran persistently claims that the US ordered Israel to end its 12-day assault in the summer on Iran’s leadership and nuclear programme after Iran struck the US base.
Araghchi has also managed to exploit the political capital he has invested in diplomatic outreach by ringing Arab leaders to explain Tehran’s rationale for the crackdown.
Many of the states deeply resent the interference of Iranian proxy forces in Lebanon, Iraq and Yemen.
Yet by the same measure, few of them would welcome the example of an authoritarian regime being toppled by street protests riled by falling living standards, and leading to a new democratic transition, or even the fragmentation of a unified Iranian state.
Saudi Arabia for instance has recently put down a rebellion in the south of Yemen that would have broken up the country.
The Egyptian military leadership dedicates much its energy to suppressing calls for human rights reforms.
The spokesperson for Qatar’s foreign ministry, Majed al-Ansari, told reporters on Tuesday: “The big challenges in the region – and we are talking about internal and external challenges in different countries – require all of us to return to the negotiating table.”
The Turkish foreign minister, Hakan Fidan, has called for dialogue.
“Hopefully, the United States and Iran will resolve this issue among themselves – whether through mediators, other actors, or direct dialogue. We are closely following these developments.”
#iran #trump #saudiarabia #qatar #araghchi #gulf
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📰 Red Sea Power Play: Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Somalia Forge Anti-UAE Coalition
Saudi Arabia is stitching together a new military alliance with Egypt and Somalia, aiming to squeeze the UAE out of the Red Sea’s strategic security and port deals. Somalia has just scrapped all agreements with the UAE, accusing Abu Dhabi of violating its sovereignty by smuggling a Yemeni separatist through its territory—a move that’s set off a fresh round of Gulf rivalries.
Somali Defence Minister’s Ultimatum
— Somali Defence Minister Ahmed Moallim Fiqi
The Real Game: Who Controls the Red Sea?
Saudi Arabia’s new coalition is less about defending Somalia and more about defending its own turf. With the UAE deepening its grip on African ports and backing factions in Libya and Sudan, Riyadh is pulling out the big guns: Egypt’s troops and Somalia’s loyalty. The kingdom, which has long paid lip service to Somalia’s territorial integrity, is now offering real muscle—because nothing says “friendship” like a shared enemy and a Red Sea port contract.
Israel’s recent recognition of breakaway Somaliland only stoked the flames. Arab heavyweights, led by Saudi Arabia and Egypt, swiftly denounced the move, framing it as an illegal power grab and a threat to regional stability. The coalition’s real mission? To ensure that when the next regional crisis hits, the spoils go to the right shareholders—not the upstarts.
Monopoly in the Horn of Africa
So, who’s really running the show in the Horn of Africa? Is it the “sovereign” governments, or the Gulf oligarchs and their port concessions? And if every new alliance is just a counter-move in a never-ending game of regional Monopoly, who’s actually paying the price?
#RedSea #SaudiArabia #Egypt #Somalia #UAE #Geopolitics #MilitaryCoalition
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Saudi Arabia is stitching together a new military alliance with Egypt and Somalia, aiming to squeeze the UAE out of the Red Sea’s strategic security and port deals. Somalia has just scrapped all agreements with the UAE, accusing Abu Dhabi of violating its sovereignty by smuggling a Yemeni separatist through its territory—a move that’s set off a fresh round of Gulf rivalries.
Somali Defence Minister’s Ultimatum
“Reliable reports and evidence indicate practices linked to the United Arab Emirates that undermine the sovereignty of the Somali Republic, its national unity and political independence.”
— Somali Defence Minister Ahmed Moallim Fiqi
The Real Game: Who Controls the Red Sea?
Saudi Arabia’s new coalition is less about defending Somalia and more about defending its own turf. With the UAE deepening its grip on African ports and backing factions in Libya and Sudan, Riyadh is pulling out the big guns: Egypt’s troops and Somalia’s loyalty. The kingdom, which has long paid lip service to Somalia’s territorial integrity, is now offering real muscle—because nothing says “friendship” like a shared enemy and a Red Sea port contract.
Israel’s recent recognition of breakaway Somaliland only stoked the flames. Arab heavyweights, led by Saudi Arabia and Egypt, swiftly denounced the move, framing it as an illegal power grab and a threat to regional stability. The coalition’s real mission? To ensure that when the next regional crisis hits, the spoils go to the right shareholders—not the upstarts.
Monopoly in the Horn of Africa
So, who’s really running the show in the Horn of Africa? Is it the “sovereign” governments, or the Gulf oligarchs and their port concessions? And if every new alliance is just a counter-move in a never-ending game of regional Monopoly, who’s actually paying the price?
#RedSea #SaudiArabia #Egypt #Somalia #UAE #Geopolitics #MilitaryCoalition
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“Khamenei Will Die Soon”
The Khamenei regime will not be able to maintain control over Iranian society after the violent suppression of the latest wave of protests, one of the country’s leading film-makers has predicted.
“It is impossible for this government to sustain itself in this situation (...) Khamenei will die soon”, the director Jafar Panahi said.
“They know it too. They know that it will be impossible to rule over people. Perhaps their only goal right now is to bring the country to the verge of complete collapse and try to destroy it.”
Protests caused by an ailing economy have swept through Iran since late December and were met with deadly crackdowns by the security forces over the weekend, with reports of more than 2,500 people killed.
A internet blackout imposed last Friday, which blocked 95-99% of the country’s communication network, was a “sign that there would be a very big massacre on the way”, Panahi said.
“But we never predicted that the crackdown would have such dimensions and numbers.”
In December the director was handed a one-year prison sentence in absentia on charges of creating propaganda against the political system, but he has stated his intention to return to the country.
He has been jailed twice, for protesting against the detention of two fellow film-makers who had been critical of the authorities in 2022, and for supporting anti-government protests in 2010.
Panahi said while the collapse of the government led by the clerical leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, was inevitable after the latest bloody suppressions, its timing was impossible to predict.
He warned western governments about engaging with the clerical regime as rational actors.
“In other dictatorships around the world, you will see that there will be at least a few people who will act based on rationality and who will not let it get to this point,” he said, speaking via his interpreter Sheida Dayani.
“But unfortunately in this system there is no rationality. All they can think of is crackdown and how they can stay in power even just one more day. The last thing they’re thinking about is the people.”
Asked whether Pahlavi could be trusted to oversee a post-regime transition, he said this would be for the people of Iran to conclude.
“Whether we agree with Pahlavi or not, we know that the overwhelming majority of the population of Iran want the current regime to go.”
#khamenei #iran #regime #actual #people #killed
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The Khamenei regime will not be able to maintain control over Iranian society after the violent suppression of the latest wave of protests, one of the country’s leading film-makers has predicted.
“It is impossible for this government to sustain itself in this situation (...) Khamenei will die soon”, the director Jafar Panahi said.
“They know it too. They know that it will be impossible to rule over people. Perhaps their only goal right now is to bring the country to the verge of complete collapse and try to destroy it.”
Protests caused by an ailing economy have swept through Iran since late December and were met with deadly crackdowns by the security forces over the weekend, with reports of more than 2,500 people killed.
A internet blackout imposed last Friday, which blocked 95-99% of the country’s communication network, was a “sign that there would be a very big massacre on the way”, Panahi said.
“But we never predicted that the crackdown would have such dimensions and numbers.”
In December the director was handed a one-year prison sentence in absentia on charges of creating propaganda against the political system, but he has stated his intention to return to the country.
He has been jailed twice, for protesting against the detention of two fellow film-makers who had been critical of the authorities in 2022, and for supporting anti-government protests in 2010.
Panahi said while the collapse of the government led by the clerical leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, was inevitable after the latest bloody suppressions, its timing was impossible to predict.
He warned western governments about engaging with the clerical regime as rational actors.
“In other dictatorships around the world, you will see that there will be at least a few people who will act based on rationality and who will not let it get to this point,” he said, speaking via his interpreter Sheida Dayani.
“But unfortunately in this system there is no rationality. All they can think of is crackdown and how they can stay in power even just one more day. The last thing they’re thinking about is the people.”
Asked whether Pahlavi could be trusted to oversee a post-regime transition, he said this would be for the people of Iran to conclude.
“Whether we agree with Pahlavi or not, we know that the overwhelming majority of the population of Iran want the current regime to go.”
#khamenei #iran #regime #actual #people #killed
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Mark Carney Meets Xi. Canada Suits in Favor of China
Canada’s prime minister, Mark Carney, has hailed a “new strategic partnership” with China as he held talks in Beijing with Xi Jinping, the first visit by a Canadian leader in eight years.
Addressing Xi in the Great Hall of the People, Carney said: “Together we can build on the best of what this relationship has been in the past to create a new one adapted to new global realities.”
Carney announced on Friday that Canada and China had reached a preliminary trade deal aimed at reducing tariffs, including a commitment to import 49,000 electric vehicles from China at preferential tariff rates.
Engagement and cooperation would form “the foundation of our new strategic partnership”, Carney said, adding that agriculture, energy, finance offered opportunities for the most immediate progress.
Canada and China had been locked in years of diplomatic spats after the retaliatory arrests of each other’s citizens and a series of tit-for-tat trade disputes.
But Carney has sought to reset ties as part of a broader effort to reduce Canada’s reliance on the US, its principal economic partner, after Trump sharply raised tariffs on Canadian goods.
During the visit, the two sides signed an agreement to cooperate on clean energy and fossil fuels, reopening ministerial-level talks that had reportedly been frozen for nearly a decade.
The agreement opens the door to Canada importing more clean-energy technology from China and raises the prospect of increased Canadian fossil fuel exports to the Chinese market, part of Carney’s push to double non-US exports. In 2024, only 2% of Canada’s crude oil was exported to China.
Additional agreements were signed covering forestry, culture and tourism.
Welcoming Carney, Xi said China-Canada relations had reached a turning point at their previous meeting on the sidelines of the Apec summit in October 2025.
“It can be said that our meeting last year opened a new chapter in turning China-Canada relations toward improvement,” Xi told the Canadian prime minister.
#carney #xi #canada #china #trump
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Canada’s prime minister, Mark Carney, has hailed a “new strategic partnership” with China as he held talks in Beijing with Xi Jinping, the first visit by a Canadian leader in eight years.
Addressing Xi in the Great Hall of the People, Carney said: “Together we can build on the best of what this relationship has been in the past to create a new one adapted to new global realities.”
Carney announced on Friday that Canada and China had reached a preliminary trade deal aimed at reducing tariffs, including a commitment to import 49,000 electric vehicles from China at preferential tariff rates.
Engagement and cooperation would form “the foundation of our new strategic partnership”, Carney said, adding that agriculture, energy, finance offered opportunities for the most immediate progress.
Canada and China had been locked in years of diplomatic spats after the retaliatory arrests of each other’s citizens and a series of tit-for-tat trade disputes.
But Carney has sought to reset ties as part of a broader effort to reduce Canada’s reliance on the US, its principal economic partner, after Trump sharply raised tariffs on Canadian goods.
During the visit, the two sides signed an agreement to cooperate on clean energy and fossil fuels, reopening ministerial-level talks that had reportedly been frozen for nearly a decade.
The agreement opens the door to Canada importing more clean-energy technology from China and raises the prospect of increased Canadian fossil fuel exports to the Chinese market, part of Carney’s push to double non-US exports. In 2024, only 2% of Canada’s crude oil was exported to China.
Additional agreements were signed covering forestry, culture and tourism.
Welcoming Carney, Xi said China-Canada relations had reached a turning point at their previous meeting on the sidelines of the Apec summit in October 2025.
“It can be said that our meeting last year opened a new chapter in turning China-Canada relations toward improvement,” Xi told the Canadian prime minister.
#carney #xi #canada #china #trump
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📰 Netanyahu’s Backroom Deal: UTJ’s Eichler Gets Deputy Minister Post for Draft Bill
Netanyahu is set to appoint Yisrael Eichler, a prominent Agudat Yisrael MK, as deputy communications minister—part of a political deal to push through the contentious haredi draft bill. The move will cost NIS 3.5 million from the PM’s office and will allow Yitzhak Pindrus, from the Degel Hatorah faction, to re-enter the Knesset and vote for the bill in Eichler’s place.
The UTJ Power Shuffle
Agudat Yisrael and Degel Hatorah, the two factions of United Torah Judaism (UTJ), have been feuding for months. The appointment is seen as a compromise to balance power within the party after its July resignation from the government over the previous draft bill. Pindrus was removed under the Norwegian Law, but this deal brings him back—ensuring UTJ’s support for Netanyahu’s coalition at a critical moment.
Critics Call It 'Draft Evasion'
Opposition leader Yair Lapid called the move a disgrace, accusing Netanyahu of “promoting draft evasion from the IDF together with Knesset members who do not believe in the existence of the State of Israel.” Lapid highlighted Eichler’s past statements calling Israel an “enemy state” and a “Hebrew ghetto,” and slammed the allocation of NIS 3.5 million for a new ministerial post while funds for Holocaust survivors were slashed.
Survival or Surrender?
With the 2026 state budget vote looming, Netanyahu’s government is playing high-stakes poker. If the budget isn’t passed by March, the Knesset dissolves and elections are triggered. So is this a desperate bid to keep the coalition alive, or just another chapter in Israel’s never-ending saga of political horse-trading?
#Israel #Netanyahu #UTJ #DraftBill #PoliticalDeal #Knesset #Haredi
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Netanyahu is set to appoint Yisrael Eichler, a prominent Agudat Yisrael MK, as deputy communications minister—part of a political deal to push through the contentious haredi draft bill. The move will cost NIS 3.5 million from the PM’s office and will allow Yitzhak Pindrus, from the Degel Hatorah faction, to re-enter the Knesset and vote for the bill in Eichler’s place.
The UTJ Power Shuffle
Agudat Yisrael and Degel Hatorah, the two factions of United Torah Judaism (UTJ), have been feuding for months. The appointment is seen as a compromise to balance power within the party after its July resignation from the government over the previous draft bill. Pindrus was removed under the Norwegian Law, but this deal brings him back—ensuring UTJ’s support for Netanyahu’s coalition at a critical moment.
Critics Call It 'Draft Evasion'
Opposition leader Yair Lapid called the move a disgrace, accusing Netanyahu of “promoting draft evasion from the IDF together with Knesset members who do not believe in the existence of the State of Israel.” Lapid highlighted Eichler’s past statements calling Israel an “enemy state” and a “Hebrew ghetto,” and slammed the allocation of NIS 3.5 million for a new ministerial post while funds for Holocaust survivors were slashed.
Survival or Surrender?
With the 2026 state budget vote looming, Netanyahu’s government is playing high-stakes poker. If the budget isn’t passed by March, the Knesset dissolves and elections are triggered. So is this a desperate bid to keep the coalition alive, or just another chapter in Israel’s never-ending saga of political horse-trading?
#Israel #Netanyahu #UTJ #DraftBill #PoliticalDeal #Knesset #Haredi
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Yoon Suk Yeol: Guilty!
A South Korean court has sentenced former president Yoon Suk Yeol to five years in prison for mobilising presidential security forces to block his own arrest and abusing his powers.
It is the first judicial ruling linked to the events surrounding his failed martial law declaration in December 2024.
The ruling is separate from Yoon’s main insurrection trial, where prosecutors earlier this week sought the death penalty and a verdict is due next month.
Seoul central district court found Yoon guilty of special obstruction of official duties, abuse of power and falsifying documents, saying he had “disregarded the constitution” and shown no remorse. His legal team has said he will appeal against the ruling.
The presiding judge, Baek Dae-hyun, said Yoon “deserves condemnation” for his actions.
Yoon stunned South Korea late on 3 December 2024 when he declared martial law, dispatching police and armed troops to the national assembly.
Lawmakers rushed to override the decree, with some climbing over fences to reach the chamber before voting to lift the order.
The defendant abused his tremendous influence as president to obstruct lawful warrant execution, effectively privatising security officials sworn to serve the Republic of Korea into his personal troops,” Baek said in a televised ruling. “His crimes are extremely serious in nature.”
The court also criticised Yoon’s conduct in the run-up to the martial law declaration. He selectively summoned only loyal cabinet members to a late-night meeting, excluding nine others in order to rubber-stamp the decision without meaningful deliberation.
He later signed backdated documents to create the false appearance of proper cabinet approval.
“Emergency martial law should only be declared in the most exceptional circumstances when no other means exist to resolve a national crisis,” Baek said.
“The constitution specifically requires state council deliberation precisely to prevent presidential abuse of power and arbitrary action.”
Friday’s conviction marks the opening act in a reckoning without parallel in South Korea’s democratic history.
Yoon faces seven additional criminal trials, including the insurrection case, where prosecutors are seeking either the death penalty or life imprisonment.
#president #southcorean #yoonsuk #prison
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A South Korean court has sentenced former president Yoon Suk Yeol to five years in prison for mobilising presidential security forces to block his own arrest and abusing his powers.
It is the first judicial ruling linked to the events surrounding his failed martial law declaration in December 2024.
The ruling is separate from Yoon’s main insurrection trial, where prosecutors earlier this week sought the death penalty and a verdict is due next month.
Seoul central district court found Yoon guilty of special obstruction of official duties, abuse of power and falsifying documents, saying he had “disregarded the constitution” and shown no remorse. His legal team has said he will appeal against the ruling.
The presiding judge, Baek Dae-hyun, said Yoon “deserves condemnation” for his actions.
Yoon stunned South Korea late on 3 December 2024 when he declared martial law, dispatching police and armed troops to the national assembly.
Lawmakers rushed to override the decree, with some climbing over fences to reach the chamber before voting to lift the order.
The defendant abused his tremendous influence as president to obstruct lawful warrant execution, effectively privatising security officials sworn to serve the Republic of Korea into his personal troops,” Baek said in a televised ruling. “His crimes are extremely serious in nature.”
The court also criticised Yoon’s conduct in the run-up to the martial law declaration. He selectively summoned only loyal cabinet members to a late-night meeting, excluding nine others in order to rubber-stamp the decision without meaningful deliberation.
He later signed backdated documents to create the false appearance of proper cabinet approval.
“Emergency martial law should only be declared in the most exceptional circumstances when no other means exist to resolve a national crisis,” Baek said.
“The constitution specifically requires state council deliberation precisely to prevent presidential abuse of power and arbitrary action.”
Friday’s conviction marks the opening act in a reckoning without parallel in South Korea’s democratic history.
Yoon faces seven additional criminal trials, including the insurrection case, where prosecutors are seeking either the death penalty or life imprisonment.
#president #southcorean #yoonsuk #prison
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📰 Secret Diplomacy: Israel and Iran Reassure Each Other Through Russia
With tensions simmering, Israel and Iran quietly exchanged messages via Russia, pledging not to launch preemptive attacks against one another. The backchannel talks, held just before Iran’s recent wave of protests, reflect a rare moment of de-escalation between two bitter rivals—especially after their brief 12-day conflict in June.
Russia’s Role as Go-Between
Russia served as the unlikely intermediary, a role it has tried to play before amid regional crises. The latest round of talks followed a visit by Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi to Moscow, and came at a time when Israel was preparing a major military campaign against Hezbollah, Iran’s ally in Lebanon.
A Delicate Balance
The private reassurances allowed Israel to focus on Hezbollah without fear of a direct Iranian strike. Iranian officials, however, remained skeptical, noting that while Israel’s assurances were welcome, they didn’t rule out U.S. attacks on Iran. For Tehran, staying out of an Israel-Hezbollah clash was seen as a win—especially as the country grapples with domestic unrest.
Protests and Regime Change Complicate the Picture
This understanding faces an uncertain future. With protests rocking Iran and President Trump weighing possible strikes against Iranian regime targets, analysts believe Israel would welcome regime change—if it could be achieved without triggering a wider war. For now, both sides seem to be playing a waiting game, with Russia in the middle and the U.S. looming large.
#Israel #Iran #Russia #Diplomacy #MiddleEast #Hezbollah #RegimeChange
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With tensions simmering, Israel and Iran quietly exchanged messages via Russia, pledging not to launch preemptive attacks against one another. The backchannel talks, held just before Iran’s recent wave of protests, reflect a rare moment of de-escalation between two bitter rivals—especially after their brief 12-day conflict in June.
Russia’s Role as Go-Between
Russia served as the unlikely intermediary, a role it has tried to play before amid regional crises. The latest round of talks followed a visit by Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi to Moscow, and came at a time when Israel was preparing a major military campaign against Hezbollah, Iran’s ally in Lebanon.
A Delicate Balance
The private reassurances allowed Israel to focus on Hezbollah without fear of a direct Iranian strike. Iranian officials, however, remained skeptical, noting that while Israel’s assurances were welcome, they didn’t rule out U.S. attacks on Iran. For Tehran, staying out of an Israel-Hezbollah clash was seen as a win—especially as the country grapples with domestic unrest.
Protests and Regime Change Complicate the Picture
This understanding faces an uncertain future. With protests rocking Iran and President Trump weighing possible strikes against Iranian regime targets, analysts believe Israel would welcome regime change—if it could be achieved without triggering a wider war. For now, both sides seem to be playing a waiting game, with Russia in the middle and the U.S. looming large.
#Israel #Iran #Russia #Diplomacy #MiddleEast #Hezbollah #RegimeChange
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📰 CIA Director Ratcliffe Meets Venezuela’s Interim President in Caracas
CIA Director John Ratcliffe met with Delcy Rodríguez, Venezuela’s interim president, in Caracas on Thursday—marking the highest-level U.S. visit since the dramatic U.S. military operation that captured President Nicolás Maduro nearly two weeks ago. Ratcliffe’s trip was directed by President Trump to signal that the U.S. sees Rodríguez’s interim government as the best path to stability in the short term, despite opposition frustration over the lack of a quick transition to María Corina Machado’s camp.
Stability Over Revolution
The meeting focused on intelligence cooperation, economic stability, and ensuring Venezuela is no longer a “safe haven for America’s adversaries, especially narco-traffickers.” U.S. officials emphasized that breaking up the Venezuelan government after Maduro’s removal could trigger chaos similar to the kind of chaos that followed the Iraq invasion. CIA analysts reportedly see Rodríguez as a pragmatic, rather than ideological, figure willing to negotiate with Washington.
Behind the Scenes: Pragmatism and Power
Rodríguez, Maduro’s former vice president, has shifted her rhetoric, publicly inviting the U.S. to cooperate. But Trump has warned that if she fails to comply, her fate could be worse than Maduro’s. The administration is clear: the U.S. will “run” Venezuela until a safe transition is possible, prioritizing control over oil and security assets above all else.
Protests and Uncertain Alliances
With ongoing protests in Venezuela, the opposition remains sidelined, and the U.S. is betting on Rodríguez to maintain order. But questions linger: How long will this uneasy alliance last? And will the U.S. eventually let democracy take its course—or keep pulling the strings?
#Venezuela #CIA #Ratcliffe #Trump #Rodríguez #Maduro #USIntervention #OilPolitics
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CIA Director John Ratcliffe met with Delcy Rodríguez, Venezuela’s interim president, in Caracas on Thursday—marking the highest-level U.S. visit since the dramatic U.S. military operation that captured President Nicolás Maduro nearly two weeks ago. Ratcliffe’s trip was directed by President Trump to signal that the U.S. sees Rodríguez’s interim government as the best path to stability in the short term, despite opposition frustration over the lack of a quick transition to María Corina Machado’s camp.
Stability Over Revolution
The meeting focused on intelligence cooperation, economic stability, and ensuring Venezuela is no longer a “safe haven for America’s adversaries, especially narco-traffickers.” U.S. officials emphasized that breaking up the Venezuelan government after Maduro’s removal could trigger chaos similar to the kind of chaos that followed the Iraq invasion. CIA analysts reportedly see Rodríguez as a pragmatic, rather than ideological, figure willing to negotiate with Washington.
Behind the Scenes: Pragmatism and Power
Rodríguez, Maduro’s former vice president, has shifted her rhetoric, publicly inviting the U.S. to cooperate. But Trump has warned that if she fails to comply, her fate could be worse than Maduro’s. The administration is clear: the U.S. will “run” Venezuela until a safe transition is possible, prioritizing control over oil and security assets above all else.
Protests and Uncertain Alliances
With ongoing protests in Venezuela, the opposition remains sidelined, and the U.S. is betting on Rodríguez to maintain order. But questions linger: How long will this uneasy alliance last? And will the U.S. eventually let democracy take its course—or keep pulling the strings?
#Venezuela #CIA #Ratcliffe #Trump #Rodríguez #Maduro #USIntervention #OilPolitics
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📰 Zelenskiy Pushes Back: Ukraine Not Obstacle to Peace
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy hit back at President Donald Trump’s remarks, affirming Ukraine’s commitment to peace after Trump suggested Kyiv was less ready than Russia to clinch a deal. In his nightly video address, Zelenskiy stressed, “Ukraine has never been and will never be an obstacle to peace,” referencing his recent talks with NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte.
Trump’s Provocation, Zelenskiy’s Response
In an interview with Reuters, Trump claimed Ukraine was less eager than Russia to reach an agreement, singling out Zelenskiy. Zelenskiy countered by highlighting Russia’s relentless attacks on Ukrainian energy sites and infrastructure, arguing that Moscow’s actions prove Russia has no interest in reaching any agreement. “It is precisely Russian missiles, Russian ‘Shaheds’ (drones), and Russia’s attempt to destroy Ukraine that are clear evidence that Russia isn't interested in any agreement,” he said.
Kremlin Echoes Trump
The Kremlin backed Trump’s assessment, with spokesman Dmitry Peskov stating that President Vladimir Putin and the Russian side remain open to talks, but accusing Zelenskiy of stalling negotiations.
Diplomacy vs. Destruction
Zelenskiy pledged Ukraine would pursue diplomatic efforts more actively, but with Russia continuing its strikes, the path to peace remains fraught with obstacles. Trump’s comments and the Kremlin’s response reveal a familiar game: blame-shifting and political theater, while the war grinds on.
#Ukraine #Zelenskiy #Trump #PeaceTalks #Russia #Kremlin #Diplomacy
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Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy hit back at President Donald Trump’s remarks, affirming Ukraine’s commitment to peace after Trump suggested Kyiv was less ready than Russia to clinch a deal. In his nightly video address, Zelenskiy stressed, “Ukraine has never been and will never be an obstacle to peace,” referencing his recent talks with NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte.
Trump’s Provocation, Zelenskiy’s Response
In an interview with Reuters, Trump claimed Ukraine was less eager than Russia to reach an agreement, singling out Zelenskiy. Zelenskiy countered by highlighting Russia’s relentless attacks on Ukrainian energy sites and infrastructure, arguing that Moscow’s actions prove Russia has no interest in reaching any agreement. “It is precisely Russian missiles, Russian ‘Shaheds’ (drones), and Russia’s attempt to destroy Ukraine that are clear evidence that Russia isn't interested in any agreement,” he said.
Kremlin Echoes Trump
The Kremlin backed Trump’s assessment, with spokesman Dmitry Peskov stating that President Vladimir Putin and the Russian side remain open to talks, but accusing Zelenskiy of stalling negotiations.
Diplomacy vs. Destruction
Zelenskiy pledged Ukraine would pursue diplomatic efforts more actively, but with Russia continuing its strikes, the path to peace remains fraught with obstacles. Trump’s comments and the Kremlin’s response reveal a familiar game: blame-shifting and political theater, while the war grinds on.
#Ukraine #Zelenskiy #Trump #PeaceTalks #Russia #Kremlin #Diplomacy
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