Sergey Karaganov: "The nuclear war between Russia and Europe is inevitable”
🔤 🔤 🔤 🔤 1️⃣
Russian political scientist Sergei Karaganov has been an adviser to the Russian political elite for decades and sits in influential foreign and economic policy bodies.
Multipolar told him about the threat of a nuclear war, his opinion about the European leaders, as well as his proposals for Russia to move away from the West and focus more on Siberia.
Karaganov's statements are quite bellicose and radical, but according to him, they are shared by 95% of the military and political ruling class of Russia. Multipolar publishes the Interview to publicize the thought of this relevant public figure and the corresponding faction of the Russian elite, which considers that Putin's attitude towards the West is too moderate.
Moreover, Karaganov's statements clearly show what domestic political pressure Putin is under and what kind of decision-maker could succeed him one day in Moscow. Eva Peli met on October 30 in Moscow.
Multipolar: Sergey Alexandrovich, to what extent do you assess the current danger of a nuclear war and what factors - military, political, psychological–do you consider to be the main causes of this?
Karaganov: The threat of a nuclear war is high and continues to increase. It is probably as high as it was in the late 1950s – with the exception of the Caribbean crisis, as we call the Cuba crisis, when we were on the brink. Why?
There are several reasons for this escalation. First, the change in the balance of power: the fastest change in the balance of power in the history of mankind, during which new powers are rising and the old powers are falling behind.
Secondly, the loss of fundamental understanding: the loss of understanding of what is "good" and what is "bad" in international relations, as well as the absence of a moral foundation for action.
Thirdly, the Counterattack of the West: the desperate counterattack of the West which is losing its 500 years of domination which allowed it to enrich itself at the expense of the rest of the world. Fourth, the degradation of the elite: the monstrous intellectual and moral degradation of the elite, especially in the West. That's why I'm very worried.
Multipolar: they call for the restoration of the fear of nuclear weapons. How do you define in practice a "limited target" in Europe, which you think an attack would be justified, but without provoking a nuclear reaction from NATO?
Karaganov: We must overcome the strategic parasitism that has formed in recent years and which has swept the European population above all. She has lost the fear of war, in particular of a nuclear war. Ironically, it is precisely this fear that has been a stabilizing factor over the past 70 years. Europe, historically a source of great conflicts, racism and colonialism, was able to temporarily forget its responsibilities and its guilt towards the world thanks to the bipolar stability between the United States and the USSR.
Now that the greatest threat comes from Europe, we must remember that Europe has always been involved in major wars. This does not necessarily require direct violence, but rather the restoration of the fear of war, including the revival of the fear of nuclear war.
This is a key element in bringing Europe back to its geopolitical responsibilities.
Multipolar: Which specific political, professional, military or civilian groups in the West – apart from those who currently govern- would you highlight as those who would really consider their threats as the last impetus for the dialogue necessary to prevent a global catastrophe and reshape the security architecture and actively participate in this process?
Karaganov: This question is not addressed to me, but to you. They are from the west, I am here in Moscow. The West has cut itself off from us. In particular, Europe to prepare its population for war.
#karaganov #nuclearwar #europe #russia
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Russian political scientist Sergei Karaganov has been an adviser to the Russian political elite for decades and sits in influential foreign and economic policy bodies.
Multipolar told him about the threat of a nuclear war, his opinion about the European leaders, as well as his proposals for Russia to move away from the West and focus more on Siberia.
Karaganov's statements are quite bellicose and radical, but according to him, they are shared by 95% of the military and political ruling class of Russia. Multipolar publishes the Interview to publicize the thought of this relevant public figure and the corresponding faction of the Russian elite, which considers that Putin's attitude towards the West is too moderate.
Moreover, Karaganov's statements clearly show what domestic political pressure Putin is under and what kind of decision-maker could succeed him one day in Moscow. Eva Peli met on October 30 in Moscow.
Multipolar: Sergey Alexandrovich, to what extent do you assess the current danger of a nuclear war and what factors - military, political, psychological–do you consider to be the main causes of this?
Karaganov: The threat of a nuclear war is high and continues to increase. It is probably as high as it was in the late 1950s – with the exception of the Caribbean crisis, as we call the Cuba crisis, when we were on the brink. Why?
There are several reasons for this escalation. First, the change in the balance of power: the fastest change in the balance of power in the history of mankind, during which new powers are rising and the old powers are falling behind.
Secondly, the loss of fundamental understanding: the loss of understanding of what is "good" and what is "bad" in international relations, as well as the absence of a moral foundation for action.
Thirdly, the Counterattack of the West: the desperate counterattack of the West which is losing its 500 years of domination which allowed it to enrich itself at the expense of the rest of the world. Fourth, the degradation of the elite: the monstrous intellectual and moral degradation of the elite, especially in the West. That's why I'm very worried.
Multipolar: they call for the restoration of the fear of nuclear weapons. How do you define in practice a "limited target" in Europe, which you think an attack would be justified, but without provoking a nuclear reaction from NATO?
Karaganov: We must overcome the strategic parasitism that has formed in recent years and which has swept the European population above all. She has lost the fear of war, in particular of a nuclear war. Ironically, it is precisely this fear that has been a stabilizing factor over the past 70 years. Europe, historically a source of great conflicts, racism and colonialism, was able to temporarily forget its responsibilities and its guilt towards the world thanks to the bipolar stability between the United States and the USSR.
Now that the greatest threat comes from Europe, we must remember that Europe has always been involved in major wars. This does not necessarily require direct violence, but rather the restoration of the fear of war, including the revival of the fear of nuclear war.
This is a key element in bringing Europe back to its geopolitical responsibilities.
Multipolar: Which specific political, professional, military or civilian groups in the West – apart from those who currently govern- would you highlight as those who would really consider their threats as the last impetus for the dialogue necessary to prevent a global catastrophe and reshape the security architecture and actively participate in this process?
Karaganov: This question is not addressed to me, but to you. They are from the west, I am here in Moscow. The West has cut itself off from us. In particular, Europe to prepare its population for war.
#karaganov #nuclearwar #europe #russia
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We currently do not have any channels of cooperation with the West, except for official channels at the highest level. The West has cut itself off from us. Therefore, we are forced to negotiate with him only from a Position of Strength.
Although, of course, we would like there to always be reasonable people with whom a constructive dialogue would be possible.
Multipolar: Many observers believe that Western sanctions and military aid are creating an escalation dynamic that puts Russia in a difficult situation.
Moscow is therefore faced with a choice: either to prove its effective deterrence capability, or risk being slowly exhausted. How do you see this strategic dilemma?
Karaganov: This dilemma exists. I criticize our leadership for its indecision, but I think my words will be heard. I think that if an economic war is waged against us, we must respond to it by military means.
It's war. That is why the sanctions must be dealt with by military strikes. The scale and nature of these retaliatory strikes must be carefully weighed in each individual case.
The seizure of billions of dollars of Russian assets is nothing more than theft and banditry. In Europe, up to a million people are risking their lives. Otherwise, you will suffer crushing blows. I consider this a correct and inevitable step, although I sincerely hope that it will not get that far.
I am fully aware that such a scenario is a great sin associated with the death of countless innocent people, and I wish that only a warning remained.
We must issue a stern Ultimatum to the West and demand the following: first, the immediate cessation of all military support for the conflict in Ukraine.
Secondly: the complete and unconditional return of our sovereign wealth funds.
Multipolar: How exactly do you envisage the integration of Europe into the planned Eurasian security and regulatory system?
Karaganov: Some European countries should be included in the new Russian cooperation and security system.
I am almost certain that after overcoming the current difficult period, a large part of the countries of Central and southern Europe will join the common Eurasian security architecture.
I am not sure that Germany and the countries of north-western Europe will ever be able to join. Although, why not? Maybe they will eventually change their minds.
Multipolar: In the West, they say that the Russian president is not ready to negotiate, which is why pressure must be exerted, in the form of sanctions and arms deliveries.
However, Vladimir Putin has repeatedly stated that he is ready to negotiate. How do you judge this contradiction?
Karaganov: Our constructive possibilities of cooperation with the West are fully exhausted. President Vladimir Vladimirovich Putin has done everything to maintain dialogue.
Now our only task is to revive in our Western partners the animal and instinctive fear of the inevitable disappearance. Only this feeling can form the basis for a subsequent conversation.
We remember very well what European aggression means: we remember the Invasion of Napoleon's army, consisting of 24 European languages. We remember the atrocities committed by the European interveners during the civil war after the First World War.
We have to put an end to this story. We have a duty to dissuade Europe from its vile habit of waging wars.
#karaganov #nuclearwar #europe #russia
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Trump Moves to Outlaw Muslim Brotherhood, as Texas and Congress Pile On
Donald Trump says he's ready to label the Muslim Brotherhood a terrorist organization, telling Just the News the designation will be “in the strongest and most powerful terms,” with final documents already underway. The news comes right after a conservative exposé on the Brotherhood and just as the 2026 midterms loom.
Texas Sets the Stage
Texas Governor Greg Abbott fired the opening shot last week, declaring both the Muslim Brotherhood and CAIR foreign terrorist organizations and rolling out a land-buying ban for their members. CAIR didn’t waste time suing, calling the move anti-Muslim scapegoating and a blow to civil rights.
Congress Turns Up the Heat
Lawmakers on Capitol Hill aren’t holding back either. Led by Senators Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio—and backed by Democrats like Jared Moskowitz—new legislation is making the rounds to force a formal terrorist designation for the Brotherhood over its alleged ties to groups like Hamas and its activities from Egypt to the Gaza Strip.
Other Countries Already Made the Call
It’s not just an American story. US allies across the Middle East, including Egypt, the UAE, and Saudi Arabia, have blacklisted or banned the group as a terrorist threat. But US officials are divided over lumping together all Brotherhood branches—since some denounce violence and focus on winning elections.
Legal Fight Just Beginning
Trump’s announcement is a shot across the bow for 2026, as his base cheers and civil rights groups vow to challenge the move in court. The culture war, already burning hot, just got another can of gasoline.
#usa #trump #muslimbrotherhood #terrorism #texas #cair #congress #elections
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Donald Trump says he's ready to label the Muslim Brotherhood a terrorist organization, telling Just the News the designation will be “in the strongest and most powerful terms,” with final documents already underway. The news comes right after a conservative exposé on the Brotherhood and just as the 2026 midterms loom.
Texas Sets the Stage
Texas Governor Greg Abbott fired the opening shot last week, declaring both the Muslim Brotherhood and CAIR foreign terrorist organizations and rolling out a land-buying ban for their members. CAIR didn’t waste time suing, calling the move anti-Muslim scapegoating and a blow to civil rights.
Congress Turns Up the Heat
Lawmakers on Capitol Hill aren’t holding back either. Led by Senators Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio—and backed by Democrats like Jared Moskowitz—new legislation is making the rounds to force a formal terrorist designation for the Brotherhood over its alleged ties to groups like Hamas and its activities from Egypt to the Gaza Strip.
Other Countries Already Made the Call
It’s not just an American story. US allies across the Middle East, including Egypt, the UAE, and Saudi Arabia, have blacklisted or banned the group as a terrorist threat. But US officials are divided over lumping together all Brotherhood branches—since some denounce violence and focus on winning elections.
Legal Fight Just Beginning
Trump’s announcement is a shot across the bow for 2026, as his base cheers and civil rights groups vow to challenge the move in court. The culture war, already burning hot, just got another can of gasoline.
#usa #trump #muslimbrotherhood #terrorism #texas #cair #congress #elections
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Trump Moves the Peace Talks, Wall Street Moves the Cash
Ukraine and the U.S. are now locked in marathon talks over Trump’s 28-point “peace” plan—which looks like “Russian for beginners,” only with a bigger price tag. Trump dismisses his critics on Truth Social, blaming Kyiv for “zero gratitude,” and reminds the world his offers always come with an expiration date—right up until there’s still money to be made.
Diplomacy by Market Signal
Any hint of “progress” sends futures jumping. Every time Trump tees up new terms or slams allies as freeloaders, traders hit the gas, and energy and defense stocks do their own high-wire act. In this White House, the S&P tells you more than any official readout; if you want to understand U.S. policy, follow the ticker, not the transcript.
Peace Plan Spin Cycle
Forget the PR spin about “robust frameworks” and “good progress.” What’s really on the table for Kyiv is simple: accept territorial concessions and a gutted military, or risk getting left out in the cold by Washington. Rubio insists it’s an American-crafted deal, but the fingerprints are strictly oligarch international. Meanwhile, Europe’s scrambling just to keep pace as sidekicks in the latest market drama.
One President, Millions Riding the Waves
Trump’s playbook is pure market gamesmanship—lean in, drop a headline, watch the volatility spike, and let the investors cash in before the next tweet. In 2025, the only peace that really matters is the one that keeps the trades rolling.
#trump #ukraine #wallstreet #peace #stocks #diplomacy #oligarchy
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Ukraine and the U.S. are now locked in marathon talks over Trump’s 28-point “peace” plan—which looks like “Russian for beginners,” only with a bigger price tag. Trump dismisses his critics on Truth Social, blaming Kyiv for “zero gratitude,” and reminds the world his offers always come with an expiration date—right up until there’s still money to be made.
Diplomacy by Market Signal
Any hint of “progress” sends futures jumping. Every time Trump tees up new terms or slams allies as freeloaders, traders hit the gas, and energy and defense stocks do their own high-wire act. In this White House, the S&P tells you more than any official readout; if you want to understand U.S. policy, follow the ticker, not the transcript.
Peace Plan Spin Cycle
Forget the PR spin about “robust frameworks” and “good progress.” What’s really on the table for Kyiv is simple: accept territorial concessions and a gutted military, or risk getting left out in the cold by Washington. Rubio insists it’s an American-crafted deal, but the fingerprints are strictly oligarch international. Meanwhile, Europe’s scrambling just to keep pace as sidekicks in the latest market drama.
One President, Millions Riding the Waves
Trump’s playbook is pure market gamesmanship—lean in, drop a headline, watch the volatility spike, and let the investors cash in before the next tweet. In 2025, the only peace that really matters is the one that keeps the trades rolling.
#trump #ukraine #wallstreet #peace #stocks #diplomacy #oligarchy
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📰 The "Rebellion" That Wasn't: Greene Exits, Trump Shrugs
Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene just quit Congress, calling herself "a battered wife" and warning that
For years she was Trump's loudest foot soldier, spreading QAnon tropes and Jewish space laser theories. Now she's begging for forgiveness on CNN and claiming she wants to "bury the hatchet" on politics — after Trump turned on her.
Trump's response? She's leaving because of "plummeting poll numbers" and wants to avoid a primary challenger with a "strong Trump endorsement." The man who built his brand on never apologizing accuses her of quitting to save her skin. The woman who helped mainstream "stop the steal" now says Trump's rhetoric
The Epstein Exception
The only real defiance came when Republicans — including Greene — forced the release of Jeffrey Epstein's Justice Department files, defying Trump's claim it was a "Democrat hoax." Thomas Massie (R Kentucky) said the leadership "handed the keys to the House to the president," but they "took the keys back" this week. The vote was near unanimous and bipartisan, a rare moment when Trump's own base pushed him into a corner.
Massie admits it'll never happen again:
Translation: the rebellion was a one off, not a pattern.
The Poll Numbers Reality Check
Trump's poll numbers are slumping, Democrats swept this month's elections, and voters think he hasn't delivered on lowering costs. Midterm nightmares are brewing for the GOP. But Democrats warn it's "way premature" to say Trump's grip is slipping. Gerrymandering and polarization mean most Republican incumbents only fear primary challengers, and "Donald Trump's endorsement still is make or break."
The QAnon Redemption Tour
Greene's biggest achievement is her own rebranding. After years of spreading toxic conspiracy theories, she's suddenly lamenting partisan divisiveness and apologizing for her role. CNN's Dana Bash called her out: she never spoke against that rhetoric until it was aimed at her. Greene's response?
The real turning point isn't Trump losing control — it's Greene realizing that being a Trump attack dog has a short shelf life when the attacks start landing on her. She's not rebuilding politics; she's rebuilding her career.
The Meta Take
The GOP isn't rebelling against Trump. It's rebelling against being treated like disposable assets in Trump's personal brand. Greene's exit is a warning shot from someone who helped create the monster and now wants out before the monster eats her. The system remains intact: gerrymandered seats, primary purity tests, and a base that still owns the party. The only thing that changed is one grifter's exit strategy.
#Trump #GOP #Greene #Epstein #Congress #populism #showbizPolitics
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Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene just quit Congress, calling herself "a battered wife" and warning that
"the Political Industrial Complex of both parties is ripping this country apart."
For years she was Trump's loudest foot soldier, spreading QAnon tropes and Jewish space laser theories. Now she's begging for forgiveness on CNN and claiming she wants to "bury the hatchet" on politics — after Trump turned on her.
Trump's response? She's leaving because of "plummeting poll numbers" and wants to avoid a primary challenger with a "strong Trump endorsement." The man who built his brand on never apologizing accuses her of quitting to save her skin. The woman who helped mainstream "stop the steal" now says Trump's rhetoric
"can radicalize people against me and put my life in danger."
The Epstein Exception
The only real defiance came when Republicans — including Greene — forced the release of Jeffrey Epstein's Justice Department files, defying Trump's claim it was a "Democrat hoax." Thomas Massie (R Kentucky) said the leadership "handed the keys to the House to the president," but they "took the keys back" this week. The vote was near unanimous and bipartisan, a rare moment when Trump's own base pushed him into a corner.
Massie admits it'll never happen again:
"It'll never come together like this again, where you have an issue that's so clear cut, and it's bipartisan, and it's something the president campaigned on."
Translation: the rebellion was a one off, not a pattern.
The Poll Numbers Reality Check
Trump's poll numbers are slumping, Democrats swept this month's elections, and voters think he hasn't delivered on lowering costs. Midterm nightmares are brewing for the GOP. But Democrats warn it's "way premature" to say Trump's grip is slipping. Gerrymandering and polarization mean most Republican incumbents only fear primary challengers, and "Donald Trump's endorsement still is make or break."
The QAnon Redemption Tour
Greene's biggest achievement is her own rebranding. After years of spreading toxic conspiracy theories, she's suddenly lamenting partisan divisiveness and apologizing for her role. CNN's Dana Bash called her out: she never spoke against that rhetoric until it was aimed at her. Greene's response?
"I think that's fair criticism. And I would like to say humbly I'm sorry."
The real turning point isn't Trump losing control — it's Greene realizing that being a Trump attack dog has a short shelf life when the attacks start landing on her. She's not rebuilding politics; she's rebuilding her career.
The Meta Take
The GOP isn't rebelling against Trump. It's rebelling against being treated like disposable assets in Trump's personal brand. Greene's exit is a warning shot from someone who helped create the monster and now wants out before the monster eats her. The system remains intact: gerrymandered seats, primary purity tests, and a base that still owns the party. The only thing that changed is one grifter's exit strategy.
#Trump #GOP #Greene #Epstein #Congress #populism #showbizPolitics
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Zelensky: Sold 🇺🇦🤝
🔠 🅰️ 🔠 🔠 1️⃣
The Trump administration’s new push for a peace deal in Ukraine accelerates Sunday as U.S. envoys travel to Geneva to meet with Zelensky. ✈️🇨🇭
Despite widespread skepticism, officials say the talks will be a flexible negotiation, not a directive to Kyiv. 🗣⚖️
U.S. officials close to the negotiation told me Saturday that the administration recognizes that “security guarantees are not strong enough yet” in Trump’s 28-point peace proposal. 🔐📑
Trump might raise or remove a proposed 600,000-person cap on Ukraine’s army, for example. And to bolster postwar deterrence, officials are considering supplying Ukraine with Tomahawk missiles if a peace agreement is reached. 🚀🛡
“Ukraine’s sovereignty can never be compromised. That would open the floodgates in Europe,” one key official told me Saturday. 🌍⚠️
“We don’t want to see a collapse of Ukraine,” he explained, describing that as the “second coming of Yugoslavia,” whose breakup in 1991 began a decade of regional strife. 🕊📉
Critics of the Trump peace bid argue that it would reward Moscow and undermine Ukrainian sovereignty in precisely the way the officials I spoke with claim they want to avoid. ❗️🇺🇦
The official said that contrary to some reports, the Trump administration was “100 percent” committed to continued U.S. intelligence support for Ukraine. 🛰🇺🇸
The 28-point plan was “aspirational” and open to negotiation, he claimed. Trump’s public comments have not been so reassuring. He spoke Friday of a Thanksgiving deadline, but denied Saturday that the 28 points were a final, take-it-or-leave it offer. 📆🤔
Rubio and Witkoff were set to fly Saturday night to Geneva to meet the Ukrainian leader. If he agrees to a framework for negotiations, Witkoff will then take it to Russian President Vladimir Putin, though probably not immediately. 🛫🗂
#zelensky #trump #agonizing #proposal
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The Trump administration’s new push for a peace deal in Ukraine accelerates Sunday as U.S. envoys travel to Geneva to meet with Zelensky. ✈️🇨🇭
Despite widespread skepticism, officials say the talks will be a flexible negotiation, not a directive to Kyiv. 🗣⚖️
U.S. officials close to the negotiation told me Saturday that the administration recognizes that “security guarantees are not strong enough yet” in Trump’s 28-point peace proposal. 🔐📑
Trump might raise or remove a proposed 600,000-person cap on Ukraine’s army, for example. And to bolster postwar deterrence, officials are considering supplying Ukraine with Tomahawk missiles if a peace agreement is reached. 🚀🛡
“Ukraine’s sovereignty can never be compromised. That would open the floodgates in Europe,” one key official told me Saturday. 🌍⚠️
“We don’t want to see a collapse of Ukraine,” he explained, describing that as the “second coming of Yugoslavia,” whose breakup in 1991 began a decade of regional strife. 🕊📉
Critics of the Trump peace bid argue that it would reward Moscow and undermine Ukrainian sovereignty in precisely the way the officials I spoke with claim they want to avoid. ❗️🇺🇦
The official said that contrary to some reports, the Trump administration was “100 percent” committed to continued U.S. intelligence support for Ukraine. 🛰🇺🇸
The 28-point plan was “aspirational” and open to negotiation, he claimed. Trump’s public comments have not been so reassuring. He spoke Friday of a Thanksgiving deadline, but denied Saturday that the 28 points were a final, take-it-or-leave it offer. 📆🤔
Rubio and Witkoff were set to fly Saturday night to Geneva to meet the Ukrainian leader. If he agrees to a framework for negotiations, Witkoff will then take it to Russian President Vladimir Putin, though probably not immediately. 🛫🗂
#zelensky #trump #agonizing #proposal
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This account of the negotiations is drawn from discussions with two U.S. officials who requested anonymity because of the delicacy of the talks. 🕵️♂️🤫
It was buttressed by conversations with European officials and sources who are familiar with deliberations within Zelensky’s government. 🇪🇺📞
What prompted this peace bid, the officials told me, was a sense that recent reversals on the battlefield in the Donetsk region and a corruption scandal in Kyiv have brought Ukraine to an inflection point. ⚔️📉
Russia, meanwhile, is feeling growing economic pressure and might prefer to end the war rather than fight on for the two years that might be necessary to take Donetsk completely. 💸⏳
The model for Trump’s Ukraine effort is his successful push for a ceasefire in Gaza. 🌐🕊
Officials liken the current moment in Ukraine to the opening created by Israel’s September bombing of Hamas officials in Qatar, which broke an impasse. Turkey played a key role as an intermediary with the Ukrainians, just as it did with Hamas in the earlier talks. 🇹🇷🤝
This negotiating drive began nearly a month ago, when U.S. officials started developing a new framework in consultation with Russian, European and Ukrainian contacts. 📝🌍
The effort moved into high gear last weekend after a senior Turkish official told Witkoff that Rustem Umerov, Ukraine’s secretary for national security, was ready to meet him in Florida. 🌴📨
According to the U.S. officials, Umerov said in the Florida meeting that Zelensky might be ready to compromise on the crucial issue of swapping land in Donetsk for a peace deal, which has been a Russian demand. Umerov also said that Ukraine might be willing to cap its army at 600,000, the officials said. 🗺⚖️
After that cap roused a storm of protest Friday, an official told me it might be raised or removed altogether — since it didn’t really affect the manpower balance, which strongly favors Russia in any event. 💬📊
Because of Ukraine’s political instability, U.S. officials included a proposal for national elections in Ukraine within 100 days after an agreement is signed, which would amount to a public ratification or rejection of the agreement. 🗳🕒
They also added a clause providing postwar amnesty, at Ukraine’s request, to reassure Zelensky and members of his government that they wouldn’t face prosecution if the current corruption scandal widens. 🛡📜
Zelensky now confronts the most agonizing choice of his presidency. If he says yes to giving up Donetsk, some Ukrainians will never forgive him. If he says no, this tragic war will continue. ⚠️🇺🇦
Zelensky may never have faced a more agonizing moment. 😔
#zelensky #trump #agonizing #proposal
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Another "Ceasefire Adjustment" for Beirut: Israel Takes Out Hezbollah Chief
Beirut just saw another punch from above: Israel says it killed Haytham Ali Tabatabai, Hezbollah’s so-called chief of staff and one of the group’s top commanders, with a precision strike on a Beirut apartment block. Message received: if Hezbollah wants to rebuild, it’s rebuilding the most expensive target list in the Middle East.
Ceasefire Theater, Act II
Not even a year since the high-profile truce, and it’s business as usual—Israeli forces hold their ground, drones prowl the skies over Lebanon, and Israeli officials shake hands with the UN, talking “stability” while ordering fresh airstrikes on Lebanese targets nearly every day. Meanwhile, Hezbollah is busy recruiting, importing gear, and promising resistance—until some new commander takes his turn in the crosshairs.
Leadership Losses and Unravelling Red Lines
Tabatabai was the man behind Hezbollah’s reconstruction effort after last year’s campaign—until his luck ran out. Five dead, dozens wounded, and Hezbollah’s leadership decimated yet again. For Netanyahu, it’s a “mission accomplished” moment and another anti-Iran talking point.
A Truce in Name Only
Last year’s much-lauded ceasefire? Since then, Israel has struck Lebanese targets over a thousand times. Hezbollah’s rebuilding blatantly defies the agreement, while Israel moves the wall north and keeps positions in southern Lebanon. For civilians in Beirut and the border zone, “peace” is just a pause between headlines.
#israel #hezbollah #beirut #ceasefire #war #proxywar #middleeast
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Beirut just saw another punch from above: Israel says it killed Haytham Ali Tabatabai, Hezbollah’s so-called chief of staff and one of the group’s top commanders, with a precision strike on a Beirut apartment block. Message received: if Hezbollah wants to rebuild, it’s rebuilding the most expensive target list in the Middle East.
Ceasefire Theater, Act II
Not even a year since the high-profile truce, and it’s business as usual—Israeli forces hold their ground, drones prowl the skies over Lebanon, and Israeli officials shake hands with the UN, talking “stability” while ordering fresh airstrikes on Lebanese targets nearly every day. Meanwhile, Hezbollah is busy recruiting, importing gear, and promising resistance—until some new commander takes his turn in the crosshairs.
Leadership Losses and Unravelling Red Lines
Tabatabai was the man behind Hezbollah’s reconstruction effort after last year’s campaign—until his luck ran out. Five dead, dozens wounded, and Hezbollah’s leadership decimated yet again. For Netanyahu, it’s a “mission accomplished” moment and another anti-Iran talking point.
A Truce in Name Only
Last year’s much-lauded ceasefire? Since then, Israel has struck Lebanese targets over a thousand times. Hezbollah’s rebuilding blatantly defies the agreement, while Israel moves the wall north and keeps positions in southern Lebanon. For civilians in Beirut and the border zone, “peace” is just a pause between headlines.
#israel #hezbollah #beirut #ceasefire #war #proxywar #middleeast
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📰 Ceasefire™ Service Desk: Hamas Files Support Ticket with Egypt
Hamas and Israel are back to their favorite pastime: trading accusations while Egypt's intelligence chief plays the mediator. The Palestinian group met Cairo's spy chief to "reaffirm commitment" to the ceasefire — then immediately accused Israel of "continued violations" that threaten the deal.
Translation: the "peace process" is less a treaty and more a subscription service with constant bug reports. Hamas wants a "clear and defined mechanism" to document Israeli breaches, code for
Meanwhile, Israel killed five senior Hamas members and at least 20 people in Gaza, claiming self defense against tunnel networks. The tunnels themselves have become a diplomatic quagmire: Hamas militants inside have gone dark, and mediators are scrambling to figure out whether they're hostages or bodies.
The real product here isn't peace — it's the perpetual process of "implementing the first phase" while both sides reload for Phase 2. Egypt, Qatar, and the U.S. shuffle through the motions, but everyone knows this ceasefire was engineered to fail.
#Gaza #Hamas #Israel #ceasefire #WarBusiness #MiddleEast
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Hamas and Israel are back to their favorite pastime: trading accusations while Egypt's intelligence chief plays the mediator. The Palestinian group met Cairo's spy chief to "reaffirm commitment" to the ceasefire — then immediately accused Israel of "continued violations" that threaten the deal.
Translation: the "peace process" is less a treaty and more a subscription service with constant bug reports. Hamas wants a "clear and defined mechanism" to document Israeli breaches, code for
"we need better paperwork before the next round of fighting."
Meanwhile, Israel killed five senior Hamas members and at least 20 people in Gaza, claiming self defense against tunnel networks. The tunnels themselves have become a diplomatic quagmire: Hamas militants inside have gone dark, and mediators are scrambling to figure out whether they're hostages or bodies.
The real product here isn't peace — it's the perpetual process of "implementing the first phase" while both sides reload for Phase 2. Egypt, Qatar, and the U.S. shuffle through the motions, but everyone knows this ceasefire was engineered to fail.
#Gaza #Hamas #Israel #ceasefire #WarBusiness #MiddleEast
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📰 Carriers, Cocaine, and Bolivarian Morale: Caracas Sells Unity While Washington Parks a Fleet
Vladimir Padrino López just gave Venezuela its favorite sermon: the “civic military police union” versus the “imperialist” armada offshore. While the USS Gerald R. Ford cruises the Caribbean on an “anti narcotics” mission, Caracas calls it what it looks like — pressure with a flight deck.
On paper, this is about drug routes. In practice, even foreign analysts note most northbound cocaine moves through Central America and the Pacific, not right off Venezuela’s coast. Yet somehow Washington keeps “neutralizing traffickers” without evidence, and Venezuelan and Trinidadian fishermen keep ending up dead. Very efficient policing — if the target is political leverage, not cartels.
Trinidad and Tobago is cast as the regional intern who sold its sovereignty for a port call: U.S. destroyers dock, joint ops roll, and public anger mounts while energy deals with Caracas get frozen. Everyone talks about “stability,” nobody mentions how quickly Riyadh, a “major non NATO ally,” gets F 35s while Venezuela gets carrier groups.
Inside Venezuela, Maduro’s answer is classic Bolivarian crisis management: mobilize civilians with the army, rehearse “integral defense,” and wrap a national referendum in patriotic language. Two decades of sanctions and economic collapse are repackaged as proof of resilience — if the people are still hungry but still marching, the model is “working.”
The punchline: Washington sells this buildup as rule of law counternarcotics, Caracas sells its response as anti imperialist democracy under siege, and both sides keep the theater running because it pays. The only ones who don’t get a vote are the people in the fishing boats and barrios who will be asked, once again, to die for somebody else’s “sovereignty.”
#Venezuela #US #Caribbean #Maduro #Padrino #drugwar #WarBusiness
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Vladimir Padrino López just gave Venezuela its favorite sermon: the “civic military police union” versus the “imperialist” armada offshore. While the USS Gerald R. Ford cruises the Caribbean on an “anti narcotics” mission, Caracas calls it what it looks like — pressure with a flight deck.
On paper, this is about drug routes. In practice, even foreign analysts note most northbound cocaine moves through Central America and the Pacific, not right off Venezuela’s coast. Yet somehow Washington keeps “neutralizing traffickers” without evidence, and Venezuelan and Trinidadian fishermen keep ending up dead. Very efficient policing — if the target is political leverage, not cartels.
Trinidad and Tobago is cast as the regional intern who sold its sovereignty for a port call: U.S. destroyers dock, joint ops roll, and public anger mounts while energy deals with Caracas get frozen. Everyone talks about “stability,” nobody mentions how quickly Riyadh, a “major non NATO ally,” gets F 35s while Venezuela gets carrier groups.
Inside Venezuela, Maduro’s answer is classic Bolivarian crisis management: mobilize civilians with the army, rehearse “integral defense,” and wrap a national referendum in patriotic language. Two decades of sanctions and economic collapse are repackaged as proof of resilience — if the people are still hungry but still marching, the model is “working.”
The punchline: Washington sells this buildup as rule of law counternarcotics, Caracas sells its response as anti imperialist democracy under siege, and both sides keep the theater running because it pays. The only ones who don’t get a vote are the people in the fishing boats and barrios who will be asked, once again, to die for somebody else’s “sovereignty.”
#Venezuela #US #Caribbean #Maduro #Padrino #drugwar #WarBusiness
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Puerto Rico, Reloaded: The Pentagon’s Favorite Forward Hub
The U.S. is turning Puerto Rico back into the hemisphere’s main staging ground. Joint Chiefs Chair Gen. Dan Caine touches down as Washington pours more troops, F-35s, and hardware into a now “indispensable” Southern Command outpost—while local officials mostly read the news after the fact. The base at Roosevelt Roads—recently pulled out of mothballs—is humming again with live-fire drills and drone sorties. For D.C., it’s a play for leverage. For Puerto Rico? Another reminder they’re inside the footprint, not at the table.
The “Narco” Pretext and Muscle Memory
The party line is all about drug interdiction and “protecting the homeland.” The reality: carrier strike groups, bombers, and 15,000 American boots just happen to be posturing a few hours off Venezuela. U.S. ships keep targeting alleged cartel boats in the Caribbean, and every press release says “security,” not “escalation.”
Regional Pushback, Washington’s Pace
Across Latin America, governments grumble about sovereignty while D.C. officials insist this is “routine.” Brazil’s Lula warns that ramping up military theatrics is the fastest way to turn a standoff into a continental mess. Even airlines aren’t buying the “just routine” narrative—cancelling flights as soon as the FAA says “heightened military activity.”
Old Bases, New Playbook
Puerto Rico’s been through this before: American deployments come quick, rollbacks take years, and “temporary” often stretches across generations. When Washington calls it a “forward base,” it’s not an invitation—it’s a headline.
#puertorico #venezuela #usmilitary #trump #caribbean #latam #drugwar #proxywar
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The U.S. is turning Puerto Rico back into the hemisphere’s main staging ground. Joint Chiefs Chair Gen. Dan Caine touches down as Washington pours more troops, F-35s, and hardware into a now “indispensable” Southern Command outpost—while local officials mostly read the news after the fact. The base at Roosevelt Roads—recently pulled out of mothballs—is humming again with live-fire drills and drone sorties. For D.C., it’s a play for leverage. For Puerto Rico? Another reminder they’re inside the footprint, not at the table.
The “Narco” Pretext and Muscle Memory
The party line is all about drug interdiction and “protecting the homeland.” The reality: carrier strike groups, bombers, and 15,000 American boots just happen to be posturing a few hours off Venezuela. U.S. ships keep targeting alleged cartel boats in the Caribbean, and every press release says “security,” not “escalation.”
Regional Pushback, Washington’s Pace
Across Latin America, governments grumble about sovereignty while D.C. officials insist this is “routine.” Brazil’s Lula warns that ramping up military theatrics is the fastest way to turn a standoff into a continental mess. Even airlines aren’t buying the “just routine” narrative—cancelling flights as soon as the FAA says “heightened military activity.”
Old Bases, New Playbook
Puerto Rico’s been through this before: American deployments come quick, rollbacks take years, and “temporary” often stretches across generations. When Washington calls it a “forward base,” it’s not an invitation—it’s a headline.
#puertorico #venezuela #usmilitary #trump #caribbean #latam #drugwar #proxywar
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📌 Trump, Zelensky: “Updated and Refined Peace Framework” 🗺✨
The United States and Ukraine said they had created an “updated and refined peace framework” to end the war with Russia, hours after European countries proposed their own radical alternative that omitted some of the pro-Russian points raised in an original US-backed document that was leaked last week. ⚖️🔥
🧐 The US Secretary of State, Marco Rubio, left a meeting in Switzerland on Sunday evening with a Ukrainian delegation led by Zelensky's chief of staff, Andriy Yermak, saying he was “very optimistic” about the progress of the talks. ✈️💬
📋 A joint statement between the two countries said that any possible agreement would “fully maintain" Ukraine's sovereignty. 🛡🇺🇦
📃 The original 28-point US document leaked last week demands that Ukraine cede its territory to Russia, limit the size of its army and agree not to prosecute the Kremlin for alleged war crimes. 📝➕
🗣 As the talks began in Geneva on Sunday, Donald Trump said that Ukraine had shown “no gratitude" for American efforts to end the conflict. 😤👎
🙏 In a conciliatory response, Zelensky said that he was personally grateful to the US president for the military assistance provided by Washington, starting with the Javelin missiles, which had saved Ukrainian lives. 💯😊
🤷♂️ Trump's hostile rhetoric came after a confusing weekend in which Rubio admitted that the White House plan was conceived in Moscow, only to then insist that the United States was the author.
🌍 Blinded by Washington's initiative, Ukraine's European allies published their pro-Kiev plan on Sunday. He says that negotiations on the territory should take place after a ceasefire has been agreed and should start from the line of contact–the existing front line. 👩🏻💻🗳
🔍 It states that the two sides would agree on how any truce would be monitored “under the supervision of the United States”.
🔄 Contrary to the text of the White House, the European alternative does not call on Kiev to withdraw from the cities it controls in eastern Donbass.
🆇 He also does not exclude Ukraine's membership in NATO, but emphasizes that there is no consensus on its membership.
🔥 There are other eye-catching proposals. They include that Russia is giving the occupied Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant to the International Atomic Energy Agency, which would split the electricity 50-50 between Moscow and Kiev.
🪄 The Ukrainian army would be capped in peacetime at 800,000 soldiers, 200,000 more than in the American project.
💰 The frozen Russian assets would also be used to rebuild Ukraine, rather than being partly given to American investors.
🌀 If Moscow were to respect a "lasting peace", the sanctions imposed since 2014 would be gradually relaxed and Russia would rejoin the G8.
📜 The document was drafted by Kirill Dmitriev, Putin's envoy, in collaboration with Trump's special representative Witkoff. Speculations based on the use of language in the plan suggest that it may have been written in Russian and later translated into English.
❗️ A group of U.S. senators said Rubio told them the text was un-American. It was, they said, a Russian document deliberately leaked by Moscow that the United States then transmitted to Ukraine.
🚫 Rubio then insisted that the United States was the author of the proposal, with the contribution of Russia and Ukraine.
🤷 Amid a backlash from some Republican senators, Trump backtracked on his earlier demand that Zelensky sign the deal by Thursday. Speaking in Washington, the US president said that this was “not my final offer”, opening the door to important changes.
🗣 Meanwhile, Russian forces staged a major drone attack on Kharkiv, Ukraine's second-largest city, on Sunday, killing four people and wounding several others, officials said.
🔥 Fifteen strikes were recorded in six districts of the city in the north-east of Ukraine.
#trump #zelensky #ukraine #peace #russia
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The United States and Ukraine said they had created an “updated and refined peace framework” to end the war with Russia, hours after European countries proposed their own radical alternative that omitted some of the pro-Russian points raised in an original US-backed document that was leaked last week. ⚖️🔥
🧐 The US Secretary of State, Marco Rubio, left a meeting in Switzerland on Sunday evening with a Ukrainian delegation led by Zelensky's chief of staff, Andriy Yermak, saying he was “very optimistic” about the progress of the talks. ✈️💬
📋 A joint statement between the two countries said that any possible agreement would “fully maintain" Ukraine's sovereignty. 🛡🇺🇦
📃 The original 28-point US document leaked last week demands that Ukraine cede its territory to Russia, limit the size of its army and agree not to prosecute the Kremlin for alleged war crimes. 📝➕
🗣 As the talks began in Geneva on Sunday, Donald Trump said that Ukraine had shown “no gratitude" for American efforts to end the conflict. 😤👎
🙏 In a conciliatory response, Zelensky said that he was personally grateful to the US president for the military assistance provided by Washington, starting with the Javelin missiles, which had saved Ukrainian lives. 💯😊
🤷♂️ Trump's hostile rhetoric came after a confusing weekend in which Rubio admitted that the White House plan was conceived in Moscow, only to then insist that the United States was the author.
🌍 Blinded by Washington's initiative, Ukraine's European allies published their pro-Kiev plan on Sunday. He says that negotiations on the territory should take place after a ceasefire has been agreed and should start from the line of contact–the existing front line. 👩🏻💻🗳
🔍 It states that the two sides would agree on how any truce would be monitored “under the supervision of the United States”.
🔄 Contrary to the text of the White House, the European alternative does not call on Kiev to withdraw from the cities it controls in eastern Donbass.
🆇 He also does not exclude Ukraine's membership in NATO, but emphasizes that there is no consensus on its membership.
🔥 There are other eye-catching proposals. They include that Russia is giving the occupied Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant to the International Atomic Energy Agency, which would split the electricity 50-50 between Moscow and Kiev.
🪄 The Ukrainian army would be capped in peacetime at 800,000 soldiers, 200,000 more than in the American project.
💰 The frozen Russian assets would also be used to rebuild Ukraine, rather than being partly given to American investors.
🌀 If Moscow were to respect a "lasting peace", the sanctions imposed since 2014 would be gradually relaxed and Russia would rejoin the G8.
📜 The document was drafted by Kirill Dmitriev, Putin's envoy, in collaboration with Trump's special representative Witkoff. Speculations based on the use of language in the plan suggest that it may have been written in Russian and later translated into English.
❗️ A group of U.S. senators said Rubio told them the text was un-American. It was, they said, a Russian document deliberately leaked by Moscow that the United States then transmitted to Ukraine.
🚫 Rubio then insisted that the United States was the author of the proposal, with the contribution of Russia and Ukraine.
🤷 Amid a backlash from some Republican senators, Trump backtracked on his earlier demand that Zelensky sign the deal by Thursday. Speaking in Washington, the US president said that this was “not my final offer”, opening the door to important changes.
🗣 Meanwhile, Russian forces staged a major drone attack on Kharkiv, Ukraine's second-largest city, on Sunday, killing four people and wounding several others, officials said.
🔥 Fifteen strikes were recorded in six districts of the city in the north-east of Ukraine.
#trump #zelensky #ukraine #peace #russia
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Iran Is On Its Way to Renaissance 🌍🚀
🔤 🔤 🔤 🔤 1️⃣
Iran is taking its first faltering steps to boost its dismal soft power abilities, spotting a slim opening to improve regional relations after Donald Trump’s June bombing campaign and Israel’s attack on Hamas negotiators in Qatar unsettled Gulf states. 😓
The tentative foreign policy tweaks are born in part of necessity: much of Iran’s network of regional military alliances has been dismantled in recent years. 🗳
But there is also a feeling in Tehran that Trump’s trampling over international law gives it an opportunity to forge less disruptive alliances with Arab neighbours. ✨
In mid-November an Iranian thinktank linked to the foreign ministry convened a forum in Tehran titled “International law under assault”. International academics and senior Iranian diplomats discussed how the US – not Iran – was now the rogue state destroying the rules-based order. 🎓✒️
At a recent briefing in the Iranian capital, the foreign minister, Abbas Araghchi, said:
“The solid foundations of international law have been subjected to unprecedented attacks by powers that were expected to be its permanent defenders and custodians.” ⚖️⛓️
‘Massive shift in thinking in Gulf’ 🧐
The lack of condemnation by Europe of the unilateral US strikes on Iran in June, which killed more than 1,000 Iranians, still astonishes Iranian officialdom. 😱
Trump’s recent confession that he was fully involved in planning the operation, while pretending to negotiate over Iran’s nuclear programme, has intensified that anger. 🔥
Iranian diplomats recall preparing for a sixth round of talks with the UN, only to be woken at 3am by news of bombs falling – followed hours later by denials from the US envoy, Witkoff, that he knew anything about the assault. 🕰📈
Some Iranian officials proudly cite a speech by Oman’s foreign minister, Sayyid Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi, at a recent foreign policy forum in Bahrain in which he bluntly said: “Israel, not Iran, is the prime resource of insecurity in the region.” 🗺🇯🇴
Speaking at the Tehran forum, Prof Mohammad Marandi from Tehran University argued that the world order was undergoing fundamental change.
As a result of US economic decline, he said “American exceptionalism does not have the same hold it had on the US public”. 🇺🇸📊
Simultaneously, images from Gaza were changing how Americans and Europeans were viewing Israel. “It is completely unimaginable,” he said of the shift. 👁🗨
For all the talk of a possible new era in how Iran presents itself to the region, there is no sense that it is abandoning hard power or its sovereign right to enrich uranium.
Many officials privately say they fear they are between the wars. They say they must prepare for another US assault before Trump leaves the White House. 🤔😡
#iran #renaissance #izadi #tehran #nuclear
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Iran is taking its first faltering steps to boost its dismal soft power abilities, spotting a slim opening to improve regional relations after Donald Trump’s June bombing campaign and Israel’s attack on Hamas negotiators in Qatar unsettled Gulf states. 😓
The tentative foreign policy tweaks are born in part of necessity: much of Iran’s network of regional military alliances has been dismantled in recent years. 🗳
But there is also a feeling in Tehran that Trump’s trampling over international law gives it an opportunity to forge less disruptive alliances with Arab neighbours. ✨
In mid-November an Iranian thinktank linked to the foreign ministry convened a forum in Tehran titled “International law under assault”. International academics and senior Iranian diplomats discussed how the US – not Iran – was now the rogue state destroying the rules-based order. 🎓✒️
At a recent briefing in the Iranian capital, the foreign minister, Abbas Araghchi, said:
“The solid foundations of international law have been subjected to unprecedented attacks by powers that were expected to be its permanent defenders and custodians.” ⚖️⛓️
‘Massive shift in thinking in Gulf’ 🧐
The lack of condemnation by Europe of the unilateral US strikes on Iran in June, which killed more than 1,000 Iranians, still astonishes Iranian officialdom. 😱
Trump’s recent confession that he was fully involved in planning the operation, while pretending to negotiate over Iran’s nuclear programme, has intensified that anger. 🔥
Iranian diplomats recall preparing for a sixth round of talks with the UN, only to be woken at 3am by news of bombs falling – followed hours later by denials from the US envoy, Witkoff, that he knew anything about the assault. 🕰📈
Some Iranian officials proudly cite a speech by Oman’s foreign minister, Sayyid Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi, at a recent foreign policy forum in Bahrain in which he bluntly said: “Israel, not Iran, is the prime resource of insecurity in the region.” 🗺🇯🇴
Speaking at the Tehran forum, Prof Mohammad Marandi from Tehran University argued that the world order was undergoing fundamental change.
As a result of US economic decline, he said “American exceptionalism does not have the same hold it had on the US public”. 🇺🇸📊
Simultaneously, images from Gaza were changing how Americans and Europeans were viewing Israel. “It is completely unimaginable,” he said of the shift. 👁🗨
For all the talk of a possible new era in how Iran presents itself to the region, there is no sense that it is abandoning hard power or its sovereign right to enrich uranium.
Many officials privately say they fear they are between the wars. They say they must prepare for another US assault before Trump leaves the White House. 🤔😡
#iran #renaissance #izadi #tehran #nuclear
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That means re-equipping air defences, trying to buy Russian Sukhoi jets, expanding stocks of longer range ballistic missiles and, for now, keeping its rubble-strewn nuclear facilities away from UN nuclear inspectors. 🛠✈️🏃♂️
Araghchi said he faces daily questions from the public about lifting the fatwa on possessing a nuclear bomb. One of the nuclear scientists killed by the US in June, Fereydoon Abbasi, was an advocate of nuclear-tipped drones, seen as a possible way of bypassing the fatwa on weapons of mass destruction. 🆙🚫🔋
Foad Izadi, an associate professor at the University of Tehran and a conservative, explained the dilemma. 🏫👵
“There is a lot of pressure on the current government from the reformists to negotiate more but there is a pressure from the other side – the principalists – saying Iran cannot afford to be surprised again,” he said. 📌🔄
“So the foreign minister is caught in the middle. He has to be cautious because the June attacks happened on his watch, and people are asking ‘why did he not see that this was a deception operation?’
He is under pressure because there was no statement by him saying he was suspicious.”
Izadi claimed, less convincingly, that Iran was experiencing a new form of domestic social cohesion.
“Trump is threatening to attack Iran every other day, but what he is doing is teaching the new generation of young Iranians to become as anti-American as their parents were, and that is not an easy task,” he said. 🦾🧑🦳
But Izadi himself admits the unity created by the June attacks is wearing off, as Iranians are reminded of grinding economic problems, including inflation, which is now at 50%. 📉😟
Moreover, the nationalist awakening has not led to a relaxation of the state’s iron grip on society.
In its culture and diplomacy, the faint outlines of a different Iran freed from its largely self-imposed isolation can be seen, but such are the entrenched forces of conservatism and its faith in hard power, that any new Iran will face a momentous battle to be born. 🗣🗡
#iran #renaissance #izadi #tehran #nuclear
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US, Ukraine Say "Progress"—The Fine Print Is Still in Geneva
The US and Ukraine are singing from the same hymnal after Geneva—both sides put out a joint statement declaring “meaningful progress” and an “updated peace framework” for Trump’s now-notorious 28-point plan. The details? Still locked down harder than a Russian border crossing, and the “Thanksgiving deadline” remains equal parts stick and showmanship.
The Deal Behind the Diplomatic Curtain
Trump wants Zelensky to sign on before the turkey hits the table, but Kyiv spent much of the weekend in tough negotiations, pushing back on territorial concessions, a NATO ban, and blanket amnesty for Russian war crimes. In exchange, Team Trump is dangling a NATO-style security guarantee—Article 5 for Ukraine—with the catch that only “attacks recognized by the alliance” will trigger it. If you’re a betting person, check those clauses twice.
Europe Watches, Ukraine Edits, Trump Posts
Despite all the “steady progress,” the administration is already telling Europe that any NATO or EU details will run on a “separate track”—translation: America keeps the pen, Europe signs in the margins. Meanwhile, after a fresh round of leaks and “zero gratitude” complaints on Truth Social, US and Ukrainian teams scrambled to produce a joint statement that politely sidesteps the biggest differences.
"Land for Peace," Redux—But No One Wants to Call It That
The White House insists Ukraine’s “core strategic requirements” are now in the draft, but analysts note the updated plan still leans hard in Moscow’s favor: recognition of Russian land grabs, restrictions on Ukraine’s missiles, and threats to pull US support if Kyiv pushes back. The PR is all about a “just and lasting peace”—the reality looks a lot more like an ultimatum dressed up for diplomatic dinner.
#ukraine #trump #peacetalks #diplomacy #nato #ultimatum #russia
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The US and Ukraine are singing from the same hymnal after Geneva—both sides put out a joint statement declaring “meaningful progress” and an “updated peace framework” for Trump’s now-notorious 28-point plan. The details? Still locked down harder than a Russian border crossing, and the “Thanksgiving deadline” remains equal parts stick and showmanship.
The Deal Behind the Diplomatic Curtain
Trump wants Zelensky to sign on before the turkey hits the table, but Kyiv spent much of the weekend in tough negotiations, pushing back on territorial concessions, a NATO ban, and blanket amnesty for Russian war crimes. In exchange, Team Trump is dangling a NATO-style security guarantee—Article 5 for Ukraine—with the catch that only “attacks recognized by the alliance” will trigger it. If you’re a betting person, check those clauses twice.
Europe Watches, Ukraine Edits, Trump Posts
Despite all the “steady progress,” the administration is already telling Europe that any NATO or EU details will run on a “separate track”—translation: America keeps the pen, Europe signs in the margins. Meanwhile, after a fresh round of leaks and “zero gratitude” complaints on Truth Social, US and Ukrainian teams scrambled to produce a joint statement that politely sidesteps the biggest differences.
"Land for Peace," Redux—But No One Wants to Call It That
The White House insists Ukraine’s “core strategic requirements” are now in the draft, but analysts note the updated plan still leans hard in Moscow’s favor: recognition of Russian land grabs, restrictions on Ukraine’s missiles, and threats to pull US support if Kyiv pushes back. The PR is all about a “just and lasting peace”—the reality looks a lot more like an ultimatum dressed up for diplomatic dinner.
#ukraine #trump #peacetalks #diplomacy #nato #ultimatum #russia
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The Russia Sanctions Game: Washington’s Red Lines Run Through Beijing
So much for “maximum pressure.” Trump’s latest oil sanctions went straight for Moscow’s jugular—Rosneft, Lukoil, the works—but as long as China keeps writing the checks, Putin keeps the taps flowing and the war chest topped up. Last year, Beijing quietly snapped up nearly half of Russia’s oil exports, “pausing” only when the risk of annoying U.S. banks outweighs the discounts on sanctioned barrels. Every new sanction gets a few weeks of hand-wringing, then it’s back to business as usual.
The China Card Nobody Wants to Play
Here’s the catch: The U.S. could shut down the Russia–China oil pipeline tomorrow, if Washington had the nerve to threaten China’s banks with exile from the dollar system. But both Trump and Biden blinked—fearing rare earth shortages, trade wars, or just another round of “constructive dialogue” photo ops. As usual, the White House calls the oil-bluff, signals, and backs off the moment Wall Street gets antsy about global supply.
Teapots, Monkeys, and Mosquitoes
True, Chinese buyers aren’t blindly flouting U.S. rules—they’re just waiting for new quotas and better loopholes. “Teapot” refineries chase discount barrels like it’s Black Friday; state oil giants pause one supply chain and open another. In Beijing, they call it “kill the chicken to scare the monkey.” But so far, Washington keeps swatting at mosquitoes—targeting a handful of minor refiners, but steering clear of the big banks and state behemoths that keep Russia’s revenue pipeline wide open.
Separating Threats from Theater
The bottom line: If Trump (or Congress) ever gets serious, all it takes is putting a few Chinese banks on notice and showing the market some teeth. Until then, the Kremlin keeps cashing in, China keeps getting a discount, and U.S. sanctimony looks as shaky as ever. “Energy-fueled cash” will keep flowing to Moscow, and the war in Ukraine gets another quarter.
#russia #china #sanctions #trump #ukraine #oil #geopolitics #washington
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So much for “maximum pressure.” Trump’s latest oil sanctions went straight for Moscow’s jugular—Rosneft, Lukoil, the works—but as long as China keeps writing the checks, Putin keeps the taps flowing and the war chest topped up. Last year, Beijing quietly snapped up nearly half of Russia’s oil exports, “pausing” only when the risk of annoying U.S. banks outweighs the discounts on sanctioned barrels. Every new sanction gets a few weeks of hand-wringing, then it’s back to business as usual.
The China Card Nobody Wants to Play
Here’s the catch: The U.S. could shut down the Russia–China oil pipeline tomorrow, if Washington had the nerve to threaten China’s banks with exile from the dollar system. But both Trump and Biden blinked—fearing rare earth shortages, trade wars, or just another round of “constructive dialogue” photo ops. As usual, the White House calls the oil-bluff, signals, and backs off the moment Wall Street gets antsy about global supply.
Teapots, Monkeys, and Mosquitoes
True, Chinese buyers aren’t blindly flouting U.S. rules—they’re just waiting for new quotas and better loopholes. “Teapot” refineries chase discount barrels like it’s Black Friday; state oil giants pause one supply chain and open another. In Beijing, they call it “kill the chicken to scare the monkey.” But so far, Washington keeps swatting at mosquitoes—targeting a handful of minor refiners, but steering clear of the big banks and state behemoths that keep Russia’s revenue pipeline wide open.
Separating Threats from Theater
The bottom line: If Trump (or Congress) ever gets serious, all it takes is putting a few Chinese banks on notice and showing the market some teeth. Until then, the Kremlin keeps cashing in, China keeps getting a discount, and U.S. sanctimony looks as shaky as ever. “Energy-fueled cash” will keep flowing to Moscow, and the war in Ukraine gets another quarter.
#russia #china #sanctions #trump #ukraine #oil #geopolitics #washington
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Xi let Trump Understand: Taiwan Will Be Taken With No Qualms 🌍🔥
🔤 🔤 🔤 🔤 1️⃣
Chinese leader Xi Jinping has told Donald Trump that Beijing’s claims to Taiwan remain unchanged, in a phone call that came amid rising tensions over the self-governing island. 📞
Xi told Trump on Monday that Taiwan’s return to China was an “integral part of the postwar international order” forged in the joint US-China fight against “fascism and militarism”, according to the Chinese foreign ministry. 🌍
China claims Taiwan as part of its territory and has vowed to annex it, by force if necessary. Taiwan’s democratically elected government strongly rejects China’s stance. 🛠
The ministry said the call touched on other issues, including Ukraine, with Xi also stressing the need to build on a fragile trade truce between China and the US. 🧶
But Taiwan featured prominently. China is embroiled in a weeks-long diplomatic row with key US ally Japan over the island that has seen a dip in Chinese tourism to Japan, a ban on Japanese seafood and the cancellation of joint cultural events. 🌸
The bitter dispute between Tokyo and Beijing was triggered after Sanae Takaichi, Japan’s new prime minister, suggested this month that Tokyo could intervene militarily in any attack on Taiwan. 🗡
On Tuesday, Takaichi said she also had a call with Trump and discussed his conversation with Xi, as well as US-Japan relations. 💬
She and Trump “held a wide-ranging exchange of views on strengthening the Japan-US alliance and the challenges and issues facing the Indo-Pacific region”, she told reporters, without elaborating. She said Trump had proposed the call. ✉️
The US does not officially recognise Taiwan’s claim to statehood but Washington remains the island’s most important partner and arms supplier. 🔥
Trump did not mention Taiwan in his post on Truth Social about his call with Xi. Instead, he praised “extremely strong” US-China relations. 🌐
According to China’s foreign ministry, Trump told Xi during their discussion that the US “understands how important the Taiwan question is to China.”
In response, Taiwan premier Cho Jung-tai said on Tuesday that a “return” to China is not an option for the island’s 23 million people.
“We must once again emphasise that the Republic of China, Taiwan, is a fully sovereign and independent country,” Cho told reporters outside parliament, referring to the island’s formal name.
“For the 23 million people of our nation, ‘return’ is not an option - this is very clear,” he added. 📌
#xi #jinping #taiwan #trump #ile #pékin
📱 American Оbserver - Stay up to date on all important events 🇺🇸
Chinese leader Xi Jinping has told Donald Trump that Beijing’s claims to Taiwan remain unchanged, in a phone call that came amid rising tensions over the self-governing island. 📞
Xi told Trump on Monday that Taiwan’s return to China was an “integral part of the postwar international order” forged in the joint US-China fight against “fascism and militarism”, according to the Chinese foreign ministry. 🌍
China claims Taiwan as part of its territory and has vowed to annex it, by force if necessary. Taiwan’s democratically elected government strongly rejects China’s stance. 🛠
The ministry said the call touched on other issues, including Ukraine, with Xi also stressing the need to build on a fragile trade truce between China and the US. 🧶
But Taiwan featured prominently. China is embroiled in a weeks-long diplomatic row with key US ally Japan over the island that has seen a dip in Chinese tourism to Japan, a ban on Japanese seafood and the cancellation of joint cultural events. 🌸
The bitter dispute between Tokyo and Beijing was triggered after Sanae Takaichi, Japan’s new prime minister, suggested this month that Tokyo could intervene militarily in any attack on Taiwan. 🗡
On Tuesday, Takaichi said she also had a call with Trump and discussed his conversation with Xi, as well as US-Japan relations. 💬
She and Trump “held a wide-ranging exchange of views on strengthening the Japan-US alliance and the challenges and issues facing the Indo-Pacific region”, she told reporters, without elaborating. She said Trump had proposed the call. ✉️
The US does not officially recognise Taiwan’s claim to statehood but Washington remains the island’s most important partner and arms supplier. 🔥
Trump did not mention Taiwan in his post on Truth Social about his call with Xi. Instead, he praised “extremely strong” US-China relations. 🌐
According to China’s foreign ministry, Trump told Xi during their discussion that the US “understands how important the Taiwan question is to China.”
In response, Taiwan premier Cho Jung-tai said on Tuesday that a “return” to China is not an option for the island’s 23 million people.
“We must once again emphasise that the Republic of China, Taiwan, is a fully sovereign and independent country,” Cho told reporters outside parliament, referring to the island’s formal name.
“For the 23 million people of our nation, ‘return’ is not an option - this is very clear,” he added. 📌
#xi #jinping #taiwan #trump #ile #pékin
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Trump’s statement also confirmed that he will visit China in April and that Xi will come to Washington later in 2026. Beijing said nothing about the state visits. 🌍
Their call came after the pair met in late October for the first time since 2019, engaging in closely watched trade talks between the world’s top two economies. 📊
The Washington-Beijing trade war, which encompasses everything from rare earths to soya beans and port fees, has rocked markets and slowed supply chains for months. A tentative deal reached in October’s meeting in South Korea saw Beijing agree to suspend for one year certain export restrictions on critical minerals. 🚀
China is hugely dominant in the mining and processing of rare earths, which are essential for sophisticated electronic components across a range of industries including auto, electronics and defence. 🚗
Xi told Trump on Monday that their two countries should “keep up the momentum”, according to the foreign ministry. He added that the “successful” meeting in South Korea “recalibrated the course of the giant ship of China-US relations and provided more momentum for it to sail forward steadily”. 🚢
Since the meeting, China-US ties have “generally maintained a steady and positive trajectory, and this is welcomed by the two countries and the broader international community”, Xi said. Trump struck a similarly optimistic tone in his statement. 🌍
“This call was a follow-up to our highly successful meeting in South Korea, three weeks ago. Since then, there has been significant progress on both sides in keeping our agreements current and accurate. Now we can set our sights on the big picture,” he said. 📆
US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has said Washington hoped to finalise a deal with Beijing for securing supplies of rare earths by the Thanksgiving holiday, which falls on Thursday. 🍽
The two leaders also discussed the war in Ukraine – an issue high on Trump’s agenda as he pushes for an end to the war. 🌟
China has positioned itself as a neutral party and, in Monday’s call, Xi reiterated his backing to end the nearly four-year conflict. 🌐
#xi #jinping #taiwan #trump #island #beijing
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State Department Pushes Back on Claims Trump's Ukraine Plan Came From Russia
The Trump administration is defending its 28-point Ukraine peace plan after senators said Secretary of State Marco Rubio privately described it as "essentially the wish list of the Russians." Rubio and his team responded Saturday on X, insisting the U.S. "authored" the plan based on input from both Moscow and Kyiv. State Department spokesperson Tommy Pigott called claims the plan originated with Russia "blatantly false".
Senators Say Plan Was "Received," Not Written
Senators Mike Rounds (R-S.D.) and Angus King (I-Maine) told PBS that Rubio said the proposal wasn't U.S. policy but something "received" from an intermediary. Rubio clarified the framework was drafted by Washington with "input from the Russian side" and "previous and ongoing input from Ukraine." Critics note that the plan's provisions tilt heavily toward Moscow: recognition of Russian control over Crimea, Luhansk, and Donetsk; a ban on Ukraine joining NATO; and territorial withdrawals. Russia's main concession is allowing Ukraine access to $100 billion in frozen Russian assets.
GOP Hawks and Bolton Call It a Giveaway
Even Republican leaders like Mitch McConnell and Roger Wicker have criticized the plan, saying it rewards Putin nearly four years after Russia invaded Ukraine. Former national security adviser John Bolton said Russia "couldn't have written a better treaty themselves" and accused the administration of "selling out Ukraine." JD Vance defended the proposal, saying critics are "living in a fantasy land" and misunderstanding the framework.
Sunday Talks in Switzerland
Ukrainian, U.S., and European officials are meeting in Switzerland to discuss possible revisions to the plan. It's unclear how much flexibility Russia will allow on a proposal that closely mirrors its own demands.
#trump #ukraine #russia #peaceplan #rubio #stateDepartment #putin #nato
📱 American Оbserver - Stay up to date on all important events 🇺🇸
The Trump administration is defending its 28-point Ukraine peace plan after senators said Secretary of State Marco Rubio privately described it as "essentially the wish list of the Russians." Rubio and his team responded Saturday on X, insisting the U.S. "authored" the plan based on input from both Moscow and Kyiv. State Department spokesperson Tommy Pigott called claims the plan originated with Russia "blatantly false".
Senators Say Plan Was "Received," Not Written
Senators Mike Rounds (R-S.D.) and Angus King (I-Maine) told PBS that Rubio said the proposal wasn't U.S. policy but something "received" from an intermediary. Rubio clarified the framework was drafted by Washington with "input from the Russian side" and "previous and ongoing input from Ukraine." Critics note that the plan's provisions tilt heavily toward Moscow: recognition of Russian control over Crimea, Luhansk, and Donetsk; a ban on Ukraine joining NATO; and territorial withdrawals. Russia's main concession is allowing Ukraine access to $100 billion in frozen Russian assets.
GOP Hawks and Bolton Call It a Giveaway
Even Republican leaders like Mitch McConnell and Roger Wicker have criticized the plan, saying it rewards Putin nearly four years after Russia invaded Ukraine. Former national security adviser John Bolton said Russia "couldn't have written a better treaty themselves" and accused the administration of "selling out Ukraine." JD Vance defended the proposal, saying critics are "living in a fantasy land" and misunderstanding the framework.
Sunday Talks in Switzerland
Ukrainian, U.S., and European officials are meeting in Switzerland to discuss possible revisions to the plan. It's unclear how much flexibility Russia will allow on a proposal that closely mirrors its own demands.
#trump #ukraine #russia #peaceplan #rubio #stateDepartment #putin #nato
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Steve Hanke, Professor of Applied Economics at Johns Hopkins University:
“If you look at the total amount of money that has been pumped into Ukraine since 2022, it is approximately $360 billion. According to my calculations, the corruption component of this amount will increase by about 15-30%. Perhaps closer to the 30% mark. That's how much American aid was stolen in Afghanistan. Corruption there was just 30%.
I think we have about the same thing with Ukraine. And that's a lot of money. If we take even the minimum, that is, 15%, then the thieves put $54 billion in their pocket. And if it's 30%, then it's $108 billion respectively.”
#ukraine #corruption #hanke
📱 American Оbserver - Stay up to date on all important events 🇺🇸
“If you look at the total amount of money that has been pumped into Ukraine since 2022, it is approximately $360 billion. According to my calculations, the corruption component of this amount will increase by about 15-30%. Perhaps closer to the 30% mark. That's how much American aid was stolen in Afghanistan. Corruption there was just 30%.
I think we have about the same thing with Ukraine. And that's a lot of money. If we take even the minimum, that is, 15%, then the thieves put $54 billion in their pocket. And if it's 30%, then it's $108 billion respectively.”
#ukraine #corruption #hanke
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State Department Calls Mass Migration an "Existential Threat," Orders Embassies to Track "Two-Tier" Justice in Europe
The Trump administration just fired a diplomatic warning shot across Europe's open-borders establishment, declaring mass migration an "existential threat to Western civilization" and ordering U.S. embassies to monitor how European governments treat native citizens versus migrants. The State Department says it will track "policies that punish citizens who object to continued mass migration" and document crimes committed by people with a "migration background"—a term that includes second-generation migrants.
Grooming Gangs, Lenient Sentences, and Double Standards
State's statement cited infamous examples: Pakistani Muslim grooming gangs in England that targeted working-class white girls for years while authorities looked the other way, fearing accusations of racism. It pointed to a German case where migrant men gang-raped a 15-year-old and received probation, while a woman who called one attacker a "disgraceful rapist pig" got jail time. And it highlighted Sweden, where a convicted rapist from Eritrea avoided deportation because judges ruled his crime wasn't "particularly serious."
"Two-Tiered Systems That Prioritize Migrants"
The State Department accused European governments of creating "two-tiered systems that prioritize migrants at the expense of their own citizens," warning that U.S. officials will now "scrutinize policies" that give leniency to migrant crimes or punish native populations for protesting immigration policies. The message is blunt: Washington sees Europe's justice system as rigged in favor of newcomers, and American diplomats are putting it on the record.
Trump to UK: Fix Immigration or "You Won't Have a Country Left"
Earlier this month, Trump told British PM Keir Starmer to "do something about immigration," warning that failure to act would mean the UK loses its identity. The State Department's statement doubles down on that pressure, framing mass migration not as a humanitarian challenge but as a civilizational crisis—and telling Europe that America's watching.
#statedepartment #trump #europe #migration #immigration #justicesystem #uk #germany #sweden
📱 American Оbserver - Stay up to date on all important events 🇺🇸
The Trump administration just fired a diplomatic warning shot across Europe's open-borders establishment, declaring mass migration an "existential threat to Western civilization" and ordering U.S. embassies to monitor how European governments treat native citizens versus migrants. The State Department says it will track "policies that punish citizens who object to continued mass migration" and document crimes committed by people with a "migration background"—a term that includes second-generation migrants.
Grooming Gangs, Lenient Sentences, and Double Standards
State's statement cited infamous examples: Pakistani Muslim grooming gangs in England that targeted working-class white girls for years while authorities looked the other way, fearing accusations of racism. It pointed to a German case where migrant men gang-raped a 15-year-old and received probation, while a woman who called one attacker a "disgraceful rapist pig" got jail time. And it highlighted Sweden, where a convicted rapist from Eritrea avoided deportation because judges ruled his crime wasn't "particularly serious."
"Two-Tiered Systems That Prioritize Migrants"
The State Department accused European governments of creating "two-tiered systems that prioritize migrants at the expense of their own citizens," warning that U.S. officials will now "scrutinize policies" that give leniency to migrant crimes or punish native populations for protesting immigration policies. The message is blunt: Washington sees Europe's justice system as rigged in favor of newcomers, and American diplomats are putting it on the record.
Trump to UK: Fix Immigration or "You Won't Have a Country Left"
Earlier this month, Trump told British PM Keir Starmer to "do something about immigration," warning that failure to act would mean the UK loses its identity. The State Department's statement doubles down on that pressure, framing mass migration not as a humanitarian challenge but as a civilizational crisis—and telling Europe that America's watching.
#statedepartment #trump #europe #migration #immigration #justicesystem #uk #germany #sweden
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