RT by @glassnode: Cryptic Talks with @heybeluga x @glassnode! Crypto & Web3 in 2025: What Went Wrong Date: Monday, February 16th Time: 04:30 PM UTC / 05:30 PM CET Host: @paulispeaks, CBDO at Cryptic Guests: Sonny Singh, Co-founder & CEO at Beluga @antonbtc, Director of…
HOT!
Brian Armstrong says Coinbase data shows an increase in retail users buying the Bitcoin & ETH dip.
This indicates a potential increase in retail investor confidence, which could signal a positive sentiment shift for bitcoin and ethereum.
Brian Armstrong says Coinbase data shows an increase in retail users buying the Bitcoin & ETH dip.
This indicates a potential increase in retail investor confidence, which could signal a positive sentiment shift for bitcoin and ethereum.
HOT!
Michael Saylor's 'Strategy' says it can "withstand a drawdown in Bitcoin's price to $8K and still have sufficient assets to fully cover its debt." pic.
Michael saylor's statement aims to reassure investors about MicroStrategy's financial resilience, suggesting their Bitcoin holdings can absorb significant price declines without jeopardizing debt obligations.
Michael Saylor's 'Strategy' says it can "withstand a drawdown in Bitcoin's price to $8K and still have sufficient assets to fully cover its debt." pic.
Michael saylor's statement aims to reassure investors about MicroStrategy's financial resilience, suggesting their Bitcoin holdings can absorb significant price declines without jeopardizing debt obligations.
HOT!
YouTuber Logan Paul purchased this NFT for $635,000 in 2021. Today, it's worth $155. pic.
The NFT bought for a high price in 2021 is now worth significantly less. This highlights the volatile and speculative nature of the NFT market and potential for substantial losses.
YouTuber Logan Paul purchased this NFT for $635,000 in 2021. Today, it's worth $155. pic.
The NFT bought for a high price in 2021 is now worth significantly less. This highlights the volatile and speculative nature of the NFT market and potential for substantial losses.
Update: With the spot price trading at $68.8K, the key on-chain price models are as follows: STH Cost Basis: $90.9K Active Investors Mean: $85.8k True Market Mean: $79.0K ---- Spot Price: $68.8K ---- Realized Price: $54.9K
The spot price is currently below several on-chain cost bases, suggesting potential undervaluation relative to recent investor activity.
The spot price is currently below several on-chain cost bases, suggesting potential undervaluation relative to recent investor activity.
Ethereum Technical Analysis
👉 Ethereum is currently trading at $1958.
👉 The market bias is distinctly Neutral.
👉 Key immediate support is at $1900.
👉 Key immediate resistance is at $2204.77, followed by $2579.11.
For Buyers: A sustained hold above $1958 could lead to a retest of $2204.77. A move above $2204.77 is required to shift the short-term momentum.
For Risk Control: Use tighter stops or reduce position size if price breaks below $1900.
MARKET OVERVIEW
👉 Bias is neutral with underlying bearish momentum, but recent short-term bullish alignment.
👉 Current price is in an overbought risk zone, suggesting caution on new long positions.
👉 Price is trading significantly below key moving averages, indicating resistance overhead.
MOVING AVERAGES
👉 EMA50 is at $2579.11, acting as immediate resistance since price is well below it.
👉 EMA100 is at $2883.35, providing critical resistance level.
👉 Price is currently trading substantially below both EMA50 and EMA100, indicating a clear downtrend in the mid-to-long term.
BOLLINGER BANDS
👉 Price is currently positioned below the middle band at $2204.77 and within the lower half of the Bollinger Bands, indicating a negative tilt within a probable consolidation phase.
FIBONACCI LEVELS
👉 Fibonacci 61.8% Retracement at $2924 serves as a significant resistance level, while the 138.2% Extension at $5812 marks a potential long-term upside target.
MOMENTUM (SRSI/MACD)
👉 Stochastic RSI K is at 86.5, indicating overbought risk.
👉 MACD is in a bearish momentum regime (below zero) but shows a bullish alignment (MACD above Signal) stemming from a cross 2 bars ago, suggesting a potential short-term bounce within a broader bearish context.
👉 Ethereum is currently trading at $1958.
👉 The market bias is distinctly Neutral.
👉 Key immediate support is at $1900.
👉 Key immediate resistance is at $2204.77, followed by $2579.11.
For Buyers: A sustained hold above $1958 could lead to a retest of $2204.77. A move above $2204.77 is required to shift the short-term momentum.
For Risk Control: Use tighter stops or reduce position size if price breaks below $1900.
MARKET OVERVIEW
👉 Bias is neutral with underlying bearish momentum, but recent short-term bullish alignment.
👉 Current price is in an overbought risk zone, suggesting caution on new long positions.
👉 Price is trading significantly below key moving averages, indicating resistance overhead.
MOVING AVERAGES
👉 EMA50 is at $2579.11, acting as immediate resistance since price is well below it.
👉 EMA100 is at $2883.35, providing critical resistance level.
👉 Price is currently trading substantially below both EMA50 and EMA100, indicating a clear downtrend in the mid-to-long term.
BOLLINGER BANDS
👉 Price is currently positioned below the middle band at $2204.77 and within the lower half of the Bollinger Bands, indicating a negative tilt within a probable consolidation phase.
FIBONACCI LEVELS
👉 Fibonacci 61.8% Retracement at $2924 serves as a significant resistance level, while the 138.2% Extension at $5812 marks a potential long-term upside target.
MOMENTUM (SRSI/MACD)
👉 Stochastic RSI K is at 86.5, indicating overbought risk.
👉 MACD is in a bearish momentum regime (below zero) but shows a bullish alignment (MACD above Signal) stemming from a cross 2 bars ago, suggesting a potential short-term bounce within a broader bearish context.
Bitcoin Technical Analysis
👉 Bitcoin is currently trading at $68372.
👉 The market bias is distinctly Neutral.
👉 Key immediate support is at $68372.
👉 Key immediate resistance is at $73101.20, followed by $80640.93.
For Buyers: A sustained hold above $68372 could lead to a retest of $73101.20. A move above $80640.93 is required to shift the short-term market momentum.
For Risk Control: Use tighter stops or reduce position size if price breaks below $68372.
MOVING AVERAGES
👉 EMA50 is at $80640.93, currently acting as immediate resistance.
👉 EMA100 is at $87426.77, providing critical resistance level.
👉 Price is significantly below both EMAs, signaling a bearish trend on these timeframes. No specific EMA crossovers are noted for EMA50/EMA100 at this time.
BOLLINGER BANDS
👉 Price is currently positioned in the lower half of the bands, below the middle band at $73101.20, indicating a negative tilt.
FIBONACCI LEVELS
👉 Key Fibonacci retracement at $86507 limits downside, with extension at $148427 marking potential upside target.
MOMENTUM (SRSI/MACD)
👉 Stochastic RSI K is at 95.0, indicating overbought conditions and increased risk of a pullback.
👉 MACD is below zero, reflecting a bearish momentum regime, but has printed a bullish cross 1 bar ago, indicating conflicting signals with potential for short-term upside if sustained.
Link to live chart:
https://in.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSDT/0fH3h0VQ-Bitcoin-Chart/
👉 Bitcoin is currently trading at $68372.
👉 The market bias is distinctly Neutral.
👉 Key immediate support is at $68372.
👉 Key immediate resistance is at $73101.20, followed by $80640.93.
For Buyers: A sustained hold above $68372 could lead to a retest of $73101.20. A move above $80640.93 is required to shift the short-term market momentum.
For Risk Control: Use tighter stops or reduce position size if price breaks below $68372.
MOVING AVERAGES
👉 EMA50 is at $80640.93, currently acting as immediate resistance.
👉 EMA100 is at $87426.77, providing critical resistance level.
👉 Price is significantly below both EMAs, signaling a bearish trend on these timeframes. No specific EMA crossovers are noted for EMA50/EMA100 at this time.
BOLLINGER BANDS
👉 Price is currently positioned in the lower half of the bands, below the middle band at $73101.20, indicating a negative tilt.
FIBONACCI LEVELS
👉 Key Fibonacci retracement at $86507 limits downside, with extension at $148427 marking potential upside target.
MOMENTUM (SRSI/MACD)
👉 Stochastic RSI K is at 95.0, indicating overbought conditions and increased risk of a pullback.
👉 MACD is below zero, reflecting a bearish momentum regime, but has printed a bullish cross 1 bar ago, indicating conflicting signals with potential for short-term upside if sustained.
Link to live chart:
https://in.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSDT/0fH3h0VQ-Bitcoin-Chart/
Off-chain signals are mixed. Spot indicators are rising into moderate territory, but futures and ETF indicators are declining and remain low, signalling cautious leverage and weaker institutional participation. Options are also slipping, keeping risk appetite muted.
Mixed signals suggest a cautious market. While spot interest shows some strength, institutional and futures activity indicate a conservative outlook.
Mixed signals suggest a cautious market. While spot interest shows some strength, institutional and futures activity indicate a conservative outlook.
The recent drop to $60k imposed drastic psychological pressure on “diamond hands,” comparable to the May 2022 LUNA crash. In both cases, the 7D EMA of Long-Term Holder SOPR fell below 1 after trading for 1-2 years above it. Simply put, long-term holders realized significant losses—a rare shift in conviction typically seen in deeper stages of bear markets.
Long-term holders are experiencing significant losses, indicating a potential deeper bear market stage.
Long-term holders are experiencing significant losses, indicating a potential deeper bear market stage.
HOT!
Elon musk says he has less than $850 million in cash, 0.1% of his net worth. pic.
Elon musk says he has less than $850 million in cash, 0.1% of his net worth. pic.
During the first sharp leg down in NOV 2025, the market absorbed heavy sell pressure aggressively, similar to the post-LUNA & FTX crash responses. The recent drop to $60k did see some accumulation, but it was notably weaker than the NOV 2025 bounce or the reflexive demand seen after the LUNA collapse.
The market showed some resilience to sell pressure, with accumulation noted around $60k. However, demand was weaker than prior significant downturns, indicating a less aggressive buying response.
The market showed some resilience to sell pressure, with accumulation noted around $60k. However, demand was weaker than prior significant downturns, indicating a less aggressive buying response.
HOT!
🇺🇸 President Trump says "prices and inflation are way down, stock market and your 401ks are way up."
This statement reflects a political perspective on economic conditions, highlighting perceived improvements in inflation and market performance that could influence investor sentiment.
🇺🇸 President Trump says "prices and inflation are way down, stock market and your 401ks are way up."
This statement reflects a political perspective on economic conditions, highlighting perceived improvements in inflation and market performance that could influence investor sentiment.
HOT!
Meta patents AI that continues posting and messaging from deceased users' accounts by replicating past online behavior.
Meta patents AI that continues posting and messaging from deceased users' accounts by replicating past online behavior.
XRP Technical Analysis
👉 XRP is currently trading at $1.48.
👉 The market bias is distinctly Neutral.
👉 Key immediate support is at $1.48.
👉 Key immediate resistance is at $1.50, followed by $1.72.
For Buyers: A sustained hold above $1.50 could lead to a retest of $1.72. A move above $1.93 is required to shift the short-term momentum.
For Risk Control: Use tighter stops or reduce position size if price breaks below $1.48.
MOVING AVERAGES
👉 EMA50 is at $1.72, acting as immediate resistance.
👉 EMA100 is at $1.93, providing critical resistance level.
👉 The EMA50 remains below the EMA100, indicating a prevailing bearish trend structure.
BOLLINGER BANDS
👉 Price is currently positioned below the middle band at $1.50, reflecting a negative tilt within its volatility range, indicating consolidation with underlying weakness.
FIBONACCI LEVELS
👉 Key Fibonacci retracement at $1.94 acts as a critical resistance, with the 138.2% extension at $3.85 marking a distant potential upside target if resistance levels are cleared.
MOMENTUM (SRSI/MACD)
👉 Stochastic RSI K is at 95.5, indicating overbought conditions, suggesting potential for a pullback or consolidation.
👉 MACD is below zero (bearish momentum regime) but above Signal (bullish alignment), reflecting conflicting short-term signals amidst a broader bearish context. A bullish MACD cross occurred 3 bars ago.
👉 XRP is currently trading at $1.48.
👉 The market bias is distinctly Neutral.
👉 Key immediate support is at $1.48.
👉 Key immediate resistance is at $1.50, followed by $1.72.
For Buyers: A sustained hold above $1.50 could lead to a retest of $1.72. A move above $1.93 is required to shift the short-term momentum.
For Risk Control: Use tighter stops or reduce position size if price breaks below $1.48.
MOVING AVERAGES
👉 EMA50 is at $1.72, acting as immediate resistance.
👉 EMA100 is at $1.93, providing critical resistance level.
👉 The EMA50 remains below the EMA100, indicating a prevailing bearish trend structure.
BOLLINGER BANDS
👉 Price is currently positioned below the middle band at $1.50, reflecting a negative tilt within its volatility range, indicating consolidation with underlying weakness.
FIBONACCI LEVELS
👉 Key Fibonacci retracement at $1.94 acts as a critical resistance, with the 138.2% extension at $3.85 marking a distant potential upside target if resistance levels are cleared.
MOMENTUM (SRSI/MACD)
👉 Stochastic RSI K is at 95.5, indicating overbought conditions, suggesting potential for a pullback or consolidation.
👉 MACD is below zero (bearish momentum regime) but above Signal (bullish alignment), reflecting conflicting short-term signals amidst a broader bearish context. A bullish MACD cross occurred 3 bars ago.
**Bitcoin Technical Analysis**
* 👉 Bitcoin is currently trading at $68198.
* 👉 The market bias is distinctly Neutral.
* 👉 Key immediate support is at $68198.
* 👉 Key immediate resistance is at $72079.79, followed by $80173.16.
* **For Buyers:** A sustained hold above $72079.79 could lead to a retest of $80173.16. A move above $80173.16 is required to shift the short-term momentum.
* **For Risk Control:** Use tighter stops or reduce position size if price breaks below $68198.
**MOVING AVERAGES**
* 👉 EMA50 is at $80173.16, acting as immediate resistance.
* 👉 EMA100 is at $87057.26, providing critical resistance level.
* 👉 EMA50 ($80173.16) remains below EMA100 ($87057.26), indicating a bearish trend alignment.
**BOLLINGER BANDS**
* 👉 Exact Bollinger Band levels (lower and upper) are not provided in the data. The current close at $68198 is noted to be in the lower half of the bands with a negative tilt, below the middle band at $72079.79, indicating bearish pressure.
**FIBONACCI LEVELS**
* 👉 Key Fibonacci retracement at $86507 acts as a significant resistance level. The 138.2% Extension at $148427 marks a long-term potential upside target.
**MOMENTUM (SRSI/MACD)**
* 👉 Stochastic RSI K is at 93.5, indicating overbought conditions with increased risk.
* 👉 MACD is currently in a bearish momentum regime (below zero) but shows a bullish alignment with a cross occurring 2 bars ago.
**Link to live chart:**
https://in.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSDT/0fH3h0VQ-Bitcoin-Chart/
* 👉 Bitcoin is currently trading at $68198.
* 👉 The market bias is distinctly Neutral.
* 👉 Key immediate support is at $68198.
* 👉 Key immediate resistance is at $72079.79, followed by $80173.16.
* **For Buyers:** A sustained hold above $72079.79 could lead to a retest of $80173.16. A move above $80173.16 is required to shift the short-term momentum.
* **For Risk Control:** Use tighter stops or reduce position size if price breaks below $68198.
**MOVING AVERAGES**
* 👉 EMA50 is at $80173.16, acting as immediate resistance.
* 👉 EMA100 is at $87057.26, providing critical resistance level.
* 👉 EMA50 ($80173.16) remains below EMA100 ($87057.26), indicating a bearish trend alignment.
**BOLLINGER BANDS**
* 👉 Exact Bollinger Band levels (lower and upper) are not provided in the data. The current close at $68198 is noted to be in the lower half of the bands with a negative tilt, below the middle band at $72079.79, indicating bearish pressure.
**FIBONACCI LEVELS**
* 👉 Key Fibonacci retracement at $86507 acts as a significant resistance level. The 138.2% Extension at $148427 marks a long-term potential upside target.
**MOMENTUM (SRSI/MACD)**
* 👉 Stochastic RSI K is at 93.5, indicating overbought conditions with increased risk.
* 👉 MACD is currently in a bearish momentum regime (below zero) but shows a bullish alignment with a cross occurring 2 bars ago.
**Link to live chart:**
https://in.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSDT/0fH3h0VQ-Bitcoin-Chart/
HOT!
Michael Saylor's 'strategy' buys 2,486 Bitcoin worth $169 million.
This significant purchase by Michael Saylor's entity indicates continued strong institutional confidence in Bitcoin and could influence market sentiment positively.
Michael Saylor's 'strategy' buys 2,486 Bitcoin worth $169 million.
This significant purchase by Michael Saylor's entity indicates continued strong institutional confidence in Bitcoin and could influence market sentiment positively.
Just in: Dragonfly raises $650M for its fourth crypto fund despite blockchain VC downturn.
This substantial fundraise by Dragonfly indicates strong institutional confidence in the crypto sector's long-term potential, despite current market headwinds.
This substantial fundraise by Dragonfly indicates strong institutional confidence in the crypto sector's long-term potential, despite current market headwinds.
HOT!
Tom lee's 'BitMine' buys 45,759 $ETH worth $91 million. pic.
This significant institutional purchase of Ethereum by Tom Lee's BitMine indicates strong institutional confidence, potentially signaling a bullish outlook for the asset.
Tom lee's 'BitMine' buys 45,759 $ETH worth $91 million. pic.
This significant institutional purchase of Ethereum by Tom Lee's BitMine indicates strong institutional confidence, potentially signaling a bullish outlook for the asset.
HOT!
🇺🇸 Cftc chair says crypto market structure bill "is on the cusp" of becoming law. pic.
The CFTC chair's statement indicates potential for legislative clarity in the crypto market, which could foster increased institutional adoption and investor confidence.
🇺🇸 Cftc chair says crypto market structure bill "is on the cusp" of becoming law. pic.
The CFTC chair's statement indicates potential for legislative clarity in the crypto market, which could foster increased institutional adoption and investor confidence.
HOT!
🇺🇸 CFTC Chair says "regulation by enforcement" against crypto is over.
This suggests a potential shift towards clearer regulatory frameworks for crypto in the US, reducing uncertainty and possibly fostering innovation.
🇺🇸 CFTC Chair says "regulation by enforcement" against crypto is over.
This suggests a potential shift towards clearer regulatory frameworks for crypto in the US, reducing uncertainty and possibly fostering innovation.