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Hey frens, just found this dashboard that tracks all the major indicators for an altcoin season πŸ‘‡

πŸ“Š From the chart, u can see most of the Progress bars are still far from 100%.
Meaning: the market hasn’t met the full conditions for a real uptrend yet.

Easy way to visualize where we are - still waiting for the pieces to line up. πŸ˜‰
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Since the brutal crash on October 10th…

Crypto’s total market cap is down over 33% - and what makes it strange is… there wasn’t a single clear reason. πŸ€”

Earlier this year, a drop this big came from Trump’s tariff shock.
This time? No headline. No major event. πŸ“°

Just three pressure points hitting at once:
β€’ Growth scare environment
β€’ Systematic / forced selling
β€’ A strengthening dollar

Sometimes the market nukes without a clean narrative - and this feels like one of those times. 😨

So… do u think the market will recover before year-end? Yes πŸ‘ or No
πŸ‘Ž
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Metals are having one of the craziest years I’ve seen in a long time ↗️

2025 YTD performance:
🟣Silver: +100%
🟣Platinum: +87%
🟣Gold: +60%
🟣Copper: +30%
🟣Lithium: +25%

Why the surge?
β€’ Central banks are easing again β†’ rates dropping β†’ money flows back into metals
β€’ Industrial demand is heating up
β€’ Geopolitical tension + tariff battles + war risk premiums
β€’ Governments stacking gold to protect their balance sheets


➑️ A perfect recipe for a massive metals run.

Anyone here holding any metals? Share below, frens πŸ˜‰
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❓ Everyone keeps waiting for an altseason like 2017 or 2021…
but the market we’re in now is completely different. πŸ€”

🟣2017: a few hundred coins.
🟣2021: a few thousand.
🟣2025: 11M+ tokens, memecoins, experiments, and straight-up noise


➑️ The era where β€œeverything pumps in a bull market” is over.

This really is one of the hardest cycles in crypto history.
If your bag isn’t backed by real demand and real utility, the market will wipe it out instantly. ❌

What do u guys think - are we ever getting a true altseason again?
Yes πŸ‘ or Nah πŸ‘Ž
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πŸŽ™ β€œWe are going to see a market comeback in Q1 of 2026.
February and March will be a bull market again, based on a combination of macro indicators.”

➑️ That’s the extremely bullish take from Alice Liu - Head of Research at CoinMarketCap, posted directly on Binance’s official account. 🟠

Just bullish hopium or real signal, frens? πŸ˜€πŸ˜€
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Tbh… most people miss opportunities not because they were "late", but because they hesitated when they were actually early. ❓

Crypto teaches you a few painful truths:
β€’ You usually find good projects before the crowd
β€’ But you second-guess yourself until it’s too late
β€’ And regret hits harder than any dip


Being early almost never feels right - that’s why so few people manage to do it. ✏️✏️
If you trust your research and take action before the noise comes, that’s where the real upside is.

⏳ Early isn’t a timing skill… It’s a mindset.

Fam, what’s one thing you wish you didn’t hesitate on? πŸ’­πŸ‘‡
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▢️ FOMC Reminder - Big Day Ahead ▢️

The Fed will announce its interest rate decision today at 2 PM ET.
Markets are pricing in a 25 bps cut with ~90% probability.

Powell speaks at 2:30 PM ET - and if he mentions anything related to future QE or liquidity support, that’s usually bullish. β†—οΈπŸ‚

Here’s what we’re looking at:
β€’ Rate cut + clear signal of more cuts/liquidity β†’ Market likely pushes higher
β€’ Rate cut + neutral tone β†’ Choppy, short-term volatility
β€’ Rate cut + hints of balance-sheet support (QE later in 2026) β†’ Strong upside
β€’ Rate cut + hawkish tone (inflation concerns) β†’ Market dumps


Let’s hope we get the version everyone wants. πŸ™πŸΆ
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CZ hints at a possible crypto "Supercycle" in 2026 at the Bitcoin MENA event in Abu Dhabi. πŸ”₯

Yep - not just a correction. Not just a bull run. A SUPERCYCLE. ↗️

And he’s saying this in December, with Q1 right in front of us.

Frens… tell me we’re actually so back this time 😳
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β€œ2025 will be my year.”
Also me in December 2025: 😨😨
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What Could Push Crypto Higher in 2026? πŸ“ˆ

Even though sentiment is still weak, the setup for Q1 2026 is quietly improving. Several macro factors are starting to line up:

1️⃣ Fed ends QT
Once the Fed stops draining liquidity, risk assets like BTC usually react fast. This removes a major headwind.

2️⃣ Rate cuts continue into 2026
Big institutions expect rates to fall toward 3-3.25%. Lower rates = more capital flowing back into crypto.

3️⃣ Liquidity improves short-term
Treasury bill operations help stabilize funding markets and add liquidity to the system.

4️⃣ Political stability ahead of midterms
With US midterm elections in 2026, policymakers are likely to avoid major shocks β€” supportive for risk assets.

5️⃣ Weakening labor data
A softer job market forces the Fed to stay dovish, giving crypto more room to run.


If these pieces come together, today’s boring accumulation phase could turn into a real breakout for BTC and the broader crypto market in Q1 2026. πŸ”„

Hope that patience might pay off... πŸ‘‹πŸ‘‹
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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ US CPI came in at 2.7% vs 3.1% expected. ❓

Why this matters πŸ‘‡

Lower inflation = the Fed doesn’t need to stay aggressive anymore. 🀬
The narrative slowly shifts from β€œhigher for longer” to β€œokay… when do cuts actually start?”

What this opens up:
β€’ Higher chances of rate cuts
β€’ Bond yields easing
β€’ Liquidity conditions improving
β€’ Risk assets get breathing room (stocks & crypto)


➑️ Markets don’t react to the CPI number itself - they react to what it means for future policy.
If inflation continues to cool, we could see more dip buying and gradual recovery moves.
πŸ˜‰πŸ˜‰
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πŸ”₯ Traditional markets are getting stronger by the day - πŸ₯‡Gold and πŸ₯ˆSilver keep hitting new ATHs.

In this environment, it’s easy to see why crypto feels sidelined.
Why take extra risk when simply holding gold already pays so well?

πŸ’­ But remember: cycles always rotate. Liquidity never disappear - it just waits.

Let’s hope the next phase treats us better. πŸ‘πŸ‘
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Bitcoin’s Recent Drop Is Different From Past Crashes ❓

πŸ“Š Bitcoin's major drop this year is only the 4th in its history - and the FIRST not caused by an industry collapse.

Quick look back πŸ‘‡
β€’ 2014: Mt. Gox collapse β†’ βˆ’57.5%
β€’ 2018: ICO bubble burst β†’ βˆ’73.8%
β€’ 2022: FTX meltdown β†’ βˆ’64.3%


πŸ€” This time?
❌ No exchange failure
❌ No systemic collapse


That’s what makes it interesting.
It looks more like a shift in positioning and investor behavior, not pure panic. πŸ˜‰

Different structure, different cycle.
πŸ‘‹πŸ‘‹
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Merry Christmas, fam β„οΈπŸŽ

This year in crypto tested everything:
patience, conviction, and emotions.

If you’re still here, you already won step one.πŸ‘
Rest, reset, and let the market come to u.

2026 will reward the survivors. πŸ‘πŸ‘
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πŸ‘€πŸ‘€ You might not realize this, but today is the final Sunday of 2025

βœ… The market is green again… though it feels like a strange kind of green 😝
βœ… Everywhere you look, gold and silver are stealing the spotlight 😌
βœ… Time to close the apps, chill for the weekend, and save some energy for 2026 ✨


Slow end to the year. Hopefully a stronger start ahead, fam 😑
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Not flexing, but I have enough money to not work for the rest of 2025 😴😴😴
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🀯 2025 kicked off with a big β€œWTF.”
πŸ™ 2026 loading with β€œTFS” - Thankful For Surviving

What a ride in 2025… but we made it through.
Happy New Year, fam - still here means still hope. πŸŽ†πŸŽ†
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😑 Polymarket is pricing in a 60% chance that Bitcoin outperforms gold in 2026.

Quick context:
🟒Gold is up ~65% in 2025
πŸ”΄Bitcoin: βˆ’6% in 2025.


Many expect BTC to grow this year. Also, Bitcoin’s market cap is still ~15Γ— smaller than gold’s, so from a pure math perspective, it has much more room to move if capital flows back in. πŸ€ͺ

So what’s your bet for 2026, frens?

πŸ‘‰ Gold πŸ”₯ continuing to lead, or BTC ❀️‍πŸ”₯ catching up fast?
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🟒🟒 Crypto just added $260 BILLION in market cap in the first 5 days of 2026.

That’s a pretty strong start to the year.

Let’s see if the market can keep this energy going. Slow, steady, and no crazy moves… that’s all I’m asking πŸ˜‘πŸ˜‘
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🚨Hot topic: Polymarket shows a 77% chance the U.S. Supreme Court rules Trump’s tariffs illegal this Friday.

Those tariffs brought in nearly $600 BILLION to the U.S. economy - so this decision really matters.

If Trump loses the case:
🟣Importers may get tariff refunds
🟣The administration could activate emergency tariff hikes
πŸ‘‰ Big liquidity shock
πŸ‘‰ Trade tensions could flare up again
πŸ‘‰ Markets are already whispering about a potential β€œchaotic Friday”


Depending on the ruling, this could put real pressure on financial markets. 😨

Volatility feels almost guaranteed - we just don’t know how big yet.
Stay sharp and manage risk, fam
πŸ˜‰πŸ˜‰
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