Forwarded from Captain Keshel and Co. American Election Integrity HQ
Here is how voter registration trend works at state or county level.
1) not all states register voters by party. Those that do not require special modeling (I made them for MI, MN, WI, GA).
2) for those that do, the party that made the gains leading up to an election makes the gains in margin (widening or shortening margin of victory/defeat).
3) this is nearly bullet proof. Only small exceptions - such as an urban county where a ton of indies change the denominator and thus shift the county slightly more favorable to GOP- the indies can upset the predictor just a little if they lean left.
4) the trend in play:
In 2004, PA has 7% more D than R. Kerry wins by 2.5%.
In 2008, Ds widen lead to 14%. Massive. Suggests state moves D. PA to Obama by 10. This was their peak.
In 2012, D registration plummets and so does R, but R plummets less. D lead shrinks to 13%. Suggests rightward drift. PA to Obama by only 5.
In 2016, GOP gets a working class nominee and massive GOP gains begin. Dems tank. Registration edge cut to 10% for Ds. Suggests serious right movement. Trump wins state. I called PA based on this.
So, if in 2020, Trump were to lose PA truly, I’d expect the Dems to make registration gains up from 10%. Instead, what happened was a history bloodying. The Ds didn’t gain a net new registration until the final push. Rs netted over 240,000, some counties over 10% shift to GOP.
This ratio was a staggering 21 to 1 in favor of TRUMP. This was all Trump because the RINO GOP of PA does not work with those working class voters.
And in spite of this massive trend, they managed to snatch the state, as both candidates somehow received a greater vote total than Obama 2008, in a dwindling population. Several red 2016 counties like Erie and Northampton trended much more red in registrations as they had from 2012-16 and somehow flipped back.
“Somehow.”
So, that is how voter registration trends work. And it’s why I knew FL was all Trump, and how I knew NC was rigged with fraud.
CO is the only state relatively competitive that was a dead ringer for a Dem victory.
AZ - Dems cut the margin of GOP lead since 2016, BUT after presidential primaries it was GOP at 1.3 to 1.
Alright - what are your questions ?
1) not all states register voters by party. Those that do not require special modeling (I made them for MI, MN, WI, GA).
2) for those that do, the party that made the gains leading up to an election makes the gains in margin (widening or shortening margin of victory/defeat).
3) this is nearly bullet proof. Only small exceptions - such as an urban county where a ton of indies change the denominator and thus shift the county slightly more favorable to GOP- the indies can upset the predictor just a little if they lean left.
4) the trend in play:
In 2004, PA has 7% more D than R. Kerry wins by 2.5%.
In 2008, Ds widen lead to 14%. Massive. Suggests state moves D. PA to Obama by 10. This was their peak.
In 2012, D registration plummets and so does R, but R plummets less. D lead shrinks to 13%. Suggests rightward drift. PA to Obama by only 5.
In 2016, GOP gets a working class nominee and massive GOP gains begin. Dems tank. Registration edge cut to 10% for Ds. Suggests serious right movement. Trump wins state. I called PA based on this.
So, if in 2020, Trump were to lose PA truly, I’d expect the Dems to make registration gains up from 10%. Instead, what happened was a history bloodying. The Ds didn’t gain a net new registration until the final push. Rs netted over 240,000, some counties over 10% shift to GOP.
This ratio was a staggering 21 to 1 in favor of TRUMP. This was all Trump because the RINO GOP of PA does not work with those working class voters.
And in spite of this massive trend, they managed to snatch the state, as both candidates somehow received a greater vote total than Obama 2008, in a dwindling population. Several red 2016 counties like Erie and Northampton trended much more red in registrations as they had from 2012-16 and somehow flipped back.
“Somehow.”
So, that is how voter registration trends work. And it’s why I knew FL was all Trump, and how I knew NC was rigged with fraud.
CO is the only state relatively competitive that was a dead ringer for a Dem victory.
AZ - Dems cut the margin of GOP lead since 2016, BUT after presidential primaries it was GOP at 1.3 to 1.
Alright - what are your questions ?
Forwarded from TheStormHasArrived17 (TheStormHasArrived17)
Media is too big
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Georgia State Senator Brandon Beach discusses how the Georgia audit process will go...
“I think we can ask for our 16 electoral college votes back and park em here... bring em back and park em in Georgia, and then if Arizona would do that and if a couple other states did that and it got below 270, then the 12th Amendment would kick in and Congress would have to act.”
DECERTIFY IT! 🇺🇸
“I think we can ask for our 16 electoral college votes back and park em here... bring em back and park em in Georgia, and then if Arizona would do that and if a couple other states did that and it got below 270, then the 12th Amendment would kick in and Congress would have to act.”
DECERTIFY IT! 🇺🇸
What do you think the results will be from the AZ Audit?
Anonymous Poll
9%
300k Fake ballots
2%
100 Missing ballots
11%
Decertify their 2020 Election
9%
Other states start audits almost immediately
82%
All of the above
Forwarded from Dan Scavino 🇺🇸
Statement by Donald J. Trump, 45th President of the United States of America
Had Mitch McConnell fought for the Presidency like he should have, there would right now be Presidential Vetoes on all of the phased Legislation that he has proven to be incapable of stopping. Not to mention, he lost two Senatorial seats in Georgia, making the Republicans the Minority in the Senate. He never fought for the White House and blew it for the Country. Too bad I backed him in Kentucky, he would have been primaried and lost! Based on press reports, he convinced his buddy, Bill Barr, to get the corrupt (based on massive amounts of evidence that the Fake News refuses to mention!) election done, over with, and sealed for Biden, ASAP!
Had Mitch McConnell fought for the Presidency like he should have, there would right now be Presidential Vetoes on all of the phased Legislation that he has proven to be incapable of stopping. Not to mention, he lost two Senatorial seats in Georgia, making the Republicans the Minority in the Senate. He never fought for the White House and blew it for the Country. Too bad I backed him in Kentucky, he would have been primaried and lost! Based on press reports, he convinced his buddy, Bill Barr, to get the corrupt (based on massive amounts of evidence that the Fake News refuses to mention!) election done, over with, and sealed for Biden, ASAP!
Forwarded from Captain Keshel and Co. American Election Integrity HQ
Very important to understand that you don’t want information about the Arizona audit all over the place.
Loose lips sink ships. Any legitimate leaks would be used by the MSM to persuade that the auditors didn’t have a professional operation.
Likely only a couple folks have the full picture there as information is amassed. My guess is that left wing operatives are leaking juicy numbers and presuming dates for various releases to cause audit results to be untrustworthy once released.
Trust nothing but the report.
Loose lips sink ships. Any legitimate leaks would be used by the MSM to persuade that the auditors didn’t have a professional operation.
Likely only a couple folks have the full picture there as information is amassed. My guess is that left wing operatives are leaking juicy numbers and presuming dates for various releases to cause audit results to be untrustworthy once released.
Trust nothing but the report.
🚨 Arizona Alert 🚨
Maricopa wants to replace all equipment handled by Cyber Ninjas for 6 million with Dominion…
Make that make sense.
Subscribe- @AmericaFirstAudits
Maricopa wants to replace all equipment handled by Cyber Ninjas for 6 million with Dominion…
Make that make sense.
Subscribe- @AmericaFirstAudits
Any massive vote fraud in Maricopa County Arizona is going to be identified. The Democrats must be terrified.
One of the auditors working for the Arizona Senate, Bob Hughes, discussed the audit and the reasons why the Democrats are absolutely frightened of the Arizona audit and it being performed in other states.
“What I can tell you is you now will have the most authentic count of every legal authentic ballot you could possibly have”
🔗 Full Link
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One of the auditors working for the Arizona Senate, Bob Hughes, discussed the audit and the reasons why the Democrats are absolutely frightened of the Arizona audit and it being performed in other states.
“What I can tell you is you now will have the most authentic count of every legal authentic ballot you could possibly have”
🔗 Full Link
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OBAMA CRIES LIBERAL TEARS
If we don’t stop [GOP voting efforts] now, what we are going to see is more and more contested elections… we are going to see a breakdown of the basic agreement that has held this magnificent democratic experiment together all these years,” Obama said.
“I have every confidence that Nancy, working in conjunction with Chuck Schumer and Joe Biden… are going to figure out a way in which there is an up and down vote on the for the People Act,” he added.
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If we don’t stop [GOP voting efforts] now, what we are going to see is more and more contested elections… we are going to see a breakdown of the basic agreement that has held this magnificent democratic experiment together all these years,” Obama said.
“I have every confidence that Nancy, working in conjunction with Chuck Schumer and Joe Biden… are going to figure out a way in which there is an up and down vote on the for the People Act,” he added.
🔗 Full Link
Follow and Share for More Updates on America’s Audits and a List of State Audit Channels.
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The Gateway Pundit
Desperate Barack Obama Pleads with Lawmakers to Push Through 'For the People Act' to Make it Easier For Democrats to Steal Elections…
A desperate Barack Obama pleaded with lawmakers to push through the ‘For the People Act’ to make it easier for Democrats to steal elections. GOP legislatures are working to secure elections by implementing voter ID laws, banning ballot harvesting and requiring…
Forwarded from Captain Keshel and Co. American Election Integrity HQ
Continuing on the national topic - you may have seen my bellwether county video.
Here is the scorecard. Bellwethers are indicators. They come in county format and also in groups of states, which I’ll show shortly.
Some bellwethers die every year, especially in coalition shifts, but these 19 have all voted for the winner since 1980.
Trump won 18 of them. Most are in the working class regions, suggesting no loss of that base.
Here is the scorecard. Bellwethers are indicators. They come in county format and also in groups of states, which I’ll show shortly.
Some bellwethers die every year, especially in coalition shifts, but these 19 have all voted for the winner since 1980.
Trump won 18 of them. Most are in the working class regions, suggesting no loss of that base.
🇺🇸 LIST OF STATE AUDIT CHATS TO START FOLLOWING TO CONTINUE THE FIGHT 🇺🇸
AL @ABAuditChat
CA @CalAuditChat
CO @COAuditChat
FL @FLAuditChat
GA @GAelectionauditchat
IL @ILAuditChat
LA @LAAuditChat
MI @MichiganAuditChat
MN @MNAuditChat
MO @MOAuditChat
NC @NCAuditChat
NH @NHAuditChat
NJ @NJAuditChat
NV @NevadaAuditChat
NY @NYAuditChat
OK @OKAuditChat
OR @ORAuditChat
PA @PennAuditChat
SC @SCAuditChat
TX @TXAuditChat
VA @VaAuditChat
WA @WAAuditChat
WI @WIAuditChat
New States :
CT @CtAuditChat
HI @HIAuditChat
ME @MEAuditChat
MA @MAAuditChat
NM @NMAuditChat
OH @OhioAuditChat
Share & follow our main channel and chat for updates on America’s Audits.
@AmericaFirstAudits
@AmericaFirstAuditsChat
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IL @ILAuditChat
LA @LAAuditChat
MI @MichiganAuditChat
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MO @MOAuditChat
NC @NCAuditChat
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NJ @NJAuditChat
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OR @ORAuditChat
PA @PennAuditChat
SC @SCAuditChat
TX @TXAuditChat
VA @VaAuditChat
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WI @WIAuditChat
New States :
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Forwarded from Captain Keshel and Co. American Election Integrity HQ
Bellwether states -
In 13 occurrences from 1896-2016, No candidate, regardless of party, has ever carried OH IA NC and FL and lost.
Until...
In 13 occurrences from 1896-2016, No candidate, regardless of party, has ever carried OH IA NC and FL and lost.
Until...
Forwarded from Ron Watkins [CodeMonkeyZ]
Lack of audit leaks has many people nervous.
The auditors run a tight ship.
Timing is important and the results will be released when last expected and for maximum impact.
The auditors run a tight ship.
Timing is important and the results will be released when last expected and for maximum impact.
Forwarded from We The Media (Pepe Lives Matter)
New lawsuit challenges ballot dropboxes, ballot harvesting in Wisconsin.
https://twitter.com/jsolomonReports/status/1409684212601393153?s=19
https://twitter.com/jsolomonReports/status/1409684212601393153?s=19
Forwarded from Captain Keshel and Co. American Election Integrity HQ
The plan for the Georgia numbers is that they are something like this.
Forwarded from Ron Watkins [CodeMonkeyZ]
Maricopa County Supervisors still haven’t given the passwords or routers to the auditors.
Why are they withholding this information?
Will the Soros Sheriff enforce the law?
Why are they withholding this information?
Will the Soros Sheriff enforce the law?
Forwarded from 🍯 (SaltyLulu8)
🇺🇸 LIST OF STATE AUDIT CHATS TO START FOLLOWING TO CONTINUE THE FIGHT 🇺🇸
AL @ABAuditChat
CA @CalAuditChat
CO @COAuditChat
FL @FLAuditChat
GA @GAelectionauditchat
IL @ILAuditChat
LA @LAAuditChat
MI @MichiganAuditChat
MN @MNAuditChat
MO @MOAuditChat
NC @NCAuditChat
NH @NHAuditChat
NJ @NJAuditChat
NV @NevadaAuditChat
NY @NYAuditChat
OK @OKAuditChat
OR @ORAuditChat
PA @PennAuditChat
SC @SCAuditChat
TX @TXAuditChat
VA @VaAuditChat
WA @WAAuditChat
WI @WIAuditChat
New States :
CT @CtAuditChat
HI @HIAuditChat
ME @MEAuditChat
MA @MAAuditChat
NM @NMAuditChat
OH @OhioAuditChat
Share & follow our main channel and chat for updates on America’s Audits.
@AmericaFirstAudits
@AmericaFirstAuditsChat
AL @ABAuditChat
CA @CalAuditChat
CO @COAuditChat
FL @FLAuditChat
GA @GAelectionauditchat
IL @ILAuditChat
LA @LAAuditChat
MI @MichiganAuditChat
MN @MNAuditChat
MO @MOAuditChat
NC @NCAuditChat
NH @NHAuditChat
NJ @NJAuditChat
NV @NevadaAuditChat
NY @NYAuditChat
OK @OKAuditChat
OR @ORAuditChat
PA @PennAuditChat
SC @SCAuditChat
TX @TXAuditChat
VA @VaAuditChat
WA @WAAuditChat
WI @WIAuditChat
New States :
CT @CtAuditChat
HI @HIAuditChat
ME @MEAuditChat
MA @MAAuditChat
NM @NMAuditChat
OH @OhioAuditChat
Share & follow our main channel and chat for updates on America’s Audits.
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🇺🇸 Come Join Us 🇺🇸
AL @ABAuditChat
CA @CalAuditChat
CO @COAuditChat
FL @FLAuditChat
GA @GAelectionauditchat
IL @ILAuditChat
LA @LAAuditChat
MI @MichiganAuditChat
MN @MNAuditChat
MO @MOAuditChat
NC @NCAuditChat
NH @NHAuditChat
NJ @NJAuditChat
NV @NevadaAuditChat
NY @NYAuditChat
OK @OKAuditChat
OR @ORAuditChat
PA @PennAuditChat
SC @SCAuditChat
TX @TXAuditChat
VA @VaAuditChat
WA @WAAuditChat
WI @WIAuditChat
New States :
CT @CtAuditChat
HI @HIAuditChat
ME @MEAuditChat
MA @MAAuditChat
NM @NMAuditChat
OH @OhioAuditChat
Share & follow our main channel and chat for updates on America’s Audits.
@AmericaFirstAudits
@AmericaFirstAuditsChat
AL @ABAuditChat
CA @CalAuditChat
CO @COAuditChat
FL @FLAuditChat
GA @GAelectionauditchat
IL @ILAuditChat
LA @LAAuditChat
MI @MichiganAuditChat
MN @MNAuditChat
MO @MOAuditChat
NC @NCAuditChat
NH @NHAuditChat
NJ @NJAuditChat
NV @NevadaAuditChat
NY @NYAuditChat
OK @OKAuditChat
OR @ORAuditChat
PA @PennAuditChat
SC @SCAuditChat
TX @TXAuditChat
VA @VaAuditChat
WA @WAAuditChat
WI @WIAuditChat
New States :
CT @CtAuditChat
HI @HIAuditChat
ME @MEAuditChat
MA @MAAuditChat
NM @NMAuditChat
OH @OhioAuditChat
Share & follow our main channel and chat for updates on America’s Audits.
@AmericaFirstAudits
@AmericaFirstAuditsChat
Forwarded from Ron Watkins [CodeMonkeyZ]
If the Soros Sheriff doesn’t enforce the law, what will AZ Attorney General Mark Brnovich do?
Mark Brnovich is up for re-election soon...
Mark Brnovich is up for re-election soon...