Alpha updates. 🪓
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Welcome to the Alpha Updates Telegram! 🌟

Here, you'll receive the latest scoop on upcoming IDOs, airdrops, altcoins, including lowcap gems, narrative-driven coins, meme coins etc

My twitter: https://twitter.com/axel_bitblaze69
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1,006,353 Bitcoin only.

That’s less than 5% off all the supply remaining to be mined. Scarcity getting scarcer...
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Bitcoin’s weekly RSI is now at 25.46…

The lowest level in its entire 17 year history.

The previous record was 28.3 in 2022 and now we are even below that.

Bitcoin has never been this oversold before.

Look at the history. Every time Bitcoin has been this oversold, the next 6-12 months followed by recovery:

2022 (Luna/FTX crash) → RSI 28.3 → +85% recovery

COVID Crash 2020 → RSI 26.4 → +160%+ recovery

2018 Bear Market → RSI ~28 → +108% recovery

Panic doesn’t change maths
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30 out of 30 top indicators… and not ONE has triggered.

Let that sink in.

Pi Cycle Top? .. Puell Multiple ..MVRV?

None of it hit ..

And yet $BTC is already deep underwater.

So what’s the truth?

Either this bull run hasn’t peaked yet and we are just living through a violent mid cycle shakeout.

or all 30 indicators are completely useless and years of cycle data just stopped working overnight.

Being honest...in every previous cycle top 2017, 2021 at least a few major signals were flashing red.

This time? Nothing.

If this is the top… it’s the weakest, most invisible top in Bitcoin history.
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Crypto total market cap is $2.3T, and CZ alone has a net worth of $80B.

That’s roughly 3.5% of the entire crypto industry’s net worth in the hands of one person ( thay too in crypto)

Owning 3.5% of the total supply of Bitcoin, Ethereum, or even Solana isn’t normal, that’s GOD level dominance.

And here, one individual effectively owns 3.5% of the whole industry.

But the story doesn’t end here.

Binance is responsible for around $160B in user funds custody.

Not saying this belongs to Binance itself, but indirectly and effectively, those funds are controlled by Binance.

So in total, more than 10% of the entire industry’s mc is effectively under CZ’s control.

That’s scary.
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From the U.S. dropping missiles on Iran last year to the capture of Venezuelan president, every major event under Trump happened on weekends.

There is no serious trader in the financial markets who doesn’t know that a strike is coming this weekend and many opened shorts ahead of time.

Today, we’re living through the strike, and crypto still hasn’t made new lows. The main reason for that is the strike being priced in ahead of time.
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Solana is crushing it.. Controlling ~49% of payments between AI agents via x402 protocol.

Low fees, lightning speed... the future of machine to machine money is here on Solana
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One of the biggest macro event this month is Japan interest rate decision on March 18.

Now here’s where it gets interesting.

Oil prices are up 20%+ since the start of the year because war and global uncertainty are back on the table.

And remember Japan is heavily oil dependent.

If oil prices keep rising, inflationary pressure in Japan can increase. And if inflation starts moving higher, expectations around a rate hike will also rise.

Right now, the market is pricing in only a 6% chance of a hike.

But if oil keeps ripping like this, probability can shift quickly.

That said, inflation in Japan is still relatively controlled.

February 2026 CPI came at 1.8%, which is actually below BOJ’s 2% target.

So realistically, the chances of a rate hike in March are very low unless inflation begins to surprise on the upside.
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There is one on chain signal that has nailed every major Bitcoin bottom of the past decade.

Supply in Profit vs Loss Convergence.

Even CoinDesk pointed out last month that this metric has identified the bottom in every cycle.

Here is what is happening right now.

Around 11.1 million BTC are sitting in profit, while 8.9 million BTC are in loss. The real opportunity shows up when these two numbers start moving toward each other. When profit and loss supply converge, it means pain is widespread, weak hands are exhausted, and the market is near maximum pessimism.

That exact convergence has marked the ultimate bottom in previous cycles.

It caught November 2022 around 15,000 dollars.

It caught March 2020 near 3,000 dollars.

It caught January 2019 around 3,000 dollars.

It even caught the 2015 bottom near 200 dollars.

Right now the gap is shrinking fast. We are very close.

historically align with a major cycle bottom. The setup is forming. The data is tightening. Now it is about watching...
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Oil just crashed 30%. The biggest single day crash in history.

And the reason? Trump casually dropped that the war could be ending soon with a press conference coming up in just an hour.

So the real question is... is he actually about to announce something, or is this mid war market manipulation at its finest? Tbh i don't trust Trump.

👀 Eyes on press conference... next 60 minutes might be the most important hour markets have seen this decade.
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20 million Bitcoin are already mined, and now only about 5% of the total supply is left.

But here’s the crazy part.

Mining the remaining 1 million Bitcoin could take more than 100 years, and it will require multiple times more energy than what was used to mine the first 20 million.

Check this out. “Nvidia backed Starcloud, will become the first company ever to mine BITCOIN in space.

Yes, space. Starcloud plans to launch around 88,000 solar powered satellites.

And launching a single satellite costs roughly $1-2 million.

Do the math - sending 88,000 satellites alone could cost $100–150 billion just for the launches.The entire project could exceed $200 billion.

Now the obvious question.. Why spend that kind of money? Why not just mine Bitcoin here on Earth?

Because of one simple reason mining difficulty.In the early days, you could mine Bitcoin on a laptop,then you needed stronger CPUs,then GPUs And eventually, ultra specialized machines called ASIC miners built only for mining.

As the Bitcoin network grows, mining difficulty keeps increasing, hardware gets heavier. Electricity consumption explodes.

Today in the US, mining 1 BTC costs around $70k-$80k.

Now imagine the cost after the next halving… and the one after that. By 2044, mining reward will drop to 0.097 BTC.

At that point, Earth based mining might become mathematically unprofitable.
There could be a moment when Electricity cost > Bitcoin price. When that happens, mining on Earth stops making economic sense.

And that’s where space comes in. In space you get ... Unlimited solar power.. No land costs.. No night cycles.. No government jurisdiction.. No water needed for cooling.

If Earth mining becomes unprofitable, whoever controls space mining infrastructure could end up controlling a huge share of the remaining Bitcoin issuance.Which means if Starcloud succeeds…They could potentially build a space level mining monopoly.

Bitcoin to the Moon Space
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just shared the full article on how i automated my entire crypto research process.

tools, workflows, exact prompts, alerts, mistakes i made so you don't have to..

you can set it up this weekend.

free. no paywall.

LIKE and RT will if you find useful:

https://x.com/axel_bitblaze69/status/2032432210511593492?s=46&t=MpsMbNE2PDtDtDfKUQWooA
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Bro trying his best to get that pardon by any means necessary
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saylor is building the next terra/luna ponzi

shared new article comparing STRC’s 11.5% yield to UST’s 20%.

i went deep flywheel mechanics, the full debt table, the 194 copycats, the crash scenarios, all of it.

must read and please engage everyone. 👇

https://x.com/axel_bitblaze69/status/2032708484278661333

PLEASE LIKE AND RT 🫡
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You can now become and Ai powered powerful crypto trader.

shared a full article on it. i hope you all will like it.. please must read.

drop a like and RT if you find it useful ♥️

https://x.com/axel_bitblaze69/status/2033347936923631735
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Everyone’s chasing the next AI startup…

But the real wildcard might be Tether.

CEO Paolo Ardoino just hinted their AI team is dropping a “breakthrough” next week... not an update, not a feature.

If the company printing the world’s 70% stablecoin starts mixing AI + digital money, that could get very interesting.

Next week might be bigger than people think.
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This BTC structure looks dangerously similar to 2022.  👀

Last cycle $BTC:

• ATH → -52% crash (Nov - Feb)
• Then a hope rally → +40% recovery ( March)
• Then April - June… brutal -60% dump

Classic bear market trap.

Now look at current price action:

• Oct 2025 ATH → Feb low, exact -52% crash
• From that bottom → already +22% bounce

Same structure… even timing is same.

If this fractal plays out, We could see a push toward ~85K ( ~ +40% from bottom)…before the market pulls the rug again.

There’s one more detail worth noticing. In 2022, most of the upside came in just ~3 weeks, March to early April.
Right now..Since March 9, we have 8 consecutive green closes in BTC

Same timing. Same behavior. Not saying it WILL repeat…
But if it does, this is the setup worth watching.
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